Sports Betting Dime’s simulation engine spat out a 38.5-27.1 final score after thousands of run-throughs, giving Baltimore a 61% win probability and projecting them to cover the 6-point spread with room to spare. The site’s automated model blends play-by-play efficiency metrics, pace, injury adjustments, and home-field multiplicative factors. Bettors banking on the Lions’ recent offensive explosion would, per the model, be fading both a statistically lopsided spread and an implied total nearly four points above the market. In other words, the numbers say lay the points with Baltimore rather than chasing Detroit’s splashy Week 2 box score.