Steven Pintado said Tyler Warren is the only 2025 rookie tight end with a realistic shot at breaking into weekly lineups. Indianapolis invested premium draft capital after years of committee play, and Pintado expects the rookie to clear a 70 % snap share immediately. He cited historical data showing every rookie TE who reached 70 % snaps and 90+ targets finished no worse than TE15, using Dalton Kincaid’s 91-target, 673-yard TE15 campaign as Warren’s statistical comp. The swing factor is quarterback play: Anthony Richardson never threw more than four passes to a tight end in any 2024 game, and Daniel Jones remains wildly erratic. Pintado still believes Warren’s combination of route volume and red-zone size makes him a priority late-round redraft pick and an aggressive dynasty buy.