Stephen from Just A Bet Outside slotted Stephen Kwan into a two-leg hit parlay, confident the Guardians leadoff man records at least one knock. Kwan has collected a hit in 24 of 29 games and has not gone hitless on consecutive days more than once all season. He is batting .370 against right-handers and now draws Pablo Lopez, who is surrendering a .343 average to lefties in 2024 after allowing .267 last year. The matchup angle sweetens with Kwan’s personal 7-for-14 history versus Lopez. Given Kwan’s elite contact ability and the pitcher’s left-handed vulnerability, Stephen feels the single-hit floor is extremely safe.

Stephen from Just A Bet Outside grabbed the Tigers at +110 to avoid a sweep in Houston. He highlighted getaway-day dynamics—good teams rarely get swept—and a clear starting-pitcher edge: rookie Jackson Jobe has allowed three earned or fewer in every start, never more than four hits, and carries a 1.20 WHIP. Astros call-up AJ Blubaugh owns a 3.86 ERA with 28 K and 10 BB in 21 minor-league innings this year and a 4.02 ERA across recent seasons, raising concerns about control and workload. Offensively, Houston has only just started to hit, while Detroit’s lefty bats Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter profile well against the right-handed Blubaugh. Stephen also noted Houston burned high-leverage relievers (Scott, Abreu, Hader) the night before, whereas Detroit’s bullpen is relatively fresh outside of Will Vest. All told, the plus-money tag on a motivated Tigers club is too generous in his eyes.

Stephen from Just A Bet Outside paired Trea Turner with Kwan for a minus-104 hit parlay, citing Turner’s torrid stretch and friendly matchup. Turner is slashing .435 over the past seven days (tied for third in MLB) and historically rakes at Citizens Bank Park (.326 home average in 2024, .324 in 2023). He is 4-for-12 lifetime against Nationals starter Jake Irvin, who owns only an 18% strikeout rate versus righties and is permitting a 43.2% hard-hit rate despite the low batting average against. Stephen expects that suppressed average to climb and notes Washington’s bullpen remains one of baseball’s worst, adding extra plate appearances against shaky relief. All signs point to Turner extending his hot streak with at least one base hit.

Stephen from Just A Bet Outside backed Matthew Boyd to eclipse 16.5 outs at -125. Boyd has survived a brutal opening schedule—two starts each against the Dodgers and Padres plus one versus Arizona—yet still cleared this number in three of five outings while logging a 2.54 ERA and a 3.65 xERA. His pitch count (98-97-92 the last three) shows he is fully stretched. Pittsburgh ranks 21st in OBP and 20th in wRC+ vs lefties over the last three weeks, owns the sixth-lowest walk rate, and has produced just six total walks in seven games started by southpaws. Five of the seven left-handed starters who have faced the Pirates have gone at least 17 outs, and the two unders still reached five full innings, giving Boyd a high floor. Stephen expects the veteran to cruise through six frames in a far easier matchup than any he has seen so far.

Stephen from Just A Bet Outside said the only strikeout prop that really jumps off the Wednesday card is Chris Sale over his listed K total in Colorado. His case boiled down to two angles: first, the Rockies own the third-highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching over the last three weeks at 29.1 %, an even uglier number than what we saw from the 2023 White Sox. Second, Sale is still missing plenty of bats—36 punch-outs in 28.1 innings—and he carries a 33.9 % strikeout rate versus right-handed hitters, exactly the handedness he will see up and down Colorado’s lineup. Sale’s only game against a top-10 strikeout opponent produced eight strikeouts, and this will be just his second such plus matchup of the season. Stephen acknowledged Sale’s velo is down a tick and he has yet to clear five innings in 2024, but he still projects the Atlanta lefty for 6–8 Ks given the free-swinging profile of the Rockies and the slider that falls off the table to righties. He framed it as the one K prop worth attacking on the slate.