Thor Nystrom wrapped the mock by handing Georgia safety Malaki Starks to the Eagles at pick 32 and said the move is so on‑brand for Howie Roseman that odds are bound to tumble. Starks owns a 4.38 forty, a 41‑inch vert, and the highest coverage grade (90.3) among SEC safeties the past two years while playing three different roles—single‑high, slot, and the Bulldogs’ hybrid STAR. Philadelphia cycled through five safeties last season and still finished 31st in explosive‑pass rate allowed, so Roseman’s Georgia pipeline (five Dawgs drafted in the last two classes) makes Starks the obvious fall‑stopper. Thor pointed out that books still hang Starks’ draft slot O/U at 36.5 and list ‘Team to Draft Malaki Starks – Eagles’ as long as +650 because most mock drafters assume Philly will chase trenches. He urged bettors to pounce on those numbers now, arguing that once insiders report the Eagles’ medical board clears Starks, “there is no chance he makes it to Day 2.”

Thor Nystrom picked Ohio State’s Donovan Jackson for the Chiefs at No. 31 and called any Jackson draft‑slot Under above 33.5 a gift. Kansas City lost Joe Thuney and still hasn’t extended Creed Humphrey, so Brett Veach wants an interior rock who can also moonlight at tackle in a pinch. Jackson checks every box: a 9.22 RAS, 34‑inch arms, and a 1.71 ten‑split that puts him in the 90th percentile for guards. When Josh Simmons tore his ACL, the Buckeyes slid Jackson to left tackle for two games; sacks dropped from eight to one, and he stonewalled projected top‑15 edge James Pierce in the CFP semifinal. Thor believes that movable chess‑piece trait is why Andy Reid will prefer Jackson over the heavier Tyler Booker, yet books still price Booker as the higher pick. He recommended betting ‘First interior OL drafted – Jackson’ (+400) and pairing it with Chiefs‑Jackson exact‑match props before the market wakes up to the athleticism narrative Reid covets.

Thor Nystrom slotted Kentucky corner Maxwell Hairston to the Bills at pick 30 and told bettors the match makes too much sense to ignore. Buffalo has cycled through eight different outside corners the past two seasons and just let Tre’Davious White walk, leaving only Christian Benford locked into a 2025 starting role. Hairston fixes that overnight. The 6‑0, 188‑pound junior blazed an electronically‑timed 4.34, posted a 10‑foot‑6 broad, and—crucially for Sean McDermott’s scheme—pressed on 57 % of his college snaps. Nystrom highlighted a play versus Auburn where Hairston was the “only DB all year who chased down burner AJay Jan‑Bon from behind,” proof the long speed is real. Despite drawing 75 targets, he surrendered just one completion of 30‑plus yards and broke up 15 passes, numbers that would have led every Bills corner in 2023. Draft books still list ‘Position of Bills first pick – CB’ at +260 and keep Hairston’s draft slot O/U at 31.5 even money; Thor advised smashing both markets before insiders leak Buffalo’s cornerback obsession.

Thor Nystrom sent Georgia’s Mykel Williams to Washington at No. 29, arguing the pick lines up perfectly with Dan Quinn’s mandate for edges who “play the run like linebackers.” Williams set a clean edge on 82 % of graded run snaps last season—best among SEC starters—and still chipped in 41 pressures despite Georgia’s containment‑heavy rules. Nystrom emphasized that Quinn’s Cowboys benched Dante Fowler mid‑season because of run gaps even as he piled up sacks; the new staff will not repeat that mistake. Williams’ 34‑inch arms and 6‑5/270 frame give him the strength to rag‑doll tight ends while still flashing a ghost move that clocked a 0.78‑second get‑off at the Dawgs’ pro day. Books have yet to adjust: his draft‑slot O/U sits at 31.5 and ‘First Edge Defender drafted after pick 20 – Williams’ pays +300. Thor advised rushing to the window before the positional run he anticipates pushes Williams into the mid‑twenties consensus.

Thor Nystrom projected Marshall edge Mike Green to Baltimore at pick 27 and labeled it quintessential Ravens: “high‑ceiling talent with just enough off‑field smoke to scare conservative teams.” Green’s dismissal from Virginia clouds the resume, yet he dominated the pre‑draft circuit—4.53 forty at 261 lbs, 35‑inch arms, and a three‑cone under 7.0. The Ravens’ analytic department loves his 19.1 % pressure rate on true pass‑sets, and Mike Macdonald’s multiple front lets Green align at wide‑9 on early downs before kicking inside on third‑and‑long. Thor thinks Baltimore will happily absorb the character risk after hitting on similar swings (Odafe Oweh, Kyle Hamilton). Draft books still list Green’s slot O/U at 33.5 and price ‘Ravens first pick – DL/EDGE’ at +175; Nystrom urged bettors to grab both, insisting “once insiders leak that Baltimore cleared his background, the number crashes.”

Thor Nystrom slotted Ohio State’s Josh Simmons to the Rams at No. 26, calling him “the best Day‑1 value on the board if you can stomach red‑flag medicals.” Simmons posted an 86th‑percentile pass‑block efficiency before tearing his ACL against Oregon, then still logged a 9.18 RAS during Indy medical re‑checks—evidence, per Thor, that the knee is tracking ahead of schedule. The Rams can slow‑roll him thanks to Alaric Jackson and Rob Havenstein, but Havenstein’s deal expires after 2025; Simmons would be the long‑term bookend for whoever eventually replaces Matthew Stafford. Books leave his draft‑slot O/U at 39.5 on fears he slides to Day 2; Thor believes Los Angeles at 26 or Kansas City at 31 are the true floors and recommends pounding the Under and sprinkling on ‘Rams first pick – OT’ props that still show plus money.

Thor Nystrom pegged Emeka Egbuka to Houston at pick 25 and called the move “the cleanest way to turbo‑charge C.J. Stroud’s Year‑2 leap.” Nystrom explained that with Gray Zabel and Kelvin Banks already off the board, the Texans’ best path is weaponizing the slot. Egbuka averaged 2.91 yards per route run from inside at Ohio State and was Stroud’s go‑to option on money downs—he saw a team‑high 28 third‑and‑medium targets and converted 24 of them. Nystrom highlighted that Houston leaned on Tank Dell pre‑injury for the same role but lacks a reliable high‑volume option after Dell’s setback. Egbuka’s 76 % contested‑catch rate within 10 yards gives Stroud a chain‑moving safety valve that frees Nico Collins and Dell to attack deeper quadrants. Draft books still price ‘Team to Draft Emeka Egbuka – Texans’ between +650 and +800; Thor advised locking those numbers while the market remains focused on O‑line props for Houston.

Thor Nystrom doubled‑down on Walter Nolen to Minnesota at No. 24, stressing that the Ole Miss transfer is “the last interior defender on the board who can single‑handedly wreck a play.” Nystrom noted Nolen’s path: former No. 1 overall recruit, No. 1 player in the portal, and a 12.6 % pressure rate that already matched his five‑star hype. The key new wrinkle, in Thor’s view, is the massive jump Nolen made as a run defender last year—an 8‑point improvement in run‑stop win rate—making him a three‑down option instead of a pass‑rush specialist. Flores would use the rookie as the immediate backup across all three interior spots, giving him 30‑plus snaps a game while keeping Harrison Phillips fresh. Books still hang Nolen’s draft‑slot O/U at 27.5 with even money on the Under; Thor urged bettors to mash that Under and grab any Vikings‑Nolen exact‑match props because “once teams finish their medical meetings, he won’t get past Minnesota.”

Thor Nystrom leaned toward Walter Nolan as Minnesota’s choice at No. 24, saying the Texas A&M wrecking ball gives Brian Flores the interior penetrator his amoeba front currently lacks. After Kelvin Banks, Gray Zabel and the other premium O‑linemen flew off the board, Thor dismissed guard Tyler Booker as a zone‑scheme misfit and pivoted to defense. Nolan’s 6‑4/325 frame, 9.7 RAS, and 12.6 % pressure rate scream three‑down upside, and Flores covets linemen who can alternately two‑gap or shoot the A‑gap depending on the call. Sportsbooks still hang Nolan’s draft‑slot O/U at 27.5 with even money on the Under; Nystrom advised hitting that number and grabbing any Vikings‑Nolan exact‑match tickets before the chatter pushes his consensus range firmly into the teens.

Thor Nystrom slotted Oregon defensive tackle Derrick Harmon to the Chargers at No. 22 and called any Harmon draft‑slot Under numbers north of 30.5 a buy while books still price him as a fringe Day‑2 pick. With Kenneth Grant and Colston Loveland off the board, Nystrom expects Jim Harbaugh to pivot to a familiar Big Ten foe: Harmon spent three years at Michigan State, was recruited by Harbaugh’s Wolverines, then slimmed from 330 to 310 after transferring to Oregon and promptly led the nation in hurries among interior defenders. Thor highlighted Harmon’s 34‑inch arms, ability to line up from 0‑tech to 5‑tech, and Detroit roots that Harbaugh tracked closely on the recruiting trail. Los Angeles ranked 29th in interior pressure rate last season; pairing Harmon with Tuli Tuipulotu would finally give them collapse up the middle. Nystrom recommended firing on ‘Chargers first pick – DL’ (+160) and any exact‑match Chargers‑Harmon props before the market reacts to the coaching connection.

Thor Nystrom projected Texas corner Jahdae Barron to Green Bay at pick 23, arguing that his Swiss‑army‑knife zone skills align perfectly with Jeff Hafley’s heavy‑quarters scheme. Barron played boundary, nickel and single‑high last year, logged snaps as a dime linebacker, and allowed just a 54 % catch rate in zone concepts. With Jaire Alexander’s future unsettled and the Packers already 10th in man‑coverage rate drop‑off, Thor expects the front office to prioritize a movable chesspiece over another outside‑only corner. Books still list ‘Position of Packers first pick – CB’ at +325 while Barron’s draft‑slot Over/Under sits at 29.5; Nystrom likes the Under and any Packers‑Barron exact‑match props, noting that Green Bay recently brought him in for a private workout focused exclusively on zone‑rule installs.

Thor Nystrom predicted that Pittsburgh will pull the trigger on Jaxson Dart at pick 21 and told bettors to treat the Ole Miss passer’s draft‑slot Under 24.5 (currently –125) as one of the sharper angles left on the board. Nystrom noted that two fringe quarterbacks—Dart and Jalen Milroe—received green‑room invitations, a signal the league expects one or both to slip into the back half of Round 1. Even if the Steelers ultimately land Aaron Rodgers on a one‑year rental, Thor believes the front office still wants a long‑term contingency plan and prefers a pocket passer who mirrors their Pickett/Ben era concepts. Dart checks every one of Bill Parcells’ seven QB benchmarks, owns legit NFL arm talent, and operated efficiently in both the Air Raid (USC) and Lane Kiffin’s motion‑heavy attack (Ole Miss). The only unknown is how he processes after the snap, but Nystrom pointed to similar ‘black‑box’ prospects—Matt Corral, Sam Howell—who still went top‑150. He advised pairing the Under 24.5 with “Team to Draft Jaxson Dart – Steelers” props that still sit between +450 and +600.

Thor Nystrom said Denver will not hesitate to take Omarion Hampton if he lasts to pick 20 and urged listeners to sprinkle on any ‘Team to Draft Hampton – Broncos’ props still sitting north of 10‑to‑1. Nystrom called the North Carolina bruiser “scheme‑agnostic,” noting Hampton averaged 4.6 yards after contact in both gap and zone concepts while handling 22 touches per game. He squatted so much weight in high school that coaches literally stopped adding plates, and that lower‑body power showed up on tape with an FBS‑best 94 forced missed tackles last year. Despite the 226‑pound frame, Hampton hit 22.0 mph on the GPS and compiled 12.0 yards after catch on screens and swings—traits Nystrom compared to former Saints star Deuce McAllister, a back Sean Payton knows intimately. Pairing Hampton with Bo Nix would give Payton his preferred play‑action and dump‑off engine, letting the rookie quarterback stay on schedule. Thor still loves his earlier Under 19.5 position prop but said the juicier angle now is Denver‑specific exact‑order or first‑team markets before oddsmakers connect the dots.

Thor Nystrom said Seattle will sprint the card in if Matthew Golden is on the board at No. 18 and advised bettors to hunt down any Seahawks‑Golden exact‑match props that still show plus money. He explained that Seattle’s current receiver room is overflowing with slot types (Cooper Kupp clone Jaxon Smith‑Njigba and the aging Tyler Lockett) but lacks a proven boundary winner. Golden solved that prototype question at Texas, dominating SEC‑caliber corners down the stretch: 2.72 yards per route run and four TDs over his final three games, including a 127‑yard torching of Georgia in the SEC title clash. Nystrom noted that Golden’s late‑season surge only happened once the Longhorns quit force‑feeding Isaac Bond and admitted they “could have won the national title” had Golden not exited the Ohio State semi with an ankle sprain. Because the Jets already grabbed Tet McMillian in this mock, Golden is the last true outside alpha left, and Pete Carroll historically favors smaller boundary threats anyway. Thor expects Seattle to treat him as a Lockett succession plan and suggested betting Golden’s draft‑slot Under 19.5 alongside any ‘Seahawks first pick – WR’ markets before books react.

Thor Nystrom slotted Jihaad Campbell to Atlanta at pick 15 and said bettors should grab any Falcons‑Campbell combo props still showing plus odds. Campbell arrived at Alabama as a 3‑4 rush linebacker, spent the last two seasons at off‑ball to get on the field, and has been training strictly as an edge at EXOS throughout the pre‑draft process. Nystrom argued that gives Raheem Morris the flexibility to play Campbell next to Troy Andersen on early downs and then kick him outside to juice a pass‑rush that finished bottom‑five in pressure rate for five straight seasons. With Atlanta annually eschewing edge talent in round one, Thor expects the new regime to finally break that trend and sees Campbell’s position versatility as the perfect compromise. He advised bettors to attack any ‘Position of Falcons first pick – Edge/LB’ markets or Campbell exact‑match numbers before they shorten.

Thor Nystrom called Colston Loveland to Indianapolis at 14 "a flashing neon sign" and compared it to a free square on draft‑prop bingo cards. The Colts failed to address tight end in free agency and reportedly view the spot as the last missing piece for Anthony Richardson’s development. Nystrom said Indy would have pounced on Tyler Warren had he slipped, but with Warren long gone, Loveland’s combo of seam‑stretch speed and inline toughness makes him the obvious target. Because books still price Loveland’s draft slot in the high teens, Thor urged bettors to hammer any Under 17.5 numbers or exact‑match props tying the Michigan tight end to the Colts before the market closes that gap.

Thor Nystrom slotted Texas left tackle Kelvin Banks to San Francisco at pick 11 and said Banks “is going higher than people think,” placing his draft‑slot Under 12.5 firmly in play. With Tyler Warren and Ashton Jeanty likely off the board, Thor expects the 49ers to pivot to trenches help, noting Trent Williams is 36 and the right‑side starter is a revolving door. Banks posted elite 85th‑percentile pass‑block efficiency in the Big 12, checks the 49ers’ athletic thresholds, and offers immediate swing‑tackle flexibility. Nystrom added that Miami (pick 13) will pounce if San Francisco passes after losing Terron Armstead, creating a narrow escape hatch for the Under. He recommended bettors take Banks to be a top‑12 selection or sprinkle 49ers‑Banks exact‑match props while books still price him behind Will Campbell and Mason Graham among trench prospects.

Thor Nystrom projected Shedeur Sanders to the Saints at pick No.9, calling him both the top quarterback and the best overall prospect still on the board. Nystrom dismissed the narrative that New Orleans is out on Sanders simply because the club skipped his pro day, noting teams often disguise true targets to avoid tipping their hand. He cited multiple league sources who insist Dennis Allen loves Sanders’ timing‑route accuracy and quick processing for his West Coast scheme. Draft books currently list Sanders’ position line at 8.5 with the over juiced to –330; Thor considers that price still playable given the limited QB demand in the top eight and New Orleans’ “desperate” long‑term need. He encouraged bettors to pair the Over 8.5 with team‑to‑draft props on the Saints while odds remain in double digits.

Thor Nystrom projected Missouri left tackle Armand Mambou to fall to Chicago at pick 10 and called the current +280 price on Mambou “after the 6th pick” a gift. Thor argued the Bears already shored up their interior line in free agency and now view tackle as the final offensive‑line piece in front of Caleb Williams. Because Jacksonville appears locked onto a defensive lineman and both Las Vegas and the Jets have bigger needs inside, Nystrom believes Mambou’s most realistic landing spots now start at No. 7 and stretch to Chicago at No. 10. He advised bettors to grab any Over 6.5 or ‘Exact Team – Bears’ Mambou props before the market reacts to the slide chatter.

Thor Nystrom said steam has made Jalen Walker the hottest name on draft boards and now expects Carolina to snag him at pick No.8. Walker— a 6‑1, 245‑pound hybrid edge/off‑ball linebacker from the Carolinas—checks multiple Panther needs after their front‑seven ranked bottom‑five in pressure rate and run‑stop win rate. Nystrom highlighted Walker’s tape against SEC tackles, his sideline‑to‑sideline range when used as a spy, and his 40‑45% projected edge snaps that give Ejiro Evero formation flexibility. Walker had been mocked 27th just a month ago, but local ties and Carolina’s history of keeping homegrown prospects (e.g., Xavier Legette) pushed his odds inside the top 10. Thor advised bettors to grab any Panthers‑Walker combo props still showing double‑digit pricing because books are finally reacting to the surge.

Thor Nystrom told listeners to take any line that lists Omarian Hampton’s draft position higher than 19.5, insisting the North Carolina workhorse is a lock to be selected inside the top 20. While some analysts lump Hampton into the same tier as Caleb Johnson and the two Ohio State backs, Nystrom said league evaluators disagree, viewing a noticeable gap after Hampton. Teams love his 226‑pound frame, three‑down vision, and pass‑pro chops; several front‑office scouts compared his contact balance to Nick Chubb’s coming out of Georgia. With running‑back‑needy clubs such as Denver (pick 20) and Tampa Bay (pick 19) lurking—and a dearth of power runners in the class—Nystrom believes the market is mis‑pricing Hampton’s floor. He advised bettors to smash the draft‑slot under before it inevitably closes in the 17‑range next week.

Thor Nystrom advised bettors to keep hammering Ashton Jeanty at –150 to be the Raiders’ pick at No. 6 because the fit is almost too perfect. Nystrom called Jeanty the best running‑back prospect since Saquon Barkley and asserted he is even a tick better than Bijan Robinson. The Boise State star shattered every broken‑tackle metric in college football, logging 48‑plus more forced misses than the next‑closest runner and finishing with more yards after contact than any FBS back gained in total. Those numbers matter to Las Vegas, whose offensive line is merely average and whose new Pete Carroll/Chip Kelly brain trust wants to re‑establish a downhill identity while easing pressure on rookie QB Geno Smith’s placeholder season. With the draft’s only true skill‑position blue‑chip on the board and every league source expecting the Raiders to address ‘skill help,’ Nystrom believes the current –150 is still a discount before books move the prop into the –250 range.

Thor Nystrom noted significant late money coming in on Mason Graham to Jacksonville at pick 5. With Trent Baalke out, the Jaguars are no longer handcuffed by his strict arm‑length thresholds, clearing the runway to draft Graham—an interior disruptor who posted a 13.4% pressure rate at Michigan. Nystrom said Jacksonville’s staff views him as a Day‑1 three‑tech starter next to Travon Walker, a combo that would finally let Josh Allen rush from wide‑9 on most snaps. Books still offer Graham to be the Jags’ first pick at +200; Thor called that number "a gift" given the organization’s glaring need and the glowing reviews Graham received during top‑30 visits.

Thor Nystrom expects New England to select Will Campbell at No. 4 despite his own personal reservations about Campbell’s long‑term position. Nystrom said every front‑office source he’s spoken with comes away "fawning" over Campbell after interviews, and the Patriots have prioritized intangibles during their post‑Belichick reset. Campbell is currently –180 to be the pick, and Thor believes that price will only shorten once insiders start leaking finalized team boards next week. Bettors holding "first offensive lineman drafted" tickets on Kelvin Banks should hedge, as Nystrom is now 70‑30 confident Campbell is the guy in Foxborough.

Thor Nystrom endorsed laying the juice on Abdul Carter at –300 to go third overall to the Giants. He said New York’s brass just completed a final private workout with Shedeur Sanders, but multiple league sources insist Carter and Travis Hunter are viewed as the two can’t‑miss prospects in this class. Because Brian Daboll can likely trade down a couple spots and still get Sanders, Nystrom believes the safer move is to stay put and take Carter, an edge defender he grades as the best singular non‑QB talent available. With Hunter expected to be off the board at No. 2, Thor called Carter to the Giants “as close to a draft prop lay‑up as you’ll see this year.”

Thor Nystrom is well below consensus on LSU’s Will Campbell, ranking him as OT3 and insisting he ultimately profiles as an NFL guard. Nystrom doubts Campbell possesses the foot speed or arm length required to survive on the edge; he expects any franchise that drafts him as a tackle to slide him inside by year two. Bettors can leverage this opinion by taking Campbell’s draft‑position over or by wagering on linemen such as Kelvin Banks to be the first offensive tackle selected.

Thor Nystrom said league sources have told him Cleveland will aggressively pursue Shedeur Sanders if the quarterback falls out of the top ten. The Browns hold pick 33, two third‑rounders, and a 2026 fourth—exactly the capital needed to reach the mid‑teens on most trade charts. If Sanders is still on the board around pick 15 (currently Atlanta’s slot), Nystrom expects Andrew Berry to pull the trigger. Bettors playing "Team to Draft Shedeur Sanders" props should sprinkle on Cleveland at long‑shot odds before the market adjusts.

Thor Nystrom expects Cleveland to select Travis Hunter at No. 2 overall, citing the Browns’ current –350 odds and league consensus that Hunter is the top talent in the class. Nystrom said the organization plans to deploy Hunter on roughly 85 % of defensive snaps as CB1 and 40–50 % of offensive snaps as a perimeter receiver, giving them a football version of Shohei Ohtani. That dual role would push Jerry Jeudy into a secondary target while providing Cleveland with both a shutdown corner and a WR1 on a rookie deal—making Hunter at #2 one of the safest draft props available.

Thor Nystrom revisited the Round‑1 quarterback prop of 2.5. With Jalen Milroe and Jaxson Dart receiving green‑room invitations, the over has been juiced to –500. Nystrom refuses to lay that price and instead recommends grabbing the under at +350, noting recent draft‑day slides for Matt Corral and Malik Willis and pointing out that many evaluators grade this QB class similarly. His take: the plus‑money under is now the smarter side.

Thor Nystrom said Cam Ward has essentially locked up the No. 1 overall selection to the Tennessee Titans, calling it a "free spot" on every draft card. Tennessee quietly cancelled previously scheduled private workouts with Colorado stars Travis Hunter and Shedeur Sanders, a signal to Nystrom that the front office has zeroed in on Ward. Because the betting market has not fully baked this in, Nystrom believes any price that is still south of –300 remains playable, either as a straight wager or the first leg of exact‑order draft props.