Sia Nejad heavily endorsed Collin Morikawa heading into the 2025 Masters, based on Morikawa's stellar ball-striking form and consistent Masters history. Morikawa showed phenomenal iron play over the last year, combined with occasional spikes in his short game. Nejad also emphasized Morikawa's well-rounded Augusta performances historically—he has steadily gained strokes in all four strokes-gained categories for four consecutive years. With odds slightly longer than Rahm at +1600, Morikawa was highlighted as significantly better value given his skill set and consistent performance at Augusta National.

Golf analyst Sia Nejad recommended fading former Masters champion Jon Rahm heading into the 2025 Masters, citing unattractive betting odds relative to his actual likelihood of outperforming other top-ranked contenders. Despite Rahm's status as the 2023 winner, Nejad expressed hesitation to favor Rahm at current short odds (+1400) against elite PGA talent, indicating his shaky value given uncertainty about how Rahm stacks up at this time against top competition. Bettors were urged to approach Rahm cautiously given the potential lack of upside at his priced odds.

Sia Nejad expressed a preference against betting Scottie Scheffler at current short odds in the outright winner market for The Masters. Nejad acknowledged Scheffler's elite talent and did not question his overall capability, but felt strongly that current betting prices on Scheffler offered limited value. Instead of placing bets on golfers positioned at the very top of the odds board, Nejad highlighted his preference to look elsewhere for stronger value propositions with more attractive pricing.

Sia Nejad advised avoiding short-priced outright bets on Rory McIlroy for The Masters. While recognizing Rory is undeniably capable and talented, Nejad expressed reluctance due explicitly to Rory's short odds, describing them as unappealing for betting purposes. He clarified that although he wouldn't criticize other bettors who back McIlroy at the current price, Nejad himself intended to avoid making such short-priced wagers. Instead, he prefers targeting golfers in slightly longer odds ranges for better value opportunities.

Sia Nejad argued strongly in favor of betting Collin Morikawa for The Masters, stating that concerns surrounding Morikawa's struggles closing tournaments are misleading and create betting value. He compared Morikawa's situation to that of an NFL wide receiver who occasionally drops passes but consistently gets open—in other words, Morikawa's presence atop leaderboards means he's continually in position to win because he's that talented. While acknowledging that Sunday performances can be concerning, Nejad believes these worries are overstated and that Morikawa consistently contending in elite fields indicates strong underlying performance. Nejad emphasized that, particularly if Morikawa's odds are between 16-to-1 and 22-to-1, that represents attractive betting value.

Sia Nejad spotlighted Patrick Reed's attractive 45-1 odds in specialized betting markets excluding top-tier favorites (Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Morikawa, Rahm, and Ludvig Aberg). Comparing Reed's odds to others like Koepka and Lowry who are priced significantly shorter, Nejad points to Reed as offering strong long-shot potential given his proven Augusta track record. He places appeal on targeting Reed in these alternate betting markets as a high-upside wager given Augusta-centric game strengths, scrambling ability, and historical Masters success.

Sia Nejad sees significant value betting on Xander Schauffele at 20-to-1 odds for the Masters, given the favorable price stemming from uncertainty around Xander's recent recovery and current form. Schauffele, who has strong historical finishes at Augusta (8th, T10, T3 in three of the last four Masters), has recently returned from injury and shown some encouraging signs, notably improved approach play despite mixed results overall. Nejad argues Schauffele's price could realistically be around 14-to-1 or even 10-to-1 if fully healthy and believes betting now capitalizes on potential market inefficiency as the event approaches. He notes Schauffele has had a couple weeks off to further sharpen his game, reinforcing the value at current pricing.

Sia Nejad does not favor Taiga Semikawa for DFS at the Houston Open due to poor course fit. Nejad stated he prefers Semikawa primarily at positional golf courses that play shorter and require precision. He explicitly doubted Memorial Park suits Semikawa's skillset, implying the course's demanding driving and challenging around-the-green conditions make Semikawa a weaker option this week.

Sia Nejad suggested Brandt Snedeker ($6,500) as an unexpectedly intriguing DFS dart throw due to his sneaky recent form. Snedeker produced a T10 at the Puerto Rico Open and a made cut at Valspar Championship (T57), raising eyebrows after extended struggles. Nejad regards Snedeker's competent short game and decent off-the-tee play as sufficient justification to consider him for DFS lineups requiring inexpensive shots, citing a potential resurgence worth monitoring closely.

Sia Nejad identified Ryan Fox ($6,900) as speculative DFS value, recommending careful optimism for his potential this week. Fox showed flashes of quality recently, including two standout rounds at Valspar and a T20 at the Players Championship, hinting at improved consistency and comfort. While Fox's previous Houston Open finish was mediocre (T78), Nejad believes Fox’s overall game and the underlying skills he displays off the tee make him a potentially underrated source of value this week in DFS lineups searching for discounted players.

Sia Nejad remains confidently supportive of Danny Walker as solid DFS value at $6,600, despite a narrowly missed cut in his last start. Walker's profiles consistently rated well historically and particularly suited to Memorial Park's layout. Nejad emphasized that last week's missed cut was minimal and not a significant downturn, citing just a small loss on Thursday followed by a minor stroke gain Friday, barely missing weekend play. Walker's past sustained strong performances throughout 2025 and underlying statistical consistency justify continued trust and DFS utilization this week, especially in lineups taking on higher-priced top-end golfers.

Sia Nejad enthusiastically endorsed Jake Knapp ($7,700) as a high-upside DFS pick at the Houston Open. Nejad highlighted Knapp's volatile but elite tournament-winning capabilities, labeling him as a "Ricky Bobby" type—prone to finishes near first or last. Nejad noted Knapp significantly improves a DFS lineup's upside given his explosive potential, evidenced by his PGA Tour win and erratic but impressive approach and short game metrics. Though recognizing the option carries substantial risk, Nejad emphasized Knapp as an optimal play in multi-entry GPP formats where tournament-winning potential matters more than consistency.

Sia Nejad remains confidently bullish on Joe Highsmith following Highsmith's recent string of excellent performances, notably improving his traditionally troublesome putting. After advocating and betting Highsmith last week, only narrowly missing a larger payday due to a missed short putt on the 18th green, Nejad maintained enthusiasm for Highsmith at Memorial Park. Given Highsmith's considerable tee-to-green strengths and continued putting improvement, Nejad clearly considers him worthy of continued strong DFS and betting consideration.

Sia Nejad views Thomas Detry as a prime DFS target, expecting his ownership to be depressed following a brief post-win slump. Detry recently earned his maiden victory at the WM Phoenix Open, after which he predictably had a couple of subpar outings. But he began rounding back into form with a T22 at the Valspar Championship, showing significantly improved metrics. Entering a weaker field at Memorial Park and equipped with renewed confidence from the breakout win, Nejad strongly believes Detry is positioned for an impressive performance at attractive ownership levels.

Sia Nejad flagged Si Woo Kim as a potentially overlooked DFS pick at Memorial Park based on recent statistical performances. Kim showed excellent recent form, gaining roughly 17 strokes from tee-to-green across his last four measured starts, while the putter has been better than usual. Sia expects the $8,900 price should drive ownership down due to sticker shock, yet Kim has solid recent course history (T17 and T35 finishes at Memorial Park). Given the importance of weighted off-the-tee and weighted short game metrics this week, Si Woo Kim profiles strongly and offers differentiated upside in DFS tournaments.

Sia Nejad is cautious about rostering Scottie Scheffler in DFS at the Houston Open due to restrictive pricing and potential lineup construction difficulties. Scheffler's exceptionally high price ($12,700 on DraftKings) requires multiple risky, low-priced supplementary picks. Although Nejad acknowledged Scheffler could boast suppressed ownership because of the challenging roster implications, he's still leaning toward balanced builds. He indicates Scheffler could potentially have slightly lower ownership than warranted, but still sees him as overly risky due to pricing.

Sia Nejad identified Wyndham Clark as an attractive DFS option in the $9K DraftKings range at Memorial Park. Nejad praised Clark's skillset and course fit, noting his strong pedigree and previous success at this venue specifically. He considered Clark slightly mispriced relative to others above him, suggesting Clark offers an attractive combination of upside and potential lower ownership. Nejad advocated for confidently rostering Wyndham despite a generally lukewarm feeling about the rest of the 9K players.

Sia Nejad recommends Sungjae Im as an intriguing, contrarian DFS play at the Houston Open. Despite recent poor approach statistics making Im an unpopular choice, Nejad highlighted that Memorial Park rewards players who are solid everywhere rather than stellar in just one category. Sungjae fits this criteria and if his approach game rebounds even slightly, he could significantly exceed expectations at very low ownership. Nejad sees Im as a potential GPP-winning, low-owned leverage play given his otherwise balanced skill set.

Sia Nejad is fully fading Aaron Rai in DFS lineups at the Houston Open, despite Rye's rising popularity and shortening betting odds. Nejad pointed out Rye's recent success at Memorial Park largely stems from unsustainably strong putting performance and impressive short-game play rather than a consistently appealing statistical profile. With elevated DFS ownership likely after strong course history and favorable recent results, Nejad emphatically rejects using Rye as DFS chalk.

Sia Nejad emphasized Danny Walker as a potential DFS bargain heading into the Valspar Championship, considering him mispriced given his demonstrated talent. Nejad outlined Walker's impressive ball-striking in recent tournaments and his solid Korn Ferry Tour results as indicators of his prowess. Despite limited experience, Walker's competitive performances, including a notable gain in strokes at The Players Championship, make him a promising option at $6,900.

Sia Nejad suggested Andrew Novak as a sneaky DFS option due to his solid results at previous Valspar Championships. Nejad highlighted Novak's respectable approach play stats, which led to a T-17 finish despite struggles off the tee and with the putter. The potential for Novak to combine his strengths and deliver a strong performance makes him a noteworthy under-the-radar pick in the competition.

Sia Nejad praised Jake Knapp as a DFS play with considerable upside, given his recent string of strong performances. Nejad observed Knapp's consistency, noting his improvement in approach play over seven consecutive tournaments and impressive putting gains in Florida events. Despite the small sample size, Nejad acknowledged Knapp's capacity to win and sees potential given his competitive price. However, Knapp's lack of experience at the Valspar and the volatility associated with his sample size poses a risk, yet Nejad is willing to take that gamble in pursuit of high upside.

Sia Nejad expressed confidence in Lucas Glover heading into the Valspar Championship, highlighting his combination of solid ball-striking ability and recent confidence with the putter. Nejad pointed out that Glover had altered his alignment and putter approach, which resulted in significant putting gains in rounds one and four of his last tournament. Known for his accuracy and elite mid-to-long iron play, Glover also has decent experience at the Valspar. At $8,800, Nejad views Glover as a strong value play with potential to contend, particularly if his ownership remains low amidst similar priced options.

Sia Nejad feels that Sam Burns is a risky DFS play, even with a stellar history at the Valspar Championship. Highlighting Burns's recent poor form, Nejad doesn't believe his past wins at this event make up for his current struggles, particularly with approach play. Instead, Nejad aims to find opportunities to fade Burns, possibly looking for intriguing matchup bets against him if the right opportunity presents itself. Nejad's stance reflects a concern more with current form than with leaning too heavily on historical success.

During the segment, Sia Nejad revealed an intriguing facet of constructing DFS lineups by highlighting the optimal lineup that scored well while remaining $6,200 under the $50,000 salary cap. Nejad emphasized the smart allocation of budget towards mid-range and lower-cost players, especially citing Lucas Glover as a strong choice in the $8K range due to his recent performances. The past optimal lineup's expenditure at $43,800 had Glover alongside less expensive but efficient players, encouraging consideration of this efficient budget strategy this week.

Sia Nejad advocated considering Rory McIlroy as a contrarian pick for THE PLAYERS Championship in their one-and-done format. He described Rory's recent performance as subtly impressive, noting he’s able to frequently remain just four shots back even on weeks when his approach game struggles. He pointed out that Rory has previously won at this venue (2019), and his consistent ability to contend ensures he offers significant upside despite likely not being highly picked by the field, thus representing good game-theory leverage.

Sia Nejad advocates strongly for Doug Ghim in the 'without favorites' betting market at elevated odds (70-to-1) due to compelling advanced metrics. Ghim ranks 8th weighted tee-to-green and an impressive 3rd in ball striking over his last 24 rounds, showcasing elite approach play. Although typically struggling on the greens, Ghim has gained strokes putting in two of his last three appearances at TPC Sawgrass, making his upside notably high if he continues his strong striking and stays hot with the putter. Nejad indicates Ghim's odds allow ample cushion even if he finishes just shy of the outright win, making him a strong DFS consideration as well.

Sia Nejad strongly supports Justin Thomas in the 'without favorites' betting market at +1600 odds rather than targeting his outright odds of +2200. Thomas ranks first in weighted tee-to-green metrics over the last 24 rounds, indicating elite ball-striking efficiency heading into THE PLAYERS Championship. Despite questions about Thomas's consistency off the tee and recent putting concerns, Nejad believes Thomas can manage those aspects given his track record and previous victory at TPC Sawgrass. With top-tier iron play and significant spike potential, Thomas holds considerable value in limited-favorite markets.

Sia Nejad recommends fading Sahith Theegala, betting Brian Harman -140 against him due to clear concerns over Theegala's current state. Nejad explicitly cited ongoing struggles in Theegala's overall game as a reason for the matchup fade, noting his belief Theegala has significant issues to work through, especially problematic at a challenging track like TPC Sawgrass.

Sia Nejad likes Will Zalatoris as a first-round leader at 70 to 1 odds, noting despite initial unconfident visual impressions, Zalatoris' underlying numbers indicate strong ball-striking performance last week, particularly in his metrics overall for the tournament. Nejad acknowledged putting must improve and doesn't foresee a four-round championship run, but believes Zalatoris' form is better than perception, making the FRL market especially appealing.

Sia Nejad advised backing Aaron Rai as a strong first-round leader pick at 80 to 1 odds. Nejad highlighted Rai's incredible ball-striking numbers recently, calling his metrics "crazy good." Although Rai might struggle to stay competitive deep into the tournament, Nejad emphasized Rai's spike potential in the first round makes him ideal for this specific bet.

Sia Nejad explained why Justin Thomas at 35 to 1 represents good value in the first-round leader market. Nejad noted Thomas' improving form, particularly emphasizing his elite approach play. Thomas just needs decent putting and stable driving to contend, and while Sia admitted 35 to 1 isn't outstanding, he still saw enough upside to consider it a worthy bet. He specifically highlighted Thomas' ability to get extremely hot in the first round, aligning perfectly with his assessment of Thomas' approach metrics trending upward.