Tyler Shoemaker

2 Taeks

Los Angeles Chargers: Model shows value on Chargers -3

VSiN

2 Data Backed Favorites We Love For NFL Week 10 | NFL Picks

17 days ago

Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Tyler Shoemaker grabbed the Chargers -3 against Pittsburgh, calling it a clear edge based on multiple projections. His T Shoe Index lines the game at LA -5.5, while a separate market-based estimation formula spits out LA -9, gifting bettors 2.5–6 full points of spread value early in the week. Shoemaker also noted that the Steelers are just 1-2 ATS on the road and are flying west after an emotional, upset win over Indianapolis— a classic flat spot. With Jim Harbaugh’s group healthy and at home, Shoemaker believes the Chargers are in a strong position to win and cover before the hook re-appears.

Defenses point toward comfortable under

VSiN

2 Data Backed Favorites We Love For NFL Week 10 | NFL Picks

17 days ago

Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers

Tyler Shoemaker said the total for Rams-49ers is inflated at 49.5 and bet the Under. His T Shoe Index (TSI) makes the number 43, nearly a full touchdown lower, and his “Last-3” adjustment projects only 33.5 points because both clubs are trending even more defensive of late. Los Angeles is holding opponents six points below their season scoring average, while San Francisco is only allowing marginally better than league average offense. Offensively, the teams combine to score just 1.5 points above what opponents normally concede. Shoemaker added that when TSI and the short-term “Last-3” formula have agreed the past two weeks, those totals are 7-3 to the Under, giving him the green light to fire on 49.5 before the market corrects.