Sean Treppedi recommended betting Under 47 at ‑110 for Bills–Buccaneers in Week 11. He pointed to several converging factors: Buffalo is forecasting sustained 15-20 mph winds with 30 mph gusts, rain-snow mix and temperatures in the low-40s, conditions that historically slash explosive pass plays. Tampa’s offense is already sputtering—Rachaad White averages just 3.7 ypc and Baker Mayfield is missing top weapons Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Bucky Irving—so coordinator Josh Grizzard is expected to lean on the ground game against a Bills front allowing 147 rushing yards per game. Buffalo’s own game plans have become run-heavy (29th in pass attempts), riding James Cook, who sits second in scrimmage yards and correlates with every Bills win when he tops 100 yards. The Bills have cashed four Unders in their last five; the Bucs have in two of their last three. Treppedi believes both clubs will try to shorten drives, protect the ball and keep the clock moving, making 47 too generous a total in this matchup and weather.