Tyler Sullivan labeled Sam LaPorta a mild bounce-back candidate, stressing that the tight end’s dip was about opportunity, not skill. LaPorta’s targets fell from 120 as a rookie to 83 last year, yet he remained efficient in YPR and catch rate. Sullivan acknowledged Detroit’s buffet of weapons—Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery—and the OC change with Ben Johnson leaving, but argued that even a modest bump in volume would vault LaPorta back into the top-eight TE tier. He’s a value if drafters overreact to last season’s raw totals.

Tyler Sullivan agreed Reed is headed for a step back, pointing to the Packers investing both a first- and third-round pick at wide receiver. Sullivan said the front office is "letting us know" they dislike the current room. Reed’s game-log volatility—one week 120 yards, the next 30—underscored that concern, and his final eight games (19-237-3) are well below a true No. 1 WR pace. With greater target competition and no evidence of week-to-week reliability, Sullivan considers Reed a fade in season-long drafts.

Tyler Sullivan said C.J. Stroud is primed for a noticeable Year-3 bounce back. Sullivan blamed the sophomore dip on Stroud eating 52 sacks (14 more than his rookie season), playing through an eight-sack playoff loss at Kansas City, and constantly seeing “ghosts” because Nico Collins, Tank Dell and others were in and out of the lineup. Houston fired OC Bobby Slowik and replaced him with Nick Caley, whose background under Bill Belichick and alongside Sean McVay signals a more QB-friendly system. Up front, Laremy Tunsil is gone, but the Texans added Cam Robinson in free agency and spent a Day-2 pick on Arontae Ursery to stabilize protection. Sullivan expects cleaner pockets and healthier receivers to push Stroud back toward the 8.2 YPA and league-low INT rate he flashed as a rookie—making him a clear buy in season-long formats.

Tyler Sullivan warned bettors to stay away from Aidan Hutchinson at +300 to win Comeback Player of the Year. Sullivan reminded listeners that a defensive player has not won this award under normal circumstances since Eric Berry’s 2015 post-cancer season, and the only recent exception was Damar Hamlin’s life-threatening incident in 2023. He pointed out that Hutchinson’s seven-and-a-half sacks in just five games before last year’s leg injury show his upside, but Detroit still has no proven edge rusher opposite him. Because the Lions need Hutchinson fresh for a December–January playoff push, Sullivan expects the team to manage his snaps early, limiting the splash games voters crave. Combine the offensive/quarterback bias of the award with a likely pitch-count start, and Sullivan believes Hutchinson’s short futures price is a poor value play and an avoid in award-prop markets.

Tyler Sullivan called Rashee Rice his favorite Comeback Player of the Year bet at 10-to-1. Even with Kansas City able to ease Rice in behind Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and Travis Kelce, Sullivan stressed that Rice already earned Patrick Mahomes’ trust as a rookie. In his three full games last season, Rice topped 100 yards twice; extrapolated over 17 games that pace equals 136 receptions, 1,600 yards, and 11 touchdowns. Sullivan believes a late-season surge is likely once Rice is fully healthy, turning the Chiefs back into a top-flight passing attack for both bettors holding award tickets and fantasy managers seeking second-half league-winning upside.

Tyler Sullivan expressed "lowercase concern" about betting Christian McCaffrey at +370 (third-shortest) for Comeback Player of the Year. Entering his age-29 season, McCaffrey led the NFL in touches during his last fully healthy campaign (2023) and subsequently dealt with Achilles and PCL injuries—mirroring the post-2019 drop-off he experienced in Carolina after a 403-touch year. Sullivan added that San Francisco’s offseason talent exodus, headlined by Debo Samuel, could funnel even more gadget and backfield touches to McCaffrey, compounding injury risk. High volume, advancing age, and a lengthy injury log make CMC a shaky futures bet and a fragile first-round pick in early fantasy drafts.

Tyler Sullivan endorsed betting Trevor Lawrence at +430 (fourth-shortest) to win Comeback Player of the Year, noting the quarterback has a clearer runway than Dak Prescott. Sullivan highlighted a fresh offensive scheme under first-year head coach Liam Cohen—known for pass-heavy concepts with the Rams and Buccaneers—and an upgraded receiver room featuring first-rounder Travis Hunter opposite Brian Thomas Jr. Lawrence’s issue has been volatility: before last year’s injury he completed just 52% of his passes in September, then 70% in October. Sullivan expects Cohen to iron out those wild swings and make Lawrence more consistent. With elite weapons, a favorable AFC South schedule, and the inherent award bias toward quarterbacks, Sullivan considers Lawrence both a strong futures wager and a buy-low target in best-ball and season-long formats.

Tyler Sullivan advised fading Dak Prescott in the Comeback Player of the Year market and tempering fantasy expectations. Sullivan pointed out that Prescott was under .500 as a starter in 2024 and threw multiple interceptions in four separate games even before the injury. Now the 31-year-old returns to an NFC East that features Jalen Hurts and rookie sensation Jayden Daniels—both quarterbacks from 2024 NFC Championship teams—making the divisional path brutal. Dallas has invested in pass protection (two offensive-line picks) and traded for George Pickens to join CeeDee Lamb, but Sullivan questions a rushing attack led by free-agent flyers Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders plus a Day-3 rookie. With the Cowboys paying Prescott over $60 million per season, eight prime-time games, and realistically needing the NFC East to send three teams to the playoffs, Sullivan believes the pressure and surrounding circumstances make Prescott a poor value at short comeback-award odds and a risky season-long fantasy bet.

Tyler Sullivan cautioned bettors not to take Baltimore’s 7-to-1 Super Bowl price at face value until the Ravens shore up cornerback. He highlighted that the defense ranked LAST in passing yards allowed through Week 10 before a dramatic mid-season turnaround and warned the true talent level is probably "somewhere in the middle." Sullivan pegged Jalen Ramsey as the ideal target, noting GM Eric DeCosta’s history of adding proven vets (Derrick Henry, DeAndre Hopkins). Pairing Ramsey with Marlon Humphrey and rookie Nate Wiggins would insulate the unit against regression and strengthen Baltimore’s path through a stacked AFC North.

Tyler Sullivan advised the Lions to push their chips in and trade for Trey Hendrickson, noting the Bengals edge led the NFL in sacks last season and remains without a long-term deal. Detroit’s current No. 2 rusher, Marcus Davenport, missed all of 2023, leaving Aidan Hutchinson to handle 33% of the team’s pressures alone. Sullivan framed Hendrickson-Hutchinson as a top-three edge tandem that would erase Detroit’s lone roster weakness and materially improve their Super Bowl odds (currently +1200). Bettors looking at NFC futures should anticipate a move that could push the Lions’ pressure rate from 21% (18th) into the league’s top tier.

Tyler Sullivan argued Dallas should trade for Breece Hall, calling him the cleanest fix for a ground game that ranked dead last in rushing TDs (6) and bottom-two in rushing yards per game a year ago. He pointed out the Cowboys lost Rico Dowdle, then replaced him with a 5th-round rookie (Jaden Blue) plus value-free-agent flyers Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders. Hall is entering the final year of his rookie deal, and a new Jets regime may be willing to move him. Sullivan believes a Hall-CD Lamb-George Pickens skill trio would restore balance, vaulting Hall back into top-10 fantasy RB territory on volume alone given Mike McCarthy’s historical 27-carry per game preference when he has a true bell-cow.

Tyler Sullivan said the Steelers should swing a deal for Jakobi Meyers now that George Pickens is in Dallas. Sullivan stressed that Pittsburgh suddenly has no proven receiver opposite DK Metcalf and expects the offense to tilt more pass-heavy once (or if) Aaron Rodgers arrives. Meyers’ sub-$12M cap hit and 22.7% target share with Las Vegas last year make him a cost-effective fit. The tout noted Pickens’ vacated 59-900-3 stat line from 2023 leaves nearly 24% of Steeler air yards unclaimed, creating an immediate fantasy path for Meyers to outperform his current late-round ADP if the trade materializes.

Tyler Sullivan projected George Pickens to transcend the typical WR2 label in Dallas and function as a true 1B alongside CeeDee Lamb. He reminded listeners that Pickens already owns a 1,000-yard season despite catching passes from Mason Rudolph, Kenny Pickett, Mitch Trubisky, Justin Fields, and late-career Russell Wilson. Sullivan argued that Dak Prescott represents a massive quarterback upgrade and cited Dallas’ league-leading 63% pass rate in neutral situations last year as fertile ground for targets. Given Pickens’ 15.4-yard career aDOT and top-15 contested-catch rate, Sullivan believes he can flirt with 1,200 yards and 8–10 TDs while forcing defenses to abandon double-teams on Lamb. He advised scooping Pickens two rounds ahead of current Season-Long ADP and tagging him as a high-ceiling tournament play in early DFS pricing.

Tyler Sullivan labeled Jordan Addison a prime "year-three boost" candidate. Although Addison has yet to post a 1,000-yard campaign, Sullivan highlighted his elite touchdown production—10 scores in each of his first two seasons—and believes volume will finally follow with rookie QB J.J. McCarthy taking over an offense that figures to lean on quick-hitting concepts. Sullivan expects defenses to bracket Justin Jefferson, leaving Addison in favorable single coverage where his route nuance shines. He projects Addison to clear 1,000 yards for the first time while maintaining red-zone chemistry, making him an ideal mid-round Season-Long pick who could outperform ADP by multiple tiers.

Tyler Sullivan said Davante Adams is set up for a spike season after being dealt to the Rams. Sullivan noted Adams still cleared 1,000 yards in his final 14 games with the Jets despite shaky quarterback play, then emphasized the upgrade to Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay’s timing-based passing game. The analyst expects Adams’ route-running to mesh perfectly with McVay’s heavy use of option routes and layered concepts, forecasting a return to 150-plus targets and a ceiling beyond last year’s 1,100 yards/8 TD line. Sullivan also pointed out that defensive attention will be split with Puka Nacua, whom he already ranks as a top-five NFL wideout, forcing opponents into more two-high shells that Adams has historically shredded. He framed Adams as a priority Season-Long target and a weekly DFS cash-game staple in 2025.

Sullivan handed Baltimore the division’s only B, pointing out that a team already in its Super Bowl window merely needed to patch the weakest spots. Exercising the fifth-year option on safety Kyle Hamilton and drafting versatile DB Malachi Starks shores up a secondary that struggled early last year. With Lamar Jackson still at MVP form, those defensive tweaks keep Baltimore on the short list of AFC favorites. Sullivan likes Ravens futures in the +800 to +1000 range and views them as the safest bet to top the AFC North again.

Sullivan graded Cincinnati a straight C because, while ownership paid up to keep Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase with Joe Burrow, the roster looks identical to the 2024 unit that missed the playoffs. The defense—the real culprit last season—received only a high-variance rookie edge rusher in Shemar Stewart, whose college resume shows 4.5 sacks total. Meanwhile, star DE Trey Hendrickson’s future remains unresolved. With no clear talent influx on defense, Sullivan expects the Bengals to be the same shoot-out-prone team and urged bettors to approach AFC or divisional futures skeptically and continue targeting game totals toward the over until proven otherwise.

Sullivan recommended fading Pittsburgh’s early season totals or win-total lines unless Aaron Rodgers actually puts pen to paper. Even after trading for and extending DK Metcalf and drafting DEs Derek Harmon and Jack Sawyer, he reminded listeners that last year’s offense with Mason Rudolph could not crack 20 points per game. If Rodgers drags his decision into camp—or never arrives—the 2024 script repeats: a good defense carrying an offense that cannot fully leverage Metcalf. Until the quarterback domino falls, Sullivan is treating Pittsburgh like last year’s 18-point attack and would bet unders or avoid their futures entirely.

Tyler Sullivan advised bettors to stay away from 2025 Cleveland Browns win-total or Super Bowl futures. He argued that the current five-man quarterback carousel—Deshaun Watson (still rehabbing), Joe Flacco, Kenny Pickett, rookie Dylan Gabriel and 5th-round pick Shador Sanders—signals the front office is punting the real QB decision to 2026. Sullivan noted that if the Browns truly believed Sanders was a franchise passer they would have drafted him on Day 2 instead of the 5th round. The organization also traded down for extra picks and spent No. 5 overall on DT Mason Graham, moves that point to a multi-year build rather than a 2025 push. Because the roster construction screams “future-oriented” and the most important position remains unsettled, Sullivan labeled Cleveland a stay-away for any 2025 over tickets or long-shot playoff bets.

Sullivan urged season-long and best-ball drafters to view DeAndre Hopkins as a volatile WR3 despite his move to Baltimore. He flagged multiple red flags: Hopkins turns 33 during the season, has missed chunks of two of the last three campaigns, and managed little on-field impact even while catching passes from Patrick Mahomes. Although Lamar Jackson is elite, the Ravens’ low-volume passing scheme plus Mark Andrews, Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman siphon targets. Sullivan concluded that drafting Hopkins expecting consistent WR2 numbers is a mistake; he is a spike-week bench piece at best.