Robert MacIntyre at 60-1 is a long-shot compelling to Wes Reynolds due to his Augusta-suited, left-handed bombing style similar to past winners Mickelson and Watson. After two missed years at Augusta, 'Bobby Mac' returns motivated, having logged respectable finishes (12th & 23rd) previously in limited Masters appearances. Reynolds noted MacIntyre's consistent 2025 season form—six top-17 finishes in nine worldwide tournaments—as a strong indicator he could significantly outperform his odds.

At 100-1, Patrick Reed is Wes Reynolds' favored longshot, owing to his persistent strong finishes at Augusta regardless of broader form. Citing Reed's recent wins and runner-ups on the Asian Tour, Reynolds emphasized Reed's remarkable Masters history (top 12 finishes in four of the last five editions), showcasing his comfort and success at the course. Reynolds believes Reed's consistent Augusta form could help him rediscover major-championship contention this week.

Wes Reynolds identified Min Woo Lee at 60-1 as an appealing option for the 2025 Masters, noting Lee's recent PGA Tour victory at the Houston Open. Reynolds points to Augusta National's layout, where big hitters face less penalty for wayward drives due to wide fairways and manageable rough. Lee's impressive length off the tee and form after defeating Scottie Scheffler in Houston indicates he's in prime condition to contend strongly at Augusta, Reynolds maintains.

Patrick Cantlay, priced at 40-1, catches Wes Reynolds' eye as an undervalued asset at the 2025 Masters. Despite an underwhelming history in majors, his performance at last year's U.S. Open (T-3) signals improvement. Cantlay's strength off the tee and putting ability complement his recently elevated iron play, ranking 18th in Strokes Gained: Approach. Reynolds believes these factors position Cantlay well for a notable performance at Augusta, considering his overall skill set tailor-made for the course.

Wes Reynolds recommends Justin Thomas at 25-1, noting that he seems to be returning to elite form after nearly three years without a win since the 2022 PGA Championship. Thomas has seven top-10s in his last 11 starts, including three runner-ups. Crucially, his elite iron play is back as he ranks eighth on the PGA Tour for Strokes Gained: Approach, a vital stat for Augusta success. Reynolds sees Augusta National's emphasis on accurate approach play as an ideal chance for Thomas to end his drought.

Wes Reynolds sees Collin Morikawa at 18-1 as a strong contender at the 2025 Masters, highlighting his superb iron play ranked 4th overall on tour in Strokes Gained: Approach. Despite not having won on American soil for over four years and recently losing a lead at Bay Hill, Morikawa's consistent performances at Augusta—5th in 2022, T-10 in 2023, and 3rd in 2024—make him a strong candidate to finally convert a victory. Reynolds emphasized Morikawa's iron skills as ideal for Augusta's demanding second-shot layout.

Wes Reynolds targeted Jon Rahm at 33-2 odds, believing Rahm is flying under the radar because of his move to LIV Golf. Rahm hasn't won a major since the 2023 Masters, but his performance on LIV has been consistently strong, with all five of his 2025 events resulting in top 10 finishes (T-2, 6th, T-6, T-5, T-9). Reynolds points out that last year's struggles were tied to off-course distractions surrounding LIV and a foot infection suffered around the U.S. Open. Now settled and entering the Masters without media turmoil, Rahm appears undervalued and poised for a renewed push at Augusta, according to Reynolds.

Wes Reynolds recommended Robert MacIntyre as a potential dark horse contender at Augusta National. He emphasized MacIntyre's proven ability to perform well at the Masters, finishing inside the Top-15 (12th) previously. Reynolds also highlighted MacIntyre's strong recent performances, citing his 2024 breakthrough victories at the RBC Canadian Open and Genesis Scottish Open, along with multiple Top-10 finishes early in 2025, including premier events like THE PLAYERS Championship. MacIntyre is currently among the PGA TOUR leaders in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee (9th) and Approach (19th), indicating strong suitability to Augusta National's ball-striking demands. The only concern Reynolds noted was MacIntyre's putter (ranked 133rd), but given his ball striking and previous Masters outings, he still provided plenty of value as a mid-range dark horse bet.

Wes Reynolds identified Sepp Straka as an intriguing sleeper pick due to his excellent current form and standout iron play (second in Strokes Gained: Approach and Greens in Regulation). Reynolds highlighted Straka's consistency this season, with 7 Top-15 finishes in 10 events, including a PGA TOUR victory at The American Express in January. Though not widely recognized as a major championship contender historically, Straka's improved performances and elite ball striking put him among the top dark-horse candidates. Reynolds said a high finish at Augusta could happen if Straka pairs his elite ball striking with a hot putter, offering solid potential value in placement markets (such as Top 20 or Top 30).

Wes Reynolds questioned Joaquin Niemann's relatively short betting odds at Augusta, expressing skepticism due to Niemann's lack of significant success at major championships. Despite several recent wins on LIV Golf—four total including two thus far in 2025—Reynolds emphasized that Niemann has yet to record a Top-15 finish at any major championship. Given the deeper, more competitive field at Augusta, Reynolds stated the price on Niemann felt elevated due to overly optimistic perceptions built on his LIV Golf tour form. Reynolds advised monitoring Niemann's opening rounds for an in-play bet, but otherwise recommended caution wagering on Niemann pre-event due to concerns around his weak history on golf's biggest stages.

Wes Reynolds sees Justin Thomas as poised for a strong showing at Augusta, citing renewed excellence with his iron play and upward form. Thomas ranks ninth on the PGA TOUR in Strokes Gained: Approach, a significant rebound from past struggles. Reynolds noted Thomas' recent runner-up finishes at The American Express and Valspar Championship, along with strong showings at the Genesis Invitational and Waste Management Phoenix Open. Despite missed cuts in his last two Masters appearances, Reynolds expressed confidence in Thomas' dramatically improved putting and pinpointed him as ready to contend for a green jacket once again. Although the market price is somewhat tight, Reynolds believes Thomas' restored ball-striking brilliance should put him firmly in contention.

Wes Reynolds advised against backing Max Homa at the Masters due to substantial declines in his 2025 form. After a T-3 finish at Augusta National last year, Reynolds pointed out that Homa has produced only one Top-10 finish since then—a stark contrast to his prior standing among golf's elite. His world ranking dropped dramatically from ninth to 78th, largely stemming from severe struggles with iron play (183rd out of 184 players on PGA TOUR for Strokes Gained: Approach). Reynolds noted Homa's attempts to reverse fortune by switching coaches, club manufacturers, and caddies, yet none apparently yielded improvement. Reynolds concluded that while Homa might eventually bounce back, his turnaround should not be expected this week at Augusta.

Wes Reynolds recognized Ludvig Aberg as a legitimate Masters 2025 contender, highlighting his exceptional ability from tee-to-green, specifically off the tee (12th for strokes gained), and his elite proficiency with long irons, ranking first on the PGA TOUR in approaches over 200 yards. Reynolds noted the importance of this skill set given Augusta National's length (7,500-yard golf course). The analyst also added confidence due to Aberg's comeback from last year's runner-up finish at Augusta and his recent victory at the Genesis Invitational—a notable Signature event—for his largest career win to date. Reynolds additionally acknowledged Aberg's full recovery from a torn meniscus injury that hindered much of his 2024 performance.

Wes Reynolds highlighted Corey Conners as an underrated play at Augusta, noting Conners' impressive history with three Top-10 finishes over his last five Masters appearances—including T-6th in 2022. Reynolds emphasized Conners' elite ball striking—long recognized as one of the best on the PGA TOUR—but expressed cautious optimism due to improved putting metrics. Conners currently ranks 60th in Strokes Gained: Putting, a significant improvement considering he's never previously finished higher than 112th. Given that Conners comes in with six Top-8 finishes in his last 10 worldwide starts, including third at the Arnold Palmer Invitational earlier this season, Reynolds believes that if Conners' putting holds steady, he can strongly contend for the green jacket as a dark horse candidate.

Wes Reynolds identified Victor Perez as a notably undervalued betting option at 125-1 odds due to Perez's solid recent form. Perez recorded finishes of 18th, 22nd, and 18th in his last three events, including starting strong with a 66 and concluding with a 65 last week, implying positive momentum. Perez modeled strongly in Reynolds' statistical analysis, consistently placing between 15th and 24th in his betting model projections, notably higher than his triple-digit odds suggest. Reynolds also suggested Perez as a viable first-round leader bet should Perez have an early Thursday tee time given calm morning conditions previously discussed.

Wes Reynolds recommended Tom Hoge at 100-1 odds, pointing to his elite iron play despite acknowledging Hoge's recent inconsistent form. Hoge, who notably ranked first in strokes gained approach at the Players Championship in a T3 performance three weeks ago, ranks fifth in strokes gained approach within this field. Additionally, Reynolds mentioned Hoge's proven record in Texas conditions as a former TCU golfer, including two top-12 finishes in his five previous appearances at this event, increasing Hoge's appeal as a high-upside betting target despite inconsistent recent results.

Wes Reynolds recommended Ryan Gerard at 75-1 odds, for an outright bet at the Valero Texas Open, noting Gerard's continued exceptional iron play. Gerard finished T9 in Houston last week, leading the field as second-best on approach. Reynolds highlighted Gerard's peak iron plays throughout the year, ranking sixth in this field for strokes gained approach. Gerard also showcased consistent recent success with multiple top 20 finishes (including Mexico, Farmers Insurance Open), indicating a strong trajectory and backing up Reynolds' argument for Gerard as an outright bet.

Wes Reynolds strongly advocated betting Rico Hoey at 70-1 odds, underscoring Hoey's impressive approach performance during his T-11 finish in Houston last week, his best placing so far in 2025. Hoey ranks second on the entire tour in total driving and ninth in greens in regulation, reinforcing his statistical profile as a great fit for TPC San Antonio. Reynolds particularly noted Hoey's improvement in approach shots as a crucial indicator of form and potential betting value in outright and placement markets.

Wes Reynolds highlighted Lee Hodges as a solid bet at 70-1 odds, noting Hodges is coming off a six-week break due to a rib injury but performed impressively upon his return last week, finishing T-11 in Houston after shooting nine under on the weekend. Hodges has also grabbed two top tens earlier in the season at the Sony Open and the Farmers Insurance Open. Reynolds emphasized Hodges’ ranking of fourth in total driving and sixth in strokes gained putting across the entire tour this season, which are crucial metrics at TPC San Antonio. Given Hodges also finished sixth at this event in 2023, Reynolds views him as a high-ceiling placement bet at appealing odds, despite describing him as somewhat of a boom-or-bust option.

Wes Reynolds identified Sam Stevens as a valuable betting target at 55-to-1 odds, largely based on Stevens' exceptional course history at TPC San Antonio. Stevens was runner-up in 2023 and added finishes of 14th and 19th in other appearances at this event, suggesting a pronounced comfort and affinity for the course. Reynolds also pointed out Stevens' near-win at the Farmers Insurance Open, signaling current form and confidence could combine for a strong showing at Valero.

Wes Reynolds enthusiastically highlighted Daniel Berger as an outright bet at 35-to-1 odds, underscoring Berger's remarkable consistency, with seven top-25 finishes in his last nine starts. Reynolds emphasized Berger's successful history of winning immediately prior to major championships, having previously claimed victories twice in Memphis before a major. Additionally, Berger has shown strong results in Texas events, winning at Colonial and collecting multiple top-five finishes elsewhere in the state. With Berger returning to Augusta next week for the first time in three years, Reynolds argued Berger's motivation and confidence could propel him toward victory without the added pressure of qualification.

Wes Reynolds identified Tony Finau as an interesting DFS play due to his unusually low pricing this week relative to his overall skill level. Reynolds acknowledged Finau's inconsistent form—with multiple missed cuts recently juxtaposed against quality performances such as a T5 at Genesis and a T13 at Pebble Beach—but cited his strong course history at Memorial Park (a win in 2022 and runner-up in 2024) as reasons for confidence. Given the strange pricing arrangement that places Finau as roughly the eighth-best golfer in DFS pricing, Reynolds viewed him as seriously underpriced and providing good DFS lineup flexibility.

Wes Reynolds highlighted Taylor Montgomery as a strong consideration for a first-round leader bet at the Houston Open, noting his position in the very first group teeing off. Montgomery's elite putting ability, consistently rating near the top in putting metrics, makes him an intriguing prospect to capitalize early. Despite acknowledging Montgomery's disappointing recent form, including a missed cut at the Puerto Rico Open, and unimpressive finishes of 25th and 45th previously, Reynolds believes his early tee-time, strong putting skill, and motivation could present value specifically as a first-round leader wager, though a conservative top-40 bet could also be an alternative way to leverage Montgomery's putting prowess.

Wes Reynolds highlighted Taylor Montgomery as an intriguing placement bet (top-30 or top-40) based on his strong putting skills, despite recent ball-striking issues. Montgomery is on his last start of a major medical extension and requires a solo 31st or better at Memorial Park to retain full playing privileges. Reynolds believes Montgomery’s motivation to secure his tour card, coupled with elite putting capability and an advantageous early first-round tee-time, make him a standout candidate in the placement or first-round leader betting markets.

Wes Reynolds recommended Steven Fisk at very long odds (175-to-1 outright) for the Houston Open, intrigued by the rookie's significant power off the tee (top-20 driving distance and strokes gained off the tee). Reynolds noted Fisk’s sixth-place ranking in greens-in-regulation, and his recent fourth-place finish in Puerto Rico as signs he's coming into his own as a professional. Memorial Park’s layout, heavily favoring the bombers, provides a perfect opportunity for Fisk to leverage his strengths, making him an ideal speculative bet at high odds.

Wes Reynolds placed a longshot bet on Aldrich Potgieter despite his recent struggles, including missing three straight cuts in Florida and losing a playoff in Mexico. Reynolds argued those Florida events were positional driving courses ill-suited to Potgieter's strengths, while Memorial Park strongly favors big hitters. Potgieter is first on the PGA Tour in driving distance, even ahead of Rory McIlroy, and ranks ninth off-the-tee. With a course layout rewarding length and placing less emphasis on accuracy, Reynolds sees great betting upside in Potgieter at high odds.

Wes Reynolds is backing Nicolai Hojgaard again at 105-to-1 odds despite him missing the cut last week. Reynolds thinks Memorial Park Golf Course fits Hojgaard well, emphasizing he ranked sixth in strokes gained approach and 20th in putting in this week's field, two critical stats at this venue. Reynolds views last week's disappointing result as an opportunity to bet Hojgaard at longer odds because of a potential bounce-back performance given the strong statistical profile match with this course setup.

Wes Reynolds mentioned Ben Griffin as a compelling top-20 option this week. Griffin currently ranks 53rd in the world, just outside the top 50 necessary for Masters qualification. Reynolds speculated about Griffin's heightened motivation and situational narrative to secure the required finish for gaining enough ranking points this week, aligning perfectly with top-20 positional betting.

Wes Reynolds bet Sahith Theegala at 55-to-1 outright, despite his instability off-the-tee this season, reasoning that Memorial Park's wide fairways and non-penal rough mitigate Theegala's accuracy issues. Theegala ranks top 10 on tour in total birdies, demonstrating significant scoring upside that Reynolds believes can be maximized on this forgiving layout. Reynolds highlighted Theegala's creative short game as another advantage, further boosting his potential value.

Wes Reynolds made a speculative wager on Taylor Pendrith at 50-to-1 outright. Although Reynolds acknowledged Pendrith's poor recent putting and short game form, he pointed out Pendrith gained six strokes putting recently at The Players Championship. Reynolds particularly highlighted Pendrith’s elite driving statistics—third in off-the-tee and seventh in total driving—as ideally suited for Memorial Park Golf Course, where driving distance and off-the-tee play are critical components to success.

Wes Reynolds sees significant value in longshot Steven Fisk, impressed by his powerful long driving and consistent ball-striking. Fisk ranks top 20 in the Tour for both Driving Distance and Strokes Gained: Off The Tee, and sixth in Greens in Regulation. Reynolds highlights Fisk's recent fourth-place finish in Puerto Rico as proof of his potential, suggesting he could capitalize on the forgiving tee-to-green conditions at Memorial Park this week.

Wes Reynolds is taking a flyer on Aldrich Potgieter, despite his recent missed cuts after a playoff loss at the Mexico Open. Potgieter's ability to hit it long, leading the PGA Tour in Driving Distance and ranking ninth Off The Tee, should be a significant advantage at Memorial Park, which offers generous fairways and a less penalizing layout. Reynolds believes this forgiving nature can help Potgieter quickly bounce back into contention.

Wes Reynolds is returning to Nicolai Hojgaard despite a missed cut last week, believing Houston Memorial Park is better suited for him. Reynolds cites Hojgaard's strong statistical profile—sixth in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach and top 20 in putting—as a compelling reason to back him again given the success of golfers excelling in these areas historically at this tournament.

Wes Reynolds is backing Max Greyserman based on his good performance on wide-open layouts, including an 11th at Cognizant Classic and 22nd at Arnold Palmer Invitational. Greyserman, who recorded a top-10 finish at Memorial Park last year, suits this week's non-penal design, despite recent subpar ball-striking. Reynolds believes the course setup, with few hazards and forgiving fairways, presents a great opportunity for Greyserman to get back on track.

Wes Reynolds sees Sahith Theegala as a worthwhile speculative play at the Houston Open despite recent struggles and just one top-20 finish in nine starts. Reynolds pointed out that while Theegala has struggled with his accuracy off the tee, the generous fairways and minimal rough punishment at Memorial Park alleviate those issues. Reynolds likes Theegala's strong scoring potential, ranking in the top 10 on tour in total birdies, providing valuable upside at this course.

Despite recent struggles with his short game and putter, Wes Reynolds targeted Taylor Pendrith due to his elite driving—ranking third in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee and seventh in Total Driving on the PGA Tour. Reynolds also noted Pendrith showed improvement recently at The Players Championship, gaining six strokes with his putter, which could signal a turnaround. The forgiving fairways and less penal rough at Memorial Park are expected to reduce the damage of any errant approach shots.

Wes Reynolds liked Davis Thompson at this week's Houston Open after his recent 10th-place finish at The Players Championship, indicating a return to form. He praised Thompson's driver skills, noting he ranks in the top 10 in Total Driving and Strokes Gained: Off The Tee on the PGA Tour. Reynolds expects his scrambling ability, also within the field's top 15, to help navigate difficult greens and conditions at Memorial Park.

Wes Reynolds recommended Min Woo Lee at the Texas Childrens Houston Open citing his strong form with top-20 finishes in four of his last six events. Reynolds highlighted Lee's impressive driving distance, ranking third this season, as a key fit for the wide-open layout at Memorial Park. He also praised Lee's short-game prowess—ranking top 15 in the field in putting, around-the-green, and scrambling metrics—all crucial skills at Memorial Park, which features tricky greens and challenging runoff areas.

Wes Reynolds identifies Ryo Hisatsune as a key fade in head-to-head matchups at Memorial Park this week due to glaring style mismatches. Despite Hisatsune's recent high finish, Reynolds highlighted that Hisatsune typically excels only on shorter, positional golf courses or those featuring Bermuda grass. Memorial Park, however, demands substantial driving distance and strong putting performances on overseeded Poa greens, conditions that starkly contrast with Hisatsune's proven skillset. Given this significant course mismatch against the demands of Memorial Park, Reynolds believes Jesse Svensson at approximately -105 is a fair price in matchups versus Hisatsune, specifically advising betting against Hisatsune when paired against better-suited players.

Wes Reynolds strongly recommends considering Mackenzie Hughes as a sneaky positive matchup play this week at Memorial Park. Despite Hughes not being known for driving distance, Reynolds highlighted Hughes's elite short game, ranking among the world's best. Reynolds believes Hughes will capitalize on Memorial Park's challenging undulating greens by chipping in multiple times, gaining valuable strokes on the field. Hughes also enters with impressive recent form, noting finishes of 14th, 16th, 29th at this course, including a prior performance where he finished 7th in 2020. While reluctant to pick Hughes outright, Reynolds strongly favors him in head-to-head matchups due to his short game prowess and past success at this venue.

Wes Reynolds sees Jesper Svensson as an attractive positional play for Memorial Park, advocating bets in the top 30 or top 40 placement markets. Svensson's notable driving distance fits Memorial Park's favorable profile to long hitters, allowing advantageous iron approaches into these challenging greens. Reynolds plans to consider Svensson both for positional bets at significant plus-money odds and to leverage him in matchup betting against players less suited to the course.

Wes Reynolds recommended Hayden Springer for positional bets at Memorial Park largely due to his exceptional play at Torrey Pines, one of the tour's longest courses. Reynolds acknowledged the correlation isn't perfect, but identified course similarities—specifically length—that favor players capable off the tee. Springer's previous performance at Torrey Pines underscored his driving proficiency, a significant advantage at Memorial Park given its driver-putter dependent layout. Reynolds believes this demonstrated ability to handle long courses justifies backing Springer in placement betting markets this week.

Wes Reynolds identified Min Woo Lee as having great appeal for positional betting, especially in the top-20 market. Reynolds emphasized Lee's natural fit for Memorial Park, noting Lee's driving distance and recent resurgence in his putting. With Memorial Park's driver-putter demanding layout, Reynolds expects Min Woo's strengths off the tee and short game proficiency to stand out significantly. Reynolds specifically plans to back Lee as both an outright as well as top-20 positional play.

Wes Reynolds recommends Alex Smalley as a strong top-20 positional bet, citing his remarkable recent consistency despite missing last week's cut. Smalley has placed in the top-20 in six of his last nine events, including finishes of 14th, 18th, 21st, and two T-30 results. Through stout ball-striking and reliable form heading into Memorial Park, Reynolds believes Smalley can comfortably achieve another high finish, although he stops short of backing him outright to win due to his lack of contention finishes.