WagerTalk Host leaned toward the full-game under if the number reaches 8.5, anchored by Nathan Eovaldi’s dominant under trend. Eovaldi’s 16 starts have gone 13-3 to the under, and the Rangers have generally played low-scoring baseball. While six of the last seven Braves-Rangers meetings have finished over, the host trusts Eovaldi to mute Atlanta’s bats and notes Texas’ own offense rarely forces overs. The total opened 8 (over -120) and could climb; that half-run plus Eovaldi’s 81% under rate makes the host interested. He did acknowledge the volatile Atlanta bullpen as the one potential spoiler.

WagerTalk Host said Texas is the bet on the first-five run line (-0.5 at -120) because the Rangers own a decisive starting-pitching edge. Nathan Eovaldi has been “lights out,” while Braves spot starter Joey Wentz brings a 5.71 ERA and 1.61 WHIP and is making only his second MLB start since 2023. The host expects Wentz to regress after four scoreless innings against the Yankees and believes Eovaldi will stifle Atlanta for the opening five frames. Texas is 5-0 since the break, Atlanta just 2-4 and beginning an eight-game road trip—momentum and travel factors he thinks matter early. He avoided the full-game moneyline (-170) and even the first-five moneyline (-180/-185) for price reasons, preferring the cheaper run-line lay.