Although TheWeasle still projects Brunno Fajera to score a second-round knockout, he warned that the market’s –700 price tag is an overreaction. Fajera’s aggressive hooks and 100 % finish rate make him dangerous, yet he showed shaky takedown defense and questionable fight IQ—throwing spinning attacks after hurting opponents—against Abus Magomedov. Jackson McVie’s porous defense likely won’t exploit those flaws often, but the dog’s longer reach and willingness to wrestle at least create off-ramps that could bust such a steep line. TheWeasle believes a fair money-line number would be closer to –300; anything north of –500 offers little value and invites opportunistic bettors to sprinkle on McVie or hunt Fajera-inside-the-distance props to trim the juice.

TheWeasle forecasted a third-round TKO for Daniel Zellhuber over veteran Michael Johnson. He acknowledged Johnson’s faster hands and knockout pop, but questioned how the shorter boxer consistently enters range against a "longer, taller kicker". Zellhuber plans to sit behind the jab, batter Johnson’s lead leg with kicks and punish over-aggression with counters. Johnson has been knocked out three times in his last five, while Zellhuber showed an iron chin in a wild war with Esteban Ribovics, absorbing bombs and still pushing pace. With superior length, durability and a body-attack kicking game, TheWeasle sees Zellhuber gradually wearing Johnson down before pouring on strikes for a referee stoppage in the final round.

TheWeasle expects Ateba Gautier to "butcher" Robert Valentine via second-round KO. At 6'4" with an 81-inch reach, Gautier is as long as Israel Adesanya but twice as thick, yet still makes middleweight. He fights tall behind a jab, straight left and punishing low kicks, keeping his hands high on both offense and defense. Valentine’s best path is wrestling—his scrambles versus Ryan Loder were solid—but TheWeasle doubts he can penetrate Gautier’s distance management. With hand traps and constant defensive responsibility, Gautier should land heavy counters until Valentine crumbles.

Labeling Adam Fugit a "sacrificial lamb," TheWeasle forecasted a quick fence-side TKO for Islam Duloatov. He praised Doolatov’s "machine-gun combinations," fast hands and willingness to mix in takedowns and chokes if needed. Fugit is average everywhere—solid reach, but middling striking and wrestling—and lacks the tools to slow the onslaught. TheWeasle even cited Doolatov’s unusual jump from professional modeling to MMA as proof of his commitment and athletic upside. Expect an early barrage that forces the referee to step in.

TheWeasle predicted a second-round knockout for Brunno Fajera. Both fighters have 100 % finish rates, but Fajera’s "throws heat" approach and willingness to brawl give him the edge against Jackson McVeigh, whose defense is suspect. He admitted Fajera's takedown defense looked shaky against Abus Magomedov, yet feels McVeigh won’t be able to exploit it consistently. As long as Fajera shows better fight IQ—avoiding wild spinning attacks after he hurts his foe—TheWeasle expects the Brazilian’s power hooks to land and shut McVeigh’s lights off.

TheWeasle picked Carli Judas to win a decision over Nicole Kaliori. He noted that Judas stands 5'7" with a 68-inch reach, giving her significant length over Kaliori. Because Kaliori "tends to not move her head too much," TheWeasle expects Judas to snipe from range with straight punches and her signature high kick. Both women are fundamentally sound kickboxers, but the distance weapons and better leverage of the taller Judas led him to side with her on the scorecards.

TheWeasle still expects Roman Kopylov’s southpaw distance kickboxing to edge Paulo Costa, but he called the current –300 tag "too big of a favorite." He reminded listeners that Kopylov thrives on jab-left-straight and liver kicks while circling, yet Costa’s pressure, size, and brutal body work mean Kopylov must execute a perfect stick-and-move game plan for 15 minutes. With that much volatility—Costa can barge into the pocket and steal rounds on sheer volume—the touted analyst recommends passing on Kopylov’s money line or looking for tighter prop markets instead of laying the chalk.

While sportsbooks list Dan Ige around a two-to-one favorite over Patricio "Pitbull" Freire, TheWeasle believes the line is still light. He already projected a first-round knockout earlier in the show and doubled down here, noting Ige’s disciplined jab-to-right-hand combinations, faster hands, and the fact that Pitbull’s stocky frame forces him to wade through power to land his own hooks. Ige’s cardio advantage, plus his underrated defensive wrestling, further shrink Pitbull’s paths to victory. Because of those stylistic edges, TheWeasle feels a true price should be closer to –300, making the current –190/–200 range a value buy for bettors who trust "50K" to get it done inside the smaller UFC cage.

TheWeasle picked Dustin Poirier to score a fourth-round TKO in their trilogy, laying out several edges that tilt the matchup back toward the Lafayette southpaw. He argued Poirier’s boxing remains among the sharpest in MMA—slick shift combinations, a piston left straight, and a right hook he can land from range—while Max Holloway has started sitting on his punches and hanging in the pocket far longer than in their 2019 meeting. That style change, plus years of additional mileage (three wars with Volkanovski, the Cater and Rodriguez firefights, the recent knockout loss to Ilia Topuria), makes Holloway’s legendary chin a growing question mark. Poirier no longer enjoys a massive power advantage now that Holloway has bulked up for 155, but the New Orleans native still hits harder and forced eight takedown attempts in the rematch, adding another offensive wrinkle Holloway must respect. With Holloway switching stances, Poirier can keep him honest with the jab and high-elbow guard, then punish the body once Max tries to jab his way inside from orthodox. TheWeasle expects Holloway’s increased stand-and-trade approach to give Poirier more clean pocket looks than ever, eventually overwhelming a diminished chin and producing the retirement-fight finish in round four. He views the bout as a near pick-em, making Poirier a playable money-line side at current odds.

TheWeasle picked Roman Kopylov to upset Paulo Costa by decision, emphasizing a southpaw-centric distance game. At range Kopylov can repeatedly line up the left straight and slam liver kicks, whereas Costa’s open-stance right straight is less polished. Costa’s path is to bulldoze forward with combinations and brutal body work, but his predictable pressure and limited head movement leave him hittable on the way in. If Kopylov circles, resets, and “rinse-and-repeats” the jab-left-kick pattern, he can intercept Costa, pile up damage, and avoid prolonged pocket exchanges. Unless Costa cuts the cage flawlessly, TheWeasle thinks Kopylov’s cleaner kickboxing and footwork will bank rounds and earn a judges’ nod.

TheWeasle sided with Kevin Holland to score a second-round knockout over the forward-charging Daniel Rodriguez. Rodriguez must push inside to box, but his entries are "very stiff," making him a sitting duck for Holland’s sniper right straight in the open-stance southpaw vs orthodox matchup. Holland enjoys a big reach edge, carries true one-punch power, and is the better grappler if scrambles ensue. With Rodriguez lacking hand speed and footslickness, TheWeasle expects Holland to tag him repeatedly from range, eventually dropping him and finishing with follow-up punches inside two rounds.

Calling it an inevitable brawl, TheWeasle predicted Dan Ige starches Patricio “Pitbull” Freire in round one. Both featherweights march forward looking for power shots, yet he argued Ige is the superior boxer—working off a disciplined jab and pinpoint right-hand counters that iced Andre Fili and Gavin Tucker. Pitbull’s willingness to trade plus his smaller frame make him vulnerable when exchanges heat up. TheWeasle added that aside from Josh Emmett, few can beat Ige in a pure firefight. Expect explosive exchanges, but Ige’s sharper hands and better timing should land first and last, producing an early knockout.

TheWeasle picked Kyler Phillips to win a decision over the surging, five-fight streak Vinicius Oliveira. He likened Oliveira to Michael Morales—huge for the division, raw but freakishly strong, throwing haymakers, flying knees and muscling takedowns. Phillips, however, is the far cleaner technician with superior footwork and angle exits. TheWeasle stressed that Phillips must dial up volume compared to the Rob Font fight, avoid prolonged wrestling exchanges that drained his gas tank there, and instead "pot-shot and exit" while circling. Because Oliveira’s best chance is to drag him into wild power exchanges or extended grappling, Phillips’ movement is the key commodity. If he keeps the bout vertical and picks spots, his speed and clean combinations should pile up points and steer him to the cards.

TheWeasle said Brendan Allen should take a decision over Marvin Vettori because Allen owns the technical edge in every phase. He pointed out that Vettori’s only elite skill is his granite chin, while Allen is the cleaner boxer and far more dangerous on the mat with "excellent Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu" and quicker scrambles. Vettori has gone five rounds and can push pace, yet TheWeasle warned his wrestling was badly exposed when Jared Cannonier landed repeated takedowns, and even Jack Hermansson got him down twice. Allen may not be an explosive wrestler, but he willingly chains attempts—shooting over and over like he did versus Chris Curtis and Nassourdine Imavov—until he finds top position. With better positional grappling and slick chokes, Allen can threaten on the floor while out-teching Vettori on the feet, making a judges’ nod the most likely outcome unless Vettori’s chin somehow carries him to an upset.

In a matchup of fighters riding two-fight skids, TheWeasle sided with Francisco Prado by unanimous decision. Veritanikov is the bigger man with a sharp right straight and solid fundamentals, but Prado’s path is to pressure relentlessly. While Prado’s head-movement is minimal, his offensive arsenal—varied combinations, kicks and forward volume—is broader. TheWeasle pointed to Prado’s tough UFC schedule (Jamie Malarkey, Daniel Zahuber, Jake Matthews) as proof the Argentine can hang. If he backs Veritanikov up, he should land more and convince the judges.

TheWeasle picked Jimmy Crute to submit Marcin Prachnio in round three. Prachnio’s movement and switch-stance kicks impress in flashes, but his "glass chin and no submission defense" remain glaring holes. Crute owns the better hands, superior wrestling and a dominant top game. The only red flag is Crute’s cardio—he gassed after nearly finishing Hodolfo Bellato last time out—but if he jabs forward, chops the leg, forces clinches on the fence and paces himself, TheWeasle thinks the takedowns come easily. Once on the mat, Crute should lock up a late choke or arm lock.

Calling it an "entertaining but not technical" matchup, TheWeasle forecasted a quick knockout for Ryan Spann. He views Lucas Bresci as having a puncher’s chance but "no chin, no defense," while Spann’s wild, heavy-handed flurries usually find the target early. Even unconventional weapons like Spann’s spinning heel kick could land because of Bresci’s porous defense. Expect chaos, but Spann’s power should put Bresci away inside the opening round.