Everett endorsed Dallas -3.5 on Monday night, highlighting defensive reinforcements: newly acquired LB Logan Wilson, DT Quinnen Williams, and the expected season debut of DeMarvion Overshown. Those additions should help contain a struggling Vegas attack already missing guard Jackson Powers-Johnson and possibly two more O-line starters. With Dallas coming off a bye and Dak Prescott leading the more explosive offense, Everett expects the Cowboys to score just enough to cover.

Everett sees value in Detroit +2.5 because Philadelphia’s rushing average has fallen from 4.9 to 4.0 yards per carry, a decline underscored by last week’s 10-7 win over Green Bay. The 6-3 Lions boast statement wins over Baltimore and Tampa and field a balanced offense plus a defense Everett trusts to slow an Eagles unit coming off its worst showing of the season. He thinks Detroit can win outright but happily takes the points.

Everett bet Kansas City -3.5, acknowledging Denver’s 8-2 defense is elite but insisting the Bronco offense can’t keep up. The Chiefs are coming off a bye following their 28-21 loss to Buffalo and, at 5-4, face a critical spot. Everett expects Patrick Mahomes and company to deliver a focused performance and cover the short number.

Everett laid 7.5 with Baltimore, spotlighting the Ravens’ 85-41 scoring margin in victories over Chicago, Miami and Minnesota. He argues Cleveland’s 2-7 offense can’t keep pace unless its defense limits Baltimore to 14 points or fewer—an unrealistic ask. Expect Lamar Jackson’s group to stay hot and win comfortably.

Everett rode with Arizona +3, explaining that injuries to Fred Warner and Nick Bosa have strained San Francisco’s defense over the past three weeks. The 3-6 Cardinals have moved the ball consistently with Jacoby Brissett under center. If they avoid turnovers, Everett believes they can cover—or even upset—a 49ers team that is 3-4 since its 3-0 start.

Everett called Seattle +3 an automatic play in what he considers a battle of the NFC’s two best teams. The Seahawks have outscored opponents 129-67 during a four-game winning streak, while the Rams are even hotter at 128-26. Because he’d back whichever side was catching points, Everett scoops up Seattle and would not be shocked by a push.

Everett took Chicago +3, noting the Bears have won six of seven and rank top-10 in points (26.6) and top-five in yards per play (5.9) with only six turnovers all season. JJ McCarthy, meanwhile, has thrown six INTs in four starts and is just over 50 % since returning from injury. Everett doubts Minnesota scores enough to cover.

Everett grabbed Carolina +3.5 despite Bryce Young’s ugly 5.0 YPA in a 17-7 loss to New Orleans and a season-long 5.6 YPA that ranks second-worst in the league. He thinks the Panthers’ defense and run game can keep things tight against a Falcons squad on a four-game skid. Atlanta’s own QB issues loom large: Michael Penix Jr. has hit only 53.3 % of passes over his last two games. Everett sees value getting more than a field goal.

Everett laid the field goal with L.A., pointing to Jacksonville’s meltdown last week—outscored 26-0 in the fourth quarter by Houston—and its slide to 5-4. The Chargers have rebounded from a 1-3 funk by thumping Minnesota, Tennessee and Pittsburgh 89-40, moving to 7-3. Although concerned about the Bolts’ offensive line, Everett doubts the Jaguars can exploit it, making -3 a buy.

Everett took Cincinnati +5.5 even while admitting the Bengal defense is shaky, because he doesn’t see Pittsburgh scoring enough to separate. The Steelers are 1-3 in their last four and mustered only 20 points Sunday night. Joe Flacco has ignited Cincinnati’s offense, highlighted by a 470-yard eruption in Week 7 against these same Steelers. Expect another tight divisional game inside the number.

Taking the full seven, Everett says he wouldn’t trust the 5-3-1 Packers to cover against anyone right now. He thinks the 2-8 Giants are better than their record and could get a spark from Jameis Winston’s Meadowlands debut. Green Bay’s first game without injured TE Tucker Kraft did nothing to calm concerns about Jordan Love’s passing attack, so Everett projects a one-score affair and grabs New York +7.

Everett laid 6.5 with Houston despite C.J. Stroud likely sitting. He cites Tennessee’s 1-8 record and second-worst yards-per-play offense as evidence the Titans will struggle to score on the Texans’ “outstanding” defense. Houston has won four of six since an 0-3 start and shown improved offensive balance. Though he expects a tighter game than the Week-4 26-0 blowout, Everett is confident the Texans win by at least a touchdown behind their defense and run game.

Everett argues the +5.5 line gives Buffalo too much respect. He notes the Bills offense only hums when the ground game clicks—something DT Vita Vea and the Bucs front can stifle. With Josh Allen forced to rely on an “underwhelming” receiving corps and Tampa’s 6-3 defense stronger than units that have already slowed Buffalo, Everett expects the underdog to keep things within a field goal even if they don’t win outright.

Everett backed Miami -2.5 in Madrid, pointing out that Washington has surrendered 380+ yards six times—including each of the last five—while tumbling to 3-7. He calls the Dolphins “dangerous when they can run it” and expects the rushing attack to thrive against a Commanders front that can’t stop explosive plays. With both teams 3-7 but trending opposite directions, Everett projects a narrow Miami win and cover.

Everett laid ‑7 with Denver on Monday night because Cincinnati must start Jake Browning after Joe Burrow’s injury. Browning’s first relief appearance produced only 53 rushing yards on 21 team attempts and three second-quarter fumbles (by others) put the Bengals in a 34-3 hole. Denver’s defense ranks eighth in EPA/play and should overwhelm a one-dimensional offense, especially at altitude. With Cincy unable to run, Everett sees limited paths to a back-door cover.

Everett grabbed the +2.5 with New York despite uncertainty between Justin Fields and Tyrod Taylor, trusting new head coach Aaron Glenn to secure his first victory. He acknowledged Miami’s mini-bye after a Thursday game but noted the Dolphins are still winless and rank 29th in explosive plays. With Robert Saleh’s defense allowing just 294 yards per game, Everett favors the Jets in a coin-flip divisional tilt.

Everett laid the touchdown with Green Bay, saying he would have done so even if CeeDee Lamb were healthy. With Lamb out, Dallas’ offense loses a 33% target share and faces a Packers secondary holding opponents to a 60.2 passer rating on throws of 10+ yards. After a ‘shocking’ loss to Cleveland, Everett expects Matt LaFleur to lean on a run game averaging 4.9 yards per carry and pull away in a prime-time get-right spot.

Everett took Kansas City +3, framing the matchup as two desperate 1-2 Super Bowl hopefuls. Potential returns of WR Xavier Worthy for KC and ongoing absences of DT Nnamdi Madubuike and LB Kyle Van Noy for Baltimore tilt the defensive trench battle toward the Chiefs. With both clubs leaning on top-10 defenses and the total dropping, Everett prefers banking the home field goal in what he projects as a low-scoring slog.

Everett grabbed Jacksonville +3 because San Francisco’s three wins came by a combined 10 points and the team is reeling physically—Brock Purdy (concussion protocol), George Kittle (groin) and Nick Bosa (season-ending injury) are all question marks or out. If Purdy is cleared Everett may pivot, but with Trevor Lawrence needing only to avoid turnovers (already four INTs on the year) he expects a one-score game decided by a late field goal, giving value to the dog while information is uncertain.

Everett laid the 1.5 with Chicago off Caleb Williams’ breakout (19-of-28, 298 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT). He views the Raiders’ offense as one-dimensional—only 3.1 yards per carry—and unlikely to keep pace if Williams pushes tempo. Chicago’s defensive front also faces a Vegas line surrendering 28.6% pressure, giving the Bears paths to cover even if the rookie QB regresses slightly.

Everett took Colts +3.5 despite the perfect 3-0 record receiving ‘little respect.’ Indy’s +47 point differential leads the league, and Shane Steichen’s offense ranks top-three in early-down success rate. While the Rams should be 3-0 minus a blown lead to Philly, their secondary just ceded 335 passing yards. Everett sees at worst a field-goal game between two underrated teams and likes the hook.

Everett grabbed Tennessee +7, arguing that Cam Ward’s first three starts all came against projected playoff teams and Houston’s own 0-3 start is anchored by a league-worst 12.7 points per game. Until DeMeco Ryans’ offense shows blow-out capability, Everett is happy to fade them as full-touchdown favorites—even if desperation narrative points to the Texans. He noted books still price Houston’s team total under 20, which dovetails with a close ugly game script.

Everett laid ‑2.5 with Washington, reasoning that Atlanta cratered from a 22-6 Week 2 win to a shutout loss against Carolina and still may not have Jayden Daniels available. Meanwhile, the Commanders rank sixth in defensive DVOA versus the run, a key edge against Arthur Smith’s ground-centric attack. Unless the Falcons find a passing spark, Everett expects Sam Howell’s offense—averaging 26.3 ppg—to do enough to cover a short number.

Taking the +5.5, Everett cited Dave Canales’ defense allowing just 4.9 yards per play in Week 3 and New England’s inability to create margin—Bill Belichick’s club has already lost outright at home to Las Vegas and Pittsburgh. With Bryce Young showing incremental progress and the Pats’ 31st-ranked red-zone offense (33% TD rate) unlikely to pull away, he sees Carolina live for an outright upset but at minimum a wire-to-wire cover.

Everett laid ‑6 with Los Angeles after The Athletic confirmed Jaxson Dart will make his first NFL start for the 0-3 Giants. He expects Brandon Staley’s defense to bait the inexperienced passer into multiple turnovers, allowing Justin Herbert and a top-five explosive-play offense (8 completions of 25+ yards already) to separate. The Chargers scored 31 in their lone road game and profile as a potential Super Bowl squad in Everett’s eyes, making the flat six cheap versus a team changing quarterbacks on a short week.

Everett laid the field-goal road chalk with Philadelphia, emphasizing Tampa Bay’s lengthy injury list: WR Mike Evans, RT Luke Goedeke, RG Cody Mauch and DL Calijah Kancey are already ruled out, while Tristan Wirfs and Chris Godwin are less than 100%. Despite the Bucs being 2-1 against Philly the last two seasons, Everett believes a depleted offensive line will struggle against an Eagles front generating pressure on 36% of dropbacks through Week 3. A healthy Jalen Hurts plus the league’s No. 3 rushing attack should be enough to clear the ‑3.

Everett laid the 8.5 with Detroit even while acknowledging Cleveland’s defense kept Green Bay out of the end zone two weeks ago. He expects the Lions’ own top-10 defensive unit to suffocate Joe Flacco and trusts Ben Johnson’s balanced offense to methodically reach a 20-10 type final. Detroit’s home splits (30.2 ppg in 2024) and the Browns’ anemic 4.7 yards per pass under Flacco drove the call.

Everett was willing to lay the massive ‑16.5 with Buffalo, citing the Saints’ 0-3 ATS mark and just one 20-point outing in Spencer Rattler’s nine starts. The Bills logged six wins of 20-plus last year and have already throttled the Jets 30-10. New Orleans’ 44-13 loss to Seattle underscored offensive agony, while Buffalo’s +63 point differential through three weeks suggests another blow-up spot. Everett reminded readers that big favorites covered routinely for Buffalo in 2024 and sees no evidence the trend stops here.

Everett laid the 2.5 with Minnesota, arguing the Vikings’ front will overwhelm a shaky Steelers offensive line that has already surrendered stacks of pressure on Aaron Rodgers. He added that left tackle Christian Darrisaw’s return stabilizes protection, suspended WR Jordan Addison is back, RB Jordan Mason has seized backfield touches, and Carson Wentz suddenly has a full complement of weapons. Two defensive TDs last week showed the unit’s ceiling, and playing on fast Croke Park turf should amplify the pass-rush advantage.

Everett laid 4.5 with Baltimore on Monday night, betting on Lamar Jackson to win a shoot-out despite lingering concerns about the Ravens’ ability to close games. Detroit just dropped 52 points on Chicago, yet Baltimore has averaged over 30 per game in back-to-back seasons. Everett concedes the Ravens blew big leads to Cincinnati and Buffalo last year, but he still trusts Jackson to outduel Jared Goff and cover at home.

Everett called Chiefs ‑6.5 the classic ‘get-right’ spot after heartbreaking losses to the Chargers and Eagles. He’s confident Patrick Mahomes will not start 0-3, especially if rookie burner Xavier Worthy returns to stretch a shaky Giants secondary. Although New York’s pass rush and home crowd could keep things tense, Everett still trusts Mahomes and Andy Reid to win by at least a touchdown.

Everett laid 1.5 with San Francisco, convinced Kyle Shanahan can keep the offense humming with Mac Jones (or a soon-to-return Brock Purdy) alongside Christian McCaffrey. He cites the revenge angle after Arizona’s season sweep capped by a 47-24 Week 18 humiliation. Facing the best defense the Cardinals have seen, Everett predicts Joshua Dobbs and company will stall, giving the 49ers a comfortable win relative to the short spread.

Everett scooped up the 1.5 with Dallas, siding with Dak Prescott in a game he projects as a high-scoring affair. While acknowledging flaws on both rosters, he prefers the Cowboys’ seasoned quarterback and pass rush over Caleb Williams and a rebuilding Bears defense, making the points feel like free money.

Everett laid 7.5 with Seattle, calling Mike Macdonald’s unit still underrated after clamping down on San Francisco and Pittsburgh. He expects the Seahawks’ pass rush and raucous Lumen Field crowd to rattle Spencer Rattler, who is coming off a career performance. With Seattle’s defense trending up and the Saints traveling cross-country, Everett foresees Rattler crashing back to earth and the Seahawks winning comfortably.

Everett laid 2.5 with the Chargers, projecting another big afternoon from Justin Herbert against a Broncos team he already swept last season. Herbert gets a rookie counterpart in Bo Nix, who is averaging just 5.5 yards per attempt with three interceptions. Even though L.A. must improve its rushing attack, Everett trusts the passing edge and the Chargers’ pass rush in their home opener to secure a two-score victory.

Everett advised caution but ultimately laid the half-point with Jacksonville. The Jaguars are averaging 169.5 rushing yards per game and now face a Texans defense that just surrendered 169 on the ground to Bucky Irving and Rachaad White behind an injury-torn Bucs line. Houston’s own banged-up O-line continues to stall C.J. Stroud. Everett leans on Trevor Lawrence and a clear rushing advantage to avoid an 0-3 start.

Everett laid seven with Tampa Bay, banking on a Jets offense that could be without concussed starter Justin Fields. The Buccaneers rallied past Houston Monday night despite missing both tackles; All-Pro LT Tristan Wirfs practiced last week and RT Luke Goedeke might return, upgrades that would bolster a ground game that gashed the Texans for 169 yards even while shorthanded. Assuming at least one tackle suits up, Everett foresees a comfortable Buccaneers win.

Everett laid 1.5 with Pittsburgh despite acknowledging the Steelers defense has regressed. He simply does not view New England—led by Drake Maye—as a legitimate AFC threat. Counting on Aaron Rodgers to engineer one extra scoring drive, Everett expects Mike Tomlin’s club to notch its second narrow victory over an AFC East team in three weeks.

Everett laid 3.5 with Washington even though Jayden Daniels’ status is uncertain. He argues the Commanders have ten days’ rest while the Raiders travel cross-country on a short week after Monday Night Football, and Las Vegas QB Geno Smith struggled badly against the Chargers. Everett trusts the Commanders defense to pressure Smith again and sees Washington sneaking inside the number regardless of whether Daniels or Marcus Mariota starts.

Everett swallowed the risk and grabbed 3.5 with the Rams. He acknowledged Saquon Barkley gashed Los Angeles for 457 rushing yards and four TDs in two meetings last year but reminded readers that L.A. nearly won the playoff shoot-out anyway. The Rams have started 2-0, outscoring foes 47-28, while Philly’s passing attack under first-year OC Kevin Patullo has looked shaky after two narrow wins. Everett expects another tight finish and values the hook on a field-goal spread.

Everett took Cincinnati plus three despite Joe Burrow’s season-ending toe surgery. He pointed to Jake Browning’s competent relief work last year and noted Minnesota will also start a reserve (Carson Wentz) while potentially missing Christian Darrisaw, Ryan Kelly and Aaron Jones. With both offensive lines banged up, Everett prefers the Bengals defense and believes the game is a coin flip—making the points valuable.

Everett laid 3.5 with Indianapolis after the Colts shredded Denver for 316 passing yards and 167 rushing. He now takes Shane Steichen’s offense seriously and doubts Tennessee—quarterbacked by the inconsistent Cam Ward—can keep pace. Everett envisions Indy jumping ahead early, forcing the Titans to abandon their ground game and play into Gus Bradley’s soft zone, setting up a comfortable Colts cover.

Everett grabbed 5.5 with Carolina even after the Panthers buried themselves with early turnovers in consecutive games and lost starting linemen Austin Corbett and Robert Hunt. He believes Bryce Young can rein in mistakes at home and replicate last season’s 44-38 OT win that featured the best outing of Young’s career. With Atlanta coming off an emotional Sunday-night defensive showcase in Minnesota, Everett anticipates a let-down and a one-score finish.

Everett laid the 8.5 with Green Bay, arguing that Cleveland’s elite pass rush led by Myles Garrett cannot mask an offense floundering under Joe Flacco. He expects Micah Parsons and the Packers front—fresh off bullying Jared Goff and Jayden Daniels—to create short fields that Jordan Love converts into points. Because the Browns have scored just 26 total points through two weeks, Everett projects a comfortable Packers cover despite Cleveland’s defensive talent.

Everett took Chicago –1.5 on Monday night. He highlighted Minnesota’s depleted receiving corps—Jordan Addison suspended and Jalen Nailor questionable—and the challenge of JJ McCarthy’s first start coming on the road. Conversely, he expects Caleb Williams, working under new coach Ben Johnson, to do just enough while the Bears’ defense contains the Vikings’ front.

Everett laid 1.5 with Buffalo, reminding bettors the Bills went undefeated at home in 2024 and avenged an early road loss to Baltimore with a playoff win in Orchard Park. He trusts Josh Allen to extend a run that saw Buffalo win nine of its last ten meaningful regular-season games.

Everett already leaned Packers –2.5 before last week’s Micah Parsons acquisition; the trade filled a glaring defensive need and cemented his stance. He also flagged Detroit’s revamped offensive line and coordinator changes as reasons Green Bay should start fast at Lambeau.

Everett grabbed Houston +2.5, citing offensive-line worries on both sides but valuing the Texans’ edge duo of Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter against 37-year-old Matthew Stafford. He believes that pressure advantage outweighs any concerns about Houston’s own protection.

Everett took Seattle +2.5, reminding readers the Seahawks won 20-17 in Santa Clara last November. He praised Seattle’s late-season defensive surge and likes its chances against a 49ers offense that may still be without Brandon Aiyuk, leaving Jauan Jennings as the top healthy wideout.

Everett grabbed Tennessee +7.5, arguing that No.1 overall pick Cam Ward represents a significant upgrade from last year’s Levis/Rudolph combo. In what he projects as a low-scoring affair, Ward’s playmaking should keep the Titans inside the touchdown-plus spread.

Although the Bengals have burned bettors in recent openers, Everett is laying 5.5 on the road. He simply views Cleveland as one of the league’s weakest rosters on paper and expects Joe Burrow’s group to buck its Week 1 trend this time around.