Shubham Soni made Pete Alonso his No. 1 prop of the slate, grabbing +300 for a home run against left-hander Kyle Freeland. Alonso is slashing .290/.364/.580 with 11 homers and 43 RBI and has gone deep twice in his last four contests. Freeland enters 0-7 with a 5.86 ERA, surrendering a .551 SLG and 2.1 HR/9 to right-handed bats, thanks in part to an 89 mph average exit velocity allowed—the worst mark of his career. Soni highlighted Alonso’s 46% pull rate and Citi Field’s favorable left-field jet stream as perfect complements to Freeland’s sinker that leaks arm-side and up. With the Mets projected for nearly five runs, Soni believes the Polar Bear is primed to clear the fence again.

Despite playing only six games in 2025, Ronald Acuna Jr. shows video-game quality contact numbers—a blistering 102.7 mph average exit velocity, 84.6% hard-hit rate, and hulking 30.8% barrel rate per plate appearance. Shubham Soni noted those numbers dwarf even Acuna’s 2023 MVP campaign and make him a constant homer threat. Friday he draws Lucas Giolito, whose 5.27 ERA is fueled by 1.8 HR/9 and a declining four-seam spin rate. Soni likes Acuna at +310 to go yard, stressing that Truist Park’s summer humidity and Giolito’s fly-ball tendencies could turn any 102 mph bolt into instant fireworks.

Shubham Soni labeled Taylor Ward a classic boom-or-bust home-run prop at +450, citing a healthy 16.6% barrel rate and 47% hard-hit percentage that remain intact despite Ward’s batting-average dip. Guardians righty Luis L. Ortiz owns a 4.73 ERA and has yielded nine homers in 45.2 innings, with xSLG north of .480 to right-handed bats. Soni argued Ortiz’s tendency to miss up in the zone plays directly into Ward’s pull-side power, and the Angels’ cleanup man already has 15 homers on the season. A warm evening in Anaheim with slight out-blowing winds provides an extra nudge toward the over.

Shubham Soni said Kyle Schwarber is a top home-run prop on Friday because Milwaukee is rolling out a full bullpen game—exactly the scenario the slugger historically punishes. Schwarber already has 19 bombs in 2025 and enters with a 59.7% hard-hit rate, a thunderous 93.8 mph average exit velocity, and a 17.4% barrel rate per plate appearance. Soni noted that those metrics all sit in the 95th percentile or better league-wide and that Schwarber’s HR/PA jumps nearly 20% when the opposing starter fails to complete three innings. With the Brewers piecing innings together and the Phillies installed as slight road favorites, Soni likes the +230 odds at DraftKings for Schwarber to leave the yard at least once.

Soni’s bold play of the day is Yoshinobu Yamamoto over 6.5 strikeouts at +110. The Dodgers ace sports a 1.86 ERA, microscopic 0.91 WHIP, and 68 Ks over 58 IP (10.6 K/9) while issuing only 2.8 BB/9. He faces a Guardians squad that has struggled against high-velocity arms. Yamamoto’s elite command and deep pitch mix should generate ample swings and misses, making the plus-money over an appealing bet for May 26.

Labeling him the "safest pick of the day," Soni took Garrett Crochet over 6.5 strikeouts at -170. Crochet carries a 1.98 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 78 Ks in 68.1 IP (10.3 K/9). With pitch counts consistently in the 90s and a fastball that overwhelms hitters from the left side, he draws a lineup vulnerable to left-handed velocity. Soni believes Crochet’s swing-and-miss stuff plus workload make seven or more Ks highly probable.

Despite Charlie Morton’s ugly 0-7 record and 7.68 ERA across 41 IP, Soni likes the over 3.5 strikeouts at -135. Morton still wields an 8.8 K/9 and has cleared this prop in two straight outings thanks to a curveball that continues to post strong whiff rates. Facing a Cardinals lineup that has struggled with breaking balls, Soni expects at least four punch-outs even if Morton’s run prevention woes continue.

Soni recommended the under 5.5 strikeouts on Chad Patrick at -165. Patrick owns a 3.23 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 45 Ks over 53 IP (7.6 K/9), but Soni stressed that the right-hander rarely flashes the ceiling needed for six punch-outs. Boston’s lineup ranks near the top of the league in contact rate and walk percentage, extending counts without whiffing. With the Red Sox disciplined against mediocre secondary stuff, Soni views Patrick’s path to six Ks as slim, making the under the sharper side.

Shubham Soni backed Erick Fedde to clear 3.5 strikeouts at -150. Soni noted Fedde’s quietly solid 2025—3-3 record, 3.77 ERA, 1.27 WHIP through 57.1 IP—and pointed out that his 34 total Ks (5.3 K/9) look pedestrian only because he pitches to contact. Against Washington’s bottom-of-the-order hitters, Fedde’s broad pitch mix and steady early-game command give him multiple paths to four punch-outs. The modest line plus a favorable matchup make this a value play despite Fedde’s low season-long K rate.

Soni labeled Logan O’Hoppe the night’s top HR prop value at +450. The Angels catcher has erupted for 5 homers and 12 RBI over his last 8 games, slashing .375 with a 1.269 OPS. Statcast power indicators back it up: a 53.3% hard-hit rate and eye-popping 20% barrel rate per plate appearance. With Edward Cabrera’s 5.50 ERA on deck, Soni sees 'undeniable value' in betting O’Hoppe to go deep again.

Soni pushed Taylor Ward’s +400 homer prop, pointing to a torrid 12-game stretch (7 HR, 20 RBI, .375 AVG, 1.377 OPS). The Angels outfielder faces Marlins right-hander Edward Cabrera (5.50 ERA) who has struggled to neutralize right-handed power. Ward’s 18 hits in his last 48 at-bats and balanced on-base skills make him, in Soni’s words, a 'prime threat to leave the yard' again tonight.

Soni spotlighted Kyle Schwarber at +205 to homer against Oakland rookie Gunnar Hoglund (5.06 ERA). Schwarber has blasted 3 homers in his last 6 games and posted a 1.163 OPS over that stretch, pushing his season total to 18 bombs. A 27.6% walk rate paired with a matching strikeout rate shows pitchers are avoiding him or paying the price, and Soni expects the lefty slugger’s elite power to play in another hitter-friendly matchup.

Soni recommended Trent Grisham’s +370 home-run prop versus Colorado because Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela carries a 6.34 ERA and a history of surrendering long balls. Grisham owns 12 homers, a 16.8% barrel rate, 44.9% hard-hit rate, and averages 91 mph on exit velocity, metrics that point to legitimate pop. With left-handed power thriving against Senzatela, Soni calls the Yankee outfielder a live bet to leave the yard.

Shubham Soni advised backing Dansby Swanson at +475 to homer in Great American Ball Park. Soni noted Swanson’s 11 homers and a .258 average on the year, but emphasized the Cubs shortstop’s underlying power: a .522 expected slugging, 12.3% barrel rate, 45.9% hard-hit rate and 33.6% sweet-spot rate. He faces Reds lefty Nick Lodolo, who has shown vulnerability against right-handed bats, and the hitter-friendly dimensions in Cincinnati further boost the upside. Soni believes Swanson’s xBA of .276 signals looming positive regression and labels him a strong long-shot play.

Soni crowned Wyatt Langford the top long-ball bet of the slate at +650 in the Bronx. The rookie owns a .250 average, nine homers, 20 RBI and an .819 OPS. Soni stressed how Yankee Stadium’s short right-center alley accentuates Langford’s pull-side power and plate patience. With New York’s probable starter allowing a 39% fly-ball rate, Soni believes Langford’s knack for punishing mistakes makes the juicy odds worth grabbing.

At +330, Soni likes Corbin Carroll’s chances to homer at Dodger Stadium. Carroll owns a .277 average with 15 homers and 34 RBI, powered by a 93.9 mph average exit velocity and 17.8% barrel rate. Soni emphasized Carroll’s elite bat speed—top 10% in MLB—against a Dodgers staff that can struggle with left-handed power. With Carroll’s combination of launch-angle consistency and hard contact, Soni sees strong value in the plus odds.

Soni tabbed Zach Neto at +310 to go deep in Oakland. Neto is slashing .278/.333/.492 with seven homers and 16 RBI, and Soni said recent plate appearances show his timing “dialed in.” The matchup is the draw: an Athletics pitching staff with one of the league’s worst HR/FB rates. Even in the spacious Coliseum, Soni trusts Neto’s above-average pull-side fly-ball percentage to overcome the park and cash the ticket.

Shubham Soni backed Jackson Holliday to leave the yard at +600 in Milwaukee. He cited the rookie’s Statcast resume—91.1 mph average exit velocity and a 47.7% hard-hit rate—on top of a .272 average with six homers and 18 RBI. Soni argued those underlying numbers show Holliday consistently barrels baseballs even if the box-score power has been modest. Facing a Brewers staff that has surrendered above-league-average fly-ball contact, Soni believes one well-struck swing can cash the long odds.

Shubham Soni called Jeremy Pena a live +550 longshot to leave the yard. Pena is quietly batting above .300 with a balanced power-speed skill set, and he faces Jack Leiter, who has been hittable with a 4.34 ERA. Although Pena’s barrel and hard-hit metrics are merely average, Soni emphasized the attractive odds relative to Leiter’s inconsistencies, framing the play as a calculated value swing for bettors hunting upside.

Shubham Soni recommended Taylor Ward at +370 even against Dodgers right-hander Tony Gonsolin. Ward has launched 3 homers in his last 5 games and owns a 40.2 % hard-hit rate with healthy barrel numbers. Soni argued that a hitter riding this kind of momentum only needs one mistake, and the market is pricing in Gonsolin’s reputation more than Ward’s current power tear.

Shubham Soni highlighted Eugenio Suarez at +360, pointing to the veteran’s heater of 4 homers and 14 RBIs in his last eight games while slugging .793. Suarez also draws Chase Dollander, whom Soni calls 'vulnerable' because of his difficulty keeping the ball in the park. The combination of Suarez’s current locked-in swing and Dollander’s gopher-ball tendencies presents what Soni views as clear value on a long-ball wager.

Shubham Soni backed Corbin Carroll at +285 to go yard, citing Carroll’s blazing .612 slugging percentage, 14 homers, 93.9 mph average exit velocity and 41.6 % hard-hit rate. The Diamondbacks outfielder faces Rockies right-hander Chase Dollander, lugging a 6.88 ERA into altitude-boosted Coors Field. Soni noted the combination of Carroll’s elite power/speed profile, a struggling pitcher who gives up loud contact, and Denver’s homer-friendly environment creates ideal conditions for another fireworks display.

Shubham Soni said Oneil Cruz is worth a +280 home-run prop because the 6-foot-7 shortstop is squaring up baseballs at a 96.5 mph average exit velocity with nearly 50 % of his batted balls qualifying as hard-hit. Cruz draws Phillies prospect Mick Abel making his MLB debut, a spot Soni labeled 'chaotic and high-variance' where inexperienced arms often leave mistakes in the zone. One swing of Cruz’s left-handed power, especially against a right-handed rookie, can flip the game and cash the ticket.

Soni pegged Guerrero as an enticing +400 home-run play. Though the first baseman hasn’t erupted yet in 2025, he sports a .291 average, 93.0 mph average exit velocity, and 39.8 % hard-hit rate—signals the big fly is coming. Facing Rays starter Zack Littell, who lacks overpowering stuff, Soni views the long odds as a buy-low entry on Guerrero’s latent power.

Soni highlighted Freeman’s +290 odds to homer against Oakland right-hander Osvaldo Bido. Freeman is batting .362 with nine HR, a 1.145 OPS, and a .714 SLG—one of MLB’s best marks. Against an Athletics staff that routinely bleeds hard contact, Soni considers the price a steal on one of baseball’s most bankable power profiles.

Soni targeted Henderson’s +360 home-run prop, pointing to the infielder’s torrid five-game tear (.409/.458/.955, three HR, 1.413 OPS). With Minnesota’s Chris Paddack on the hill, Soni believes the red-hot bat and attractive odds create a high-upside wager for bettors chasing power.

Soni advised taking Buxton at +250 to homer despite facing Baltimore’s Tomoyuki Sugano (2.72 ERA). He noted Buxton’s nine homers, .520 SLG, 9.9 % barrel rate per plate appearance, and 91.1 mph average exit velocity. The raw power metrics outweigh the respectable opposing ERA, making the Twins slugger a viable bet for a round-tripper.

Shubham Soni recommended betting Ozuna’s +235 home-run prop, stressing that Washington starter Trevor Williams owns a 5.88 ERA and has struggled to keep the ball in the park. Although Ozuna’s surface line shows just six homers with a .270 average, Soni highlighted the underlying pop: a .424 OBP, 92.6 mph average exit velocity, and .867 OPS. Against a shaky pitcher in warm May weather, Soni views the odds as strong value for bettors hunting a long-ball ticket.

Soni advised grabbing Tatis at +210 for a home run at Coors, emphasizing Antonio Senzatela’s struggles (1-5, 5.50 ERA, eight homers allowed in seven starts). Tatis is already raking in 2025, slashing .319/.388/.548 with eight bombs, 19 RBIs, and a .936 OPS. His 94.3 mph average exit velocity and 11.2% barrel rate per plate appearance back the surface stats. Given the thin air in Denver and Senzatela’s fly-ball woes, Soni called it one of the slate’s strongest power bets.

Soni called Judge the slate’s safest power play, even at a short +160 price. The Yankees star is on a tear, slashing .400/.491/.750 with 12 home runs and 34 RBIs to start 2025. He’s barreling balls 14.5% of the time with a 95.6 mph average exit velocity, fueling a 1.241 OPS. Oakland starter Osvaldo Bido (4.71 ERA) has yielded seven homers in seven outings, including a four-bomb meltdown against Texas. Soni expects Judge to capitalize on Bido’s homer issues and extend his MVP-caliber streak.

Soni highlighted Merrill at +390 as an under-the-radar homer option in the same Coors Field matchup versus Antonio Senzatela. Since returning from injury, Merrill is 4-for-8 with a homer, a double, and two RBIs across two games, showing immediate impact. With Senzatela’s eight home runs allowed in seven outings and the altitude boost, Soni believes Merrill’s mix of elite contact skills and emerging pop offers big value in a projected high-scoring environment.

Soni spotlighted Diaz at +475 to leave the yard against Jose Quintana, pointing out that, despite a strong 2.83 ERA, Quintana just gave up three home runs in his last start versus the Cubs. Diaz is surging—.259 average, three homers, and a .926 OPS over his past seven games, with two long balls in his last three contests. The analyst framed the wager as a sharp value on a hitter finding his power stroke while facing a pitcher showing fresh cracks in his home-run suppression.

Shubham Soni recommended betting Hoskins +390 to go deep against Zack Littell, noting the Rays’ right-hander has already allowed 10 home runs in just seven starts. Hoskins enters with a .266 average, four homers, and a .799 OPS, while his underlying metrics—39.8% hard-hit rate, 7.7% barrel rate per plate appearance, and .441 expected slugging—hint at even more power upside. Soni argued the combination of Littell’s gopher-ball problem and Hoskins’ solid batted-ball profile makes this a high-value prop play.

Shubham Soni labeled Kerry Carpenter a sneaky +340 HR prop in Coors. Carpenter just went 4-for-6 with five RBI on Tuesday and has three homers in his past six contests while slashing .295 with eight total bombs on the year. He draws Chase Dollander, whose extreme fly-ball profile has yielded eight home runs in only five starts, including a four-homer shelling versus Washington. With Coors Field’s thin air and Dollander’s 2.3 HR/9, Soni sees Carpenter’s lefty power stroke as a perfect fit for another moonshot.

Shubham Soni pegged Byron Buxton at +350 to homer for a third straight game. Buxton sits at .267 with eight bombs, 22 RBI, and 26 runs, riding consecutive homer nights into Target Field. Opposing him is an unrecognizable Charlie Morton, saddled with a 0-6 record, 9.76 ERA, and seven home runs surrendered across eight starts. Morton’s four-seam velocity dip and curveball command issues have driven a 46% hard-contact rate. Soni believes Buxton’s elite bat speed and current locked-in approach make this one of the slate’s strongest plus-odds plays.

Shubham Soni advised betting Corey Seager +320 to go deep at Fenway. Seager’s season line sits at .286 with four homers, but underlying metrics are screaming louder: 37.1% hard-hit rate and a 93 mph average exit velocity. He faces Tanner Houck, who has opened 2025 with a 6.38 ERA, seven home runs allowed in seven starts, and pronounced struggles versus left-handed hitters (.402 wOBA). Houck’s sinker/slider mix feeds Seager’s pull-heavy swing, and a warm Boston night pushes the over-the-monster narrative. Soni views this as a buy-low spot on Seager’s power.

Shubham Soni recommended Kyle Schwarber at +275 to leave the yard against Shane Baz. Schwarber is slashing .320/.452/.960 with five homers and 10 RBI over the last seven games, displaying elite plate discipline and 54% hard-hit rate during that stretch. Baz, meanwhile, sports a respectable 3.86 ERA but has already served up four homers in six starts and owns a 1.5 HR/9 mark dating back to last season. The lefty slugger’s pull-side loft profiles perfectly against Baz’s four-seam/slider combo, making Schwarber one of the cleanest value swings on the Wednesday slate.

Shubham Soni said Shohei Ohtani is worth a +170 home-run prop tonight in Miami. Ohtani has gone deep in four of his last seven contests, including back-to-back nights, and carries a league-best power surge into LoanDepot Park. The matchup is juicy: rookie right-hander Valente Bellozo owns a 0-2 record, 4.97 ERA, and has looked particularly vulnerable to hard contact. With Ohtani’s recent barrel rate spike and the Dodgers projected for one of the slate’s highest implied run totals, Soni likes him to make it three straight games with a long ball.

Soni labeled Kyle Manzardo a sneaky +330 home-run bet in Game 1 of the Guardians-Nationals doubleheader. Manzardo has flashed big power with 8 homers and 20 RBIs but carries only a .219 average, keeping odds generous. He faces Jake Irvin, whose 4.01 ERA masks mediocre peripherals and a below-average ground-ball rate. With two games on the slate, Soni expects the Guardians to pencil Manzardo into the heart of the order and believes one swing against a hittable righty can cash the +330 ticket.

Soni advised taking Freddie Freeman’s home-run prop at +425 versus Miami. Freeman brings a 10-game hitting streak with 3 homers during that span and sports a .337 average, 7 homers, 23 RBIs and 16 runs on the season. The matchup is again Cal Quantrill, whose 8.10 ERA and 5 long balls allowed in 26.2 innings signal serious vulnerability. Dodger Stadium’s friendly dimensions for left-handed power and Freeman’s elite hard-contact profile make the +425 number a bargain in Soni’s eyes.

Shubham Soni recommended Spencer Torkelson at +475 to leave the yard in Denver. The Tigers slugger has 2 homers in his last 4 games and sits at 10 bombs, 27 RBIs and 25 runs despite a modest .234 average. Soni highlighted elite hitting conditions at Coors Field and a dream matchup against rookie Chase Dollander, who owns a 6.48 ERA and has already yielded 8 homers in only 25 innings. The thin Colorado air combined with Torkelson’s recent uptick in hard-hit rate makes +475 an attractive long-shot ticket, according to Soni.

Shubham Soni backed Shohei Ohtani to go deep at +225 in the Dodgers-Marlins matchup. Soni pointed to Ohtani’s .292 average and 9 homers on the year, stressing that the two-way star stayed scorching with a big fly last night. The key angle is Marlins starter Cal Quantrill’s dreadful 8.10 ERA, 1.80 WHIP and 5 homers served up in only 26.2 innings. With a red-hot hitter facing a pitcher who is getting barreled up, Soni labeled the +225 price one of the best home-run props on the board.

Shubham Soni pegged Brent Rooker at +380 to go yard against Seattle. Rooker has quietly mashed 9 homers and 18 RBIs despite the Athletics’ anemic offense. He’ll see Emerson Hancock, who owns a 6.62 ERA and has surrendered 3 homers in just 17.2 frames while routinely missing spots middle-in. Soni argued Rooker’s pull-side power is tailor-made to punish Hancock’s mistakes, calling the +380 price a premium play on an overlooked bat.

Shubham Soni slotted Cal Raleigh at the top of his list even with the shortest odds (+230) because the catcher simply keeps leaving the yard. Raleigh already leads MLB with 12 big flies, including a two-homer outburst—one of them a grand slam—last week in Texas. He thrives against right-handers and gets another one tonight. Given Raleigh’s ability to homer in bunches and the books still hanging a number in the mid-200s, Soni believes bettors should ride the wave until it crests.

Shubham Soni labeled Shohei Ohtani a top-tier prop at +270. Ohtani is batting .304/.399/.565 with eight homers and has caught absolute fire, hitting .400 with two long balls over his last eight games. On the mound opposite him is former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara, who is anything but ace-like right now: 8.31 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and four homers surrendered in six starts. With Ohtani’s multi-homer upside and Alcantara’s diminished velocity and command, Soni views the +270 price as a gift.

Calling it one of the cleanest plays on the board, Shubham Soni recommended Pete Alonso at +290. Alonso is torching pitchers to a .344/.468/.656 line with eight homers and a 1.124 OPS through 35 games, and he now draws Ryne Nelson’s 5.82 ERA. The Polar Bear has already taken Nelson yard three times in just nine career plate appearances (4-for-9, .444 BA). Soni trusts the MVP-level form plus the pristine BvP data to keep Alonso’s power parade rolling.

Shubham Soni pushed Oneil Cruz at +280 to go deep in St. Louis. Cruz is doing everything in 2025—.243/.377/.505 with eight bombs, 18 RBI, 20 runs and 14 steals in only 32 games—and Busch Stadium plays friendlier to left-handed power than people think. Miles Mikolas has coughed up a 4.66 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over 29 innings and has always been softer on lefties. Soni likes the combination of Cruz’s elite bat speed, plate discipline and park factors against a righty who is struggling to miss bats.

Shubham Soni said Christian Walker is a high-upsider home-run prop at +330 because the surface stats hide how hard the ball is coming off his bat. Walker is slashing an ugly .200/.273/.350 with only four homers through 32 games, yet he owns a 91-mph average exit velocity and 32 % hard-hit rate that scream positive regression. Tonight he gets Tobias Myers and his 5.14 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and shaky command. Soni framed it as a classic buy-low: back Walker’s underlying power profile to convert against a pitcher who is letting everyone put the ball in play with authority.

Soni ranked Cal Raleigh his No. 1 HR prop even though the line is shortest at +230. Raleigh already paces MLB with 12 home runs and just clubbed two—including a grand slam—in Texas last week. The switch-hitting catcher continues to mash right-handed pitching, and Soni stressed that bettors are still getting plus money on a bat capable of multi-homer nights any time he steps in. The form, matchup splits, and league-leading power justify swallowing the smaller but still profitable price.

Shubham Soni highlighted Shohei Ohtani at +270, pointing to a .400 average with 2 bombs across his last eight games and an overall .304/.399/.565 line (8 HR, 22 RBI, .964 OPS). He faces former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara, currently a shell of himself at 2-3, 8.31 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, and four homers surrendered in six starts. With Ohtani’s contact streak converging on Alcantara’s collapse, Soni believes this is one of the strongest value plays on the board.