Shawn Siegele said Tetairoa McMillan should smash volume expectations after the Adam Thielen trade vacated a triple-digit target share. Siegele pegged the over/under at 120 and immediately took the over, projecting roughly 137 targets— the same total Jackson Smith-Njigba saw in his second season. The Panthers’ depth chart now funnels looks to McMillan as the unquestioned alpha, with Jalen Coker expected to man the slot and Xavier Legette developing outside. Siegele believes Bryce Young’s late-season efficiency surge and a pass-first game script in potential shootouts can support that workload, making McMillan a priority WR2 in season-long and a smash pick at current ADP in best-ball drafts.

Addressing a listener who suggested ignoring "headache" offenses, Shawn Siegele pushed back, saying fading the Chiefs has consistently been punished. He cited Travis Kelce’s continued positional domination and reminded listeners that both Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy delivered league-winning stretches in last season’s fantasy playoffs. Siegele recommends drafting Kelce aggressively despite the premium price and sprinkling in other Kansas City pass-catchers instead of applying a blanket fade, arguing the offense remains too potent to ignore in tournament formats.

Shawn Siegele warned managers to pump the brakes on Rashee Rice, noting the receiver "is going to be up for a month and a half." Siegele argued that by the time Rice returns the Chiefs’ depth chart and pecking order could look completely different—especially if Xavier Worthy or other options seize the available snaps. With no practice time and limited conditioning, Siegele doubts Rice will command meaningful routes in September, making his current mid-round cost a trap in both Season-Long and Best Ball formats.

Shawn Siegele doubled down on his bullish stance for Xavier Worthy after Rashee Rice accepted a six-game suspension. Siegele now projects Worthy to open the year as Kansas City’s unquestioned WR1, citing three data points: a 27 percent target share during last season’s playoff run, the added rushing element on jet-sweep carries, and the Chiefs’ demonstrated willingness to manufacture touches for their first-rounder. He contrasted the 21-year-old’s draft capital with Hollywood Brown’s one-year stop-gap deal, arguing that team investment alone makes Worthy the priority. Siegele also noted that Worthy’s modest rookie yards-per-route-run hid elite efficiency on designed plays—an area Andy Reid leans on heavily. With Patrick Mahomes forced to distribute Rice’s 6-plus targets elsewhere until Week 7, Siegele moved Worthy into his third-round tier and called him a smash in Best Ball and season-long drafts.

Shawn Siegele conceded that Jordan Addison’s three-game suspension and the Vikings’ signing of Adam Thielen dampen early-season excitement, yet he still views Addison as a buy. The market has already pushed the wideout down multiple rounds, so drafters no longer pay for peak production while still capturing his full-season upside once he returns in Week 4. Siegele stressed that the punishment doesn’t change Addison’s talent profile or his role opposite Justin Jefferson. Although the missed games cap ceiling, completely fading Addison ignores the realistic chance of a seamless reintegration and a favorable post-bye schedule. Siegele is happy to scoop Addison wherever the ADP dip extends two rounds or more.

Shawn Siegele projected T.J. Hockenson to deliver near-Travis Kelce production during Jordan Addison’s three-game suspension. With Addison sidelined and only Justin Jefferson demanding defensive attention, Siegele believes Minnesota will lean heavily on Hockenson as JJ McCarthy’s security blanket. He reminded listeners that before last season’s knee injury Hockenson matched Kelce in fantasy points per game, and now the tight end has enjoyed extra recovery time and is practicing without limitations. Because the Vikings’ receiving cupboard behind Jefferson is bare—Thielen was signed mainly to cover Felton’s unreadiness—Siegele sees an 8-to-10-target weekly floor plus elite red-zone usage. He encouraged drafters to take Hockenson ahead of the second-tier tight ends and aggressively stack him with Jefferson in Best Ball tournaments to capture an early scoring avalanche.

Shawn Siegele said Justin Jefferson belongs at the very top of fantasy drafts because Jordan Addison’s three-game suspension leaves the Vikings with almost no proven wide-receiver depth behind Jefferson. Siegele expects Jefferson’s early-season target share to spike well above his already elite baseline, pointing out that Minnesota’s only other healthy options are the newly-signed Adam Thielen, an injured-to-start Jalen Nailor, and a coaching staff that clearly does not yet trust Ty Felton. Even if first-time starter JJ McCarthy has growing pains, the offense will be forced to funnel through Jefferson on quick, schemed throws, creating both a double-digit-target floor and week-winning ceiling in Weeks 1-3. Siegele likened the potential separation Jefferson can build early to the kind Christian McCaffrey provides at running back and advised paying any ADP premium in Best Ball and season-long formats.

Shawn Siegele admitted he was previously fading Ricky Pearsall at cost but now views him as draftable because the rookie has "consolidated the situation" in San Francisco while Jauan Jennings failed to impress. Although Siegele still prefers Jerry Jeudy in a vacuum, he placed Pearsall firmly ahead of the next cluster (Jaylen Waddle, Zay Flowers, Travis Hunter, Rashee Rice) and said Pearsall’s clearer path to targets justifies his current ADP in the flat WR tier after Calvin Ridley, Emeka Egbuka, and DeVonta Smith. Drafters seeking ceiling in that range can now click Pearsall without feeling they’re overpaying.

Shawn Siegele advised abandoning Justice Hill in drafts, stating that Hill is now "undraftable" with Baltimore preparing to feature a Derrick Henry–Keaton Mitchell backfield. Siegele acknowledged Hill’s 500-plus scrimmage yards in each of the past two seasons—thanks largely to a schemed receiving role in 2024—but believes that role is being handed to Mitchell as the team publicly touts Mitchell’s pass-catching ability. With Henry locked into early-down and goal-line snaps and Mitchell expected to siphon off designed targets once earmarked for Hill, Siegele sees no realistic weekly floor or injury-driven ceiling that justifies spending a roster spot on Hill in either best-ball or season-long formats.

Shawn Siegele said Michael Pittman is a screaming value because drafters are letting last year’s injury and the current Josh Downs ankle issue pull both receivers down the board. Pittman gutted out 2024 at roughly 70 percent health yet still averaged more than 1,000 yards over the past three seasons and caught 99 and 109 balls in 2022 and 2023. He does not turn 28 until October, so managers are still getting a wideout in his physical prime. Siegele added that Shane Steichen’s offense looked noticeably more on-schedule when Daniel Jones ran it in preseason, a change that should keep Pittman’s high-volume possession role intact. Bottom line: Pittman should be selected before Downs and well ahead of his current ADP in season-long drafts.

Siegele grouped Trevor Lawrence with Bo Nix as a cost-friendly “secondary breakout candidate,” noting Jacksonville’s entire offense has legitimate breakthrough potential. He specifically mentioned stacking Lawrence with wideout Travis Hunter to capture correlated upside and keep the quarterback room inexpensive yet explosive. The idea is to cover QB with two high-ceiling arms while using the freed-up draft capital to strengthen the rest of the roster in FFPC best-ball formats.

Shawn Siegele said Bo Nix fits perfectly into the mid-round “QB window,” calling him a secondary breakout candidate on an offense he labeled “inviting” and “tantalizing.” Siegele likes locking up Nix with late-round pass catchers because those pairings can deliver weekly spike weeks without spending early‐round capital. In best-ball tournaments, that combination gives managers ceiling outcomes while still letting them hammer premium flex players in the opening rounds.

Shawn Siegele argued that Cole Kmet is an "unsexy" but undervalued tight end who will out-produce market expectations. Selecting Kmet once he slid past several similarly priced options provided roster balance and allowed their team to keep hammering upside elsewhere. Siegele believes the fantasy community is underrating the raw points Kmet can bank—especially when paired with Pat Freiermuth—and that the duo’s combined weekly floor offsets the perceived fragility of a two-TE best-ball build.

Shawn Siegele called Troy Franklin a late-round player “you have to be loading up on.” Franklin's down-field skill set should translate into more touchdowns than teammate Pat Bryant, yet Franklin goes roughly two rounds later. Denver’s depth chart offers a clearer, less-blocked runway for snaps, and pairing him with Bo Nix and Marvin Mims amplifies weekly ceiling outcomes. Siegele expects Franklin to deliver three or four long scores over the season—exactly the spike weeks that advance best-ball rosters—and views him as one of the best cost-adjusted darts in the final rounds.

Shawn Siegele argued that Pat Freiermuth’s slide into the mid-15th round is an overreaction to the "gross" perception of Pittsburgh’s offense. He noted that Freiermuth and teammate Jonnu Smith are "collapsing way below what their usage is simply going to be," yet drafters are pricing them alongside low-volume names such as Mike Gesicki and Cade Otton. Siegele’s takeaway: Freiermuth’s route participation and target involvement should be meaningfully higher than the tight ends going in his ADP range, making him a value as a TE2 who can complement an early stud and give rosters a second path to weekly upside.

Shawn Siegele said that grabbing Trey McBride at pick 1.09 in FFPC-style drafts makes sense because, in his words, the entire thesis is that McBride "is going to distance himself from the tight end three pretty substantially." In a premium-TE format where difference-making tight ends are scarce, Siegele is betting on McBride piling up enough targets to separate from the mid-tier options. That projected gap lets drafters wait several more rounds before taking their second and third tight ends, freeing roster spots for upside shots elsewhere. Siegele added that while late-round tight ends are "fun this season," managers shouldn’t overestimate how reliable they’ll be—reinforcing the importance of landing an elite anchor like McBride early.

Shawn Siegele called Jerry Jeudy one of the biggest steals in drafts. Jeudy posted a "massive season" last year even though Cleveland quarterbacks generated the worst wins-above-replacement marks in the league. Siegele notes that every passer who might throw to Jeudy in 2024—Joe Flacco, Kenny Pickett, or rookie options like Shedeur Sanders/Dillon Gabriel—represents an upgrade on that trio, yet drafters are still anchored to early-career disappointment narratives. He believes Jeudy’s target share and proven efficiency make his current ADP far too low.

Shawn Siegele argued that Xavier Worthy belongs in the late-second/early-third round. With Rashee Rice facing a potential 5-10-game ban, Worthy projects to step immediately into Patrick Mahomes’ vertical-stretch role. Siegele expects Kansas City to remain top-five in pass-rate-over-expectation, giving Worthy both reliable weekly volume and multi-TD spike-week upside that far exceeds his current ADP.

Shawn Siegele said Rashee Rice’s current draft price is a land mine. Internal league reports asked for a suspension of nearly ten games, and even Rice’s appeal is expected to leave him sidelined five or six. Siegele argued that missing half the fantasy regular season destroys Rice’s value in tournament-style best-ball formats and that drafters should simply cross him off their early-round boards and redirect Kansas City exposure elsewhere.

Siegele endorsed grabbing De'Von Achane at the back half of Round 2 after a minor camp injury pushed his ADP down four spots. Achane had been going at pick 11 overall but is now available around 15; Siegele called that discount ‘significant in the early rounds’ because Achane’s combination of 4.32 speed, pass-game chops and weekly 30-point ceiling fits perfectly with a McBride anchor start. The coach has already said Achane will be fine for Week 1, and Siegele argues that even if the back is 80 percent early, the tournament-winning upside outweighs the small re-injury risk. He views a McBride–Achane opening as a uniquely explosive pairing that can smash FFPC playoff weeks.

Shawn Siegele said Trey McBride is worth taking in the first round of FFPC best-ball drafts because tight end is the single biggest leverage point in that 1.5-PPR format. Siegele noted that at last week’s joint practices the Cardinals ‘struggled when they tried to throw to Marvin Harrison, but dominated when they threw to McBride—he was an uncoverable force.’ That on-field buzz, combined with Arizona’s willingness to feature the tight end under Drew Petzing, has Siegele believing McBride could realistically be the overall 1.01 in 2026 drafts. Grabbing him early lets drafters attack WR value later while still banking elite TE scoring, a roster construction edge Siegele has used to win past FFPC tournaments.

Shawn Siegele said his 12-plus-thousand-word deep dive on the Chiefs convinced him that Patrick Mahomes still owns a true ceiling season in 2025 best-ball drafts. Siegele outlined the path: historically, Mahomes padded his touchdown totals with short-area scores to specialty players like Jerick McKinnon; if those scheme wrinkles re-emerge he sees a 4,500-yard, 45-TD campaign in the range of outcomes. The caveats: Rashee Rice’s looming suspension and camp darling Bershard Smith possibly being cut create real pass-catcher volatility, so Siegele admitted a 5,000/50 eruption is less likely this year. Nonetheless, on any roster that already includes rookie burner Xavier Worthy, he views stacking Mahomes as a "million-dollar" upside bet because the pair could recreate the old Mahomes/Tyreek explosive profile at a moderate ADP cost.

Shawn Siegele recommended grabbing Malik Washington in the final round as inexpensive insurance against a possible Tyreek Hill absence. Siegele expects “so many Malik Washington receptions” if Hill misses games because Miami’s offense already funnels short targets and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa rarely scrambles near the goal line. Washington’s late-2024 surge combined with an eye-opening preseason performance has driven a quiet rise in ADP, but he is still essentially free. Siegele views him as a clear, high-leverage contingency play in best-ball and season-long formats.

Shawn Siegele said he is actively targeting RJ Harvey because Sean Payton’s running-back scheme should turbo-charge Harvey’s reception volume. Denver ranked fourth in RB targets last season and Siegele called that the 20th-percentile outcome for Payton’s history. Through one preseason game the Broncos peppered even their roster-bubble backs with nine targets, reinforcing that the play-calling still funnels throws to the backfield. With quarterback Bo Nix comfortable living off quick, success-rate throws – the trait Payton coveted – Siegele projects Denver to ‘gap the league’ in RB targets this year. He believes Harvey can clear 60 receptions and supply the explosive plays J.K. Dobbins no longer provides, creating a “massive” PPR total at a fifth-round cost in best ball and season-long drafts.

Shawn Siegele said he has bumped Keaton Mitchell into the Round-14 range even though the speedster is working back from a mild hamstring strain. Two seasons ago Mitchell led the nation in breakaway-run rate (12 % of carries over 20 yards) and posted elite missed-tackle numbers. Baltimore’s backfield after Derrick Henry is wide open, and Siegele believes Mitchell can carve out the change-of-pace/receiving role early with league-winning upside if Henry’s 30-year-old body finally shows wear.

Shawn Siegele argued that if James Cook were to miss time the touchdown spike week potential in Buffalo funnels directly to Ray Davis. Buffalo has shifted heavily toward RB-centric red-zone usage, and removing Cook’s 10 TDs from last year leaves a 65-point fantasy vacuum. Siegele likes Davis’ forward-leaning run style in short yardage and reminded listeners that the rookie’s lone NFL start produced a backfield takeover, suggesting the staff is willing to ride him if he gets hot.

Shawn Siegele labeled Zach Charbonnet the single biggest mid-round league winner, arguing he owns both standalone value and nuclear upside if Kenneth Walker’s recurring foot/soft-tissue problems linger. Siegele cited defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald’s camp quote calling Charbonnet “a stud…everything you can want,” comparing the vibe to last summer’s Walker hype. Seattle’s offense funnels touches to backs, and coaches praise Charbonnet’s reliability and scheme fit, making 2025’s ninth-round price a steal. Should Walker miss time, Siegele believes Charbonnet immediately projects as a top-8 fantasy RB over any multi-week stretch, an outcome worth chasing for zero-RB and best-ball tournament builds.

Shawn Siegele said Jordan Addison should be drafted ahead of similarly-priced receivers such as Chris Olave in FFPC best-ball formats. Siegele argued Addison’s contingent ceiling is enormous because, at age 23, he already profiles as a future No. 1 and would immediately inherit that role if Justin Jefferson misses time. In preseason Week 1, Jefferson sat and Addison caught passes on the Vikings’ first three plays, two of them for first downs, demonstrating he can command volume right away. Addison also solves a playoff-week roster-construction issue created by Malik Nabers and Tetairoa McMillan sharing a Week 14 bye; taking Addison gives the roster a potential WR1 who is available during the critical Weeks 13-14 advance round. In a sprint-style tournament where you must win both weeks to reach the money, Siegele prefers Addison’s week-winning upside to Olave’s floor in a shakier offense.

Shawn Siegele kept Drake London at No. 17 overall— the final name in his "first-round talent" mega-tier— and happily selected him at pick 18. Siegele believes there is a meaningful production cliff after those top 17 players, so landing London in the early second round locks in a profile he grades similarly to the top half of Round-1. The structure edge is simple: take London while the draft room thinks the elite tier is gone and profit from the gap that follows.

Shawn Siegele said Malik Nabers should be drafted before Justin Jefferson in the mid-first round. In Siegele’s freshly updated top-200 he lists Nabers seventh overall and Jefferson eighth after removing the “target” caution tag from Nabers. Siegele isn’t worried about Nabers’ lingering toe issue and is even less impressed with the current state of the Vikings offense surrounding Jefferson. He expects Nabers to compete with Drake London for the league lead in targets and liked pairing the two to lock in elite volume early. The takeaway: when you draw pick 6–9, do not hesitate to click Nabers over Jefferson if you want ceiling, target share, and portfolio diversification.

Shawn Siegele argued that Cooper Kupp’s current draft cost is too optimistic given the Seahawks’ depth and scheme. With Jaxon Smith-Njigba profiling similarly in the short-area game and rookie vertical threat Tori Horton earning rave reviews, Siegele expects Seattle to funnel targets more evenly than drafters assume. He worries Kupp will be "squeezed" in an offense that likely leans on two-WR sets, limiting both slot snaps and overall volume. While he isn’t calling Kupp a definite bust, Siegele believes drafters are paying near-ceiling prices for a receiver who no longer dominates his team’s opportunity share, making him a fade in season-long and best-ball contests.

Shawn Siegele said drafters should not wait for a discount on Emeka Egbuka and sometimes "have to bite the bullet" at his rising cost. With Mike Evans showing signs of decline and Chris Godwin entering yet another season less than 100%, Tampa fed Egbuka targets the moment the veterans sat. Siegele argued that if the rookie delivers even a 90th-percentile outcome of his elite prospect profile he could quickly become Baker Mayfield’s primary weapon in what was already a high-scoring offense last year. Given that type of upside and the fragility of the incumbents, Siegele believes Egbuka’s mid-round ADP still undervalues the ceiling.

Shawn Siegele called Chiefs rookie Jalen Royals one of the most under-priced late picks in drafts. Royals drew three preseason targets and Siegele expects that number to scale up in September with Rashee Rice suspended and Hollywood Brown already dinged. Kansas City’s spread system routinely rotates receivers, and Siegele predicts Royals and fellow rookie Xavier Worthy will finish inside the top three in early-season routes. While acknowledging Royals may not be a weekly starter all year, he views the final draft slot investment as trivial relative to the chance at usable WR3 weeks before the veterans return.

Shawn Siegele identified Trey Benson as a "clear-cut target at his price" following the Cardinals-Chiefs preseason tilt. Benson posted nine carries for 29 yards and added a 20-yard reception, displaying the explosiveness Arizona drafted him for. Siegele highlighted that the team trusted him with early-down work and a screen, signaling a larger 2025 workload. Emari Demercado’s 56-yard receiving day does not change Benson’s trajectory because the coaching staff already knows what Demercado brings. Siegele thinks Benson’s year-two leap, combined with an unsettled backfield behind Kyler Murray, makes him a steal where he’s currently going in season-long drafts.

Shawn Siegele urged fantasy managers to pounce on Luther Burden at his current cheap ADP, calling him the best way to capture Bears receiving upside without paying premium DJ Moore prices. He pointed out that Chicago’s staff is raving about Burden’s improved work ethic after earlier off-field concerns and even told broadcasters the rookie is "what you’d get if DJ Moore and Romeo Doubs had a baby." Siegele likes that Burden is getting manufactured touches plus true vertical routes; in the preseason game he drew three targets, catching two for 29 yards, including a down-field shot. He argued Burden’s sophomore year at Missouri showed top-10 pick talent and that the Bears have publicly said they view him as their eventual No. 1 receiver. Given similar upside across the WR room, Siegele prefers the cheapest option and recommends loading up on Burden before any mid-August ADP climb.

Siegele said RJ Harvey’s preseason snaps showed why he belongs in the mid-fifth round. Though Denver’s line whiffed on several plays, Harvey repeatedly bounced runs to the edge for seven-plus yards—something Siegele noted "you’re not supposed to be able to do in the NFL unless you’re a freak athlete." That explosion keeps him bullish even though Harvey will split touches with J.K. Dobbins. The shared workload caps ceiling but also suppresses ADP; had Henderson been selected, Siegele would have taken Harvey at 5.06 in the Apex league. He urges drafters to target Harvey in the RB18-22 range before more highlight-reel clips force a price correction.

Siegele labeled Kenneth Walker “the scariest player in the fantasy universe” because his range of outcomes runs from overall RB1 to Seahawks backup. Walker’s ceiling stems from proven breakaway ability and a plausible path to 20-touch workloads; his floor is the growing chance that injuries and depth-chart competition push him into a situational role. Siegele grabbed him in Round 4 of the Apex Experts league, arguing that managers should embrace the volatility at that price but avoid pushing him ahead of steadier backs. The high variance makes Walker an ideal swing-for-the-fences pick in both managed redraft and best-ball tournaments.

Comparing preseason usage, Siegele argued Jordan Addison should be drafted much closer to Rashee Rice. Addison was "open at will" and peppered with targets from J.J. McCarthy while Justin Jefferson rested, echoing the stretch last year when Addison dominated after Jefferson’s injury. Rice meanwhile could face an undefined suspension yet costs far more. Siegele called that spread "indefensible," noting Addison’s route-running and separation suggest genuine top-10 NFL wideout upside. He recommends pivoting to Addison whenever Rice, Jerry Jeudy or similar receivers come off the board, especially in wide-receiver-heavy builds.

Siegele advised using the next week to scoop up Tyjae Spears at a discount after his high-ankle sprain. Team doctors expect Spears to miss only “a few weeks,” so Siegele views the injury as a temporary buying window, not a long-term concern. In a recent best-ball tournament with Connor O’Driscoll he landed Spears two rounds after ADP and expects that overreaction to persist. Because he still projects Spears for the same explosive change-of-pace role once healthy, Siegele says the markdown more than offsets the short absence and makes Spears one of the best values on the board.

Shawn Siegele said Henderson’s preseason debut validated his summer thesis that the former Buckeye should be treated as a receiving-centric RB2 who can win leagues. Henderson housed a kickoff and was immediately peppered with targets on his lone offensive series, evidence Siegele cites when predicting he will "lead the NFL team in receptions at the running-back position." In Siegele’s current Apex Expert League Henderson fell to RB18 in the mid-fifth— two full rounds after Hampton, whose price spiked when Najee Harris left practice. Siegele believes that gap is undeserved because Henderson graded higher than Hampton in his early "Big Gorilla" blueprint, owns elite burst metrics, and already flashed them. He is happy to select Henderson a round earlier in Main Events but hopes conservative preseason usage keeps the tag in the RB20 range so drafters can pounce.

Shawn Siegele argued that Jonathan Taylor is a smash at pick 3.03 in FFPC drafts. He acknowledged that some peripheral metrics dipped during the middle of last season, but emphasized how the game log tells a different story: Taylor closed the year with his three highest rushing yard totals, scored six rushing touchdowns over those contests, and never fell below 24 fantasy points even in non-PPR scoring. Siegele added that the Colts offense "is going to be more functional regardless," which should cushion Taylor’s weekly floor and create more multi-TD paths. Given that profile and the historical hit rate for backs with Taylor’s late-season surge, Siegele sees an extremely favorable range of outcomes relative to his current ADP.

Shawn Siegele called Jonathan Taylor “absurdly under-priced” at his current draft slot. Even in last year’s dysfunctional Colts offense, Taylor finished third among running backs in expected points per game, giving him an elite workload floor. Siegele expects efficiency to rebound toward Taylor’s 2021 form—when he averaged 5.5 yards per carry—because Anthony Richardson’s rushing threat should stress defenses in the same way Lamar Jackson boosts Derrick Henry and Jalen Hurts aids Saquon Barkley. If Richardson is merely competent, Siegele sees a clear path for Taylor to break long runs and push for a top-three finish while still offering week-to-week stability.

Shawn Siegele warned that the Aaron Rodgers–DK Metcalf pairing is flashing red flags. Rodgers mustered only 18 pass attempts in a recent preseason dress rehearsal, which Siegele called “one of the worst games I’ve ever seen.” Beat-writer reports add that their timing has been off throughout camp, fueling league-wide skepticism about the fit. With Rodgers already showing a tendency to point fingers when things sour, Siegele expects volatility and a shallow target tree early in the year. His advice: fade Metcalf at current ADP and avoid stacking him with Rodgers until the duo demonstrates workable chemistry.

Shawn Siegele said Jalen Royals is worth stashing because Kansas City coaches and beat writers keep calling him the smartest receiver in the room and comparing his play style to Rashee Rice. Internal Chiefs reports claim the front office had a Day-2 grade on Royals and view him as a draft-day steal, which lines up with how often he has reportedly worked with the first unit. Siegele noted that if Royals scores in Week 1 he would immediately crack FFPC starting lineups, making him an ideal ‘take-a-peek’ pick in the final rounds of season-long drafts.

Shawn Siegele pressed for grabbing J.J. McCarthy as a second quarterback behind Dak Prescott. McCarthy gets Detroit at home in Week 17, a matchup Siegele expects to carry the highest total of the fantasy-championship slate. Pairing McCarthy with Jordan Addison creates a leverage game stack that few of the top-30 FFPC Main-Event teams will have. The move also gives insurance if Dak struggles in Week 1 and keeps the roster from streaming the position later. Siegele framed McCarthy as a tournament ceiling play rather than a weekly starter, but one that could deliver a million-dollar swing in the sprint weeks.

Shawn Siegele warned that Michael Pittman "has zero value" if Anthony Richardson wins the Colts quarterback job. Siegele argued Richardson’s 43% completion rate in camp and his run-first tendencies would sink Indianapolis’ pass volume and accuracy, dragging Pittman’s target quality well below starter-worthy levels. While Daniel Jones could still win the job, Siegele called the competition a "two-man capitulation," saying neither passer offers enough efficiency to create high-end outcomes for Pittman. Until clarity emerges, Pittman is a risky redraft hold and a player Siegele is passing on at his current price.

Shawn Siegele highlighted Emeka Egbuka’s recent surge into the seventh-round range and said camp buzz suggests he could realistically finish 2025 as Tampa Bay’s top fantasy wideout. Siegele pointed to an injured Chris Godwin and an aging Mike Evans, plus the likelihood that new coordinator play-calling spreads targets, as the opening for Egbuka to lead the Buccaneers in receptions and points even without posting superstar numbers. With ADP climbing yet still below his plausible ceiling, Siegele views Egbuka as an actionable mid-round buy.

Shawn Siegele said RJ Harvey should be drafted well ahead of his current FFPC Main-Event ADP. Siegele argued that the Broncos listing Harvey low on the initial depth chart is meaningless—Sean Payton used the same "hide the Joker" routine with Darren Sproles in New Orleans. Harvey went in Round 2 of the NFL Draft and, in Siegele’s view, graded out as a better prospect than Alvin Kamara did coming out. He projects Harvey to soak up scheme touches in space while J.K. Dobbins handles the grind, comparing the split to the 2011–12 Pierre Thomas/Sproles usage. Although Harvey may leave some third-and-long snaps because of pass-pro questions, Siegele expects the back to run plenty of routes that generate targets, all behind what he calls a "really good" Denver offensive line. Even if Dobbins posts a solid season, Siegele believes the backfield will produce enough combined points for Harvey to smash at his Round-5/6 price and be a weekly flex starter early—then a potential league-winner in Weeks 15-17.

Shawn Siegele pointed out that Kenneth Walker’s ADP has finally climbed into the early-third but immediately flagged a red flag: the back missed multiple practices with foot soreness just as the market corrected. Siegele responded by sliding Walker down a full tier in his personal ranks, saying he is «still ranked aggressively, but a little less aggressively» given the injury risk layered on top of Seattle’s committee tendencies. He cautioned drafters drafting Walker at pick 3.02-3.05 to bake in the possibility that the foot issue lingers and that Zach Charbonnet siphons more work than last year.

Shawn Siegele said a 3.03 ADP for Jonathan Taylor is “pretty absurd” value in FFPC Main Event rooms. Taylor sits in his own tier above names like Amari Cooper and Omarion Hampton in Siegele’s ranks, yet has fallen almost a full round over the last few Main Event drafts. Siegele emphasized that the Main Event market is far tighter than large-field best-ball lobbies, so any slide is uniquely exploitable. He advised pouncing when Taylor drifts because paying a late-second price is already a win, and grabbing him in the third lets drafters who opened with Brock Bowers pivot into a high-end RB room with tournament-winning upside.

Shawn Siegele called Jonathan Taylor 'absurd' value when he slid to Pick 3.03. Siegele highlighted Taylor’s 24-touch, 126-yard per-game finish over the final month of last season and argued that either potential Colts quarterback style benefits him: Anthony Richardson’s threat opens rushing lanes, while Daniel Jones (if he plays) historically targets backs at a high rate. Siegele acknowledged concerns about Indy’s pass volume but expects Taylor’s 80 % share of high-value touches (green-zone carries plus targets) to offset team-level efficiency issues. He compared the discount to last year’s Saquon Barkley slide, urging drafters not to overthink perceived reception ceilings at this price.