Will Gray picks Bud Cauley (+5000) as a potential outright winner at the Valero Texas Open, highlighting Cauley's recent hot stretch including consecutive top-six finishes coming into this event. Gray notes Cauley ranks fifth on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Total and cites his excellent iron play as foundational to competing at TPC San Antonio. Cauley's current form and statistical strengths make him a compelling sleeper pick.

Will Gray is recommending Charley Hoffman for a top 20 prop at Valero Texas Open (+300). Gray emphasizes Hoffman's longstanding reputation for excelling at TPC San Antonio, highlighting the golfer as a player consistently worth backing here due to his historical success. Hoffman's comfort and positive record on this particular course strongly supports this prop bet value.

Will Gray recommends betting on Gary Woodland to finish top 10 at the Valero Texas Open (+500). Woodland nearly grabbed a top-10 last week in Houston, showcasing strong form leading into this event. Gray highlights Woodland's affinity for TPC San Antonio, where he secured top-10 finishes in each of his last two appearances. The strong match between Woodland's ball-striking skills and the course setup this week provides excellent betting value.

Will Gray likes Keegan Bradley to win the Valero Texas Open, citing Bradley's recent form where he ranks inside the top 25 in both Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and SG: Approach this season. Bradley's strength in these key ball-striking statistics align perfectly with TPC San Antonio's course characteristics. Gray points out Bradley's track record at this venue, including two previous top-10 finishes, as further reason for confidence in backing Bradley this week.

Will Gray recommended Keith Mitchell at enticing odds of +550 in the Houston Open top-10 market, citing Mitchell's elite driving capability as a great fit for Memorial Park Golf Course. Although Mitchell has shown inconsistency, Gray was particularly encouraged by Mitchell previously posting a top-10 finish at this venue. He emphasized Mitchell's top-tier strokes-gained-off-the-tee ranking (fourth on tour this year) as pivotal on a course featuring long par-5s exceeding 600 yards. Even with volatility, Gray sees Mitchell sliding into the T6-T9 range, capitalizing on a setup that rewards his strong tee game.

Will Gray disagreed with Chris Breece’s outright bet advice on Min Woo Lee at the Texas Children’s Houston Open, arguing that despite his obvious high-level talent and long-driving ability, Lee's erratic stretches in tournaments make him too risky to back outright. Gray emphasized Lee’s inconsistent performances—including blowing good positions at recent tournaments with rough 9-12 hole spans. Instead, Gray prefers targeting Min Woo in markets like top 10 or top 20 where minor slip-ups don’t completely negate the wagers, believing these positions represent better value for such an unpredictable golfer.

Will Gray made the case for betting Tony Finau outright at the Houston Open, highlighting strong historical credentials and elite driving stats that suit Memorial Park golf course. Finau previously won here in November 2022 and returned with a T2 in the spring version of the event last year. Gray underscored the course's bomber-friendly layout—ranking fourth-worst on Tour in driving accuracy—rewarding long hitters off the tee like Finau. He also noted Finau has quietly maintained good form recently and believes Finau’s outright odds have inflated beyond what they should be due to Scheffler and McIlroy dominating the betting market.

Will Gray recommended betting Ben Griffin in the top-20 finishing markets at the Texas Children's Houston Open due to Griffin's high motivation to qualify for this year's Masters. Griffin has played 12 straight PGA Tour weeks, relentlessly chasing world rankings points needed for Augusta qualification—needing roughly a top-50 result. Gray believes Griffin enters this event with heightened focus, where small leaderboard moves matter significantly (from T23 to T18) for Master's qualification purposes. This unique pressure affords extra betting value this week compared to a typical event.

Will Gray sees solid value in backing Rory McIlroy for a top-10 finish (-105) this week at the Texas Children's Houston Open. Gray pointed out Rory's historical ability to sustain momentum once he's achieved a victory, alluding specifically to his strong streak of success following wins, including his storied 2014 run with three consecutive victories. Gray highlighted that Rory tends to play well during his final event before the Masters, reinforcing his confidence that McIlroy is well-positioned to sustain his recent strong play at this week's tournament.

Will Gray identifies Keith Mitchell as a strong prop bet candidate for a top-10 finish (+550) at the Texas Children's Houston Open. Mitchell's elite driving accuracy and power (currently fourth in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee) match the demands of this course, where he previously finished inside the top ten in 2022. Mitchell's consistent form this season suggests this event could mark a breakthrough performance.

Will Gray points to Thomas Detry as a valuable betting option at +5500 odds, highlighting that Detry is currently flying under the radar despite recent success. Detry was a runner-up at the Texas Children's Houston Open last year and has recently secured a PGA TOUR victory. His improved form, paired with above-average putting and solid driving, positions him favorably this week.

Will Gray likes Tony Finau at the Texas Children's Houston Open due to his strong past performances and course fit. Finau won at this venue in November 2022 and followed that with a runner-up finish last year, proving he thrives here. Gray points out that this is a 'big boy course' that plays to Finau's strengths off the tee, especially as the course layout is forgiving to occasionally wayward drives. Gray sees significant betting value for Finau at +3300 odds.

Will Gray advocated for betting on Luke Clanton for a top 10 finish at +500. Clanton is relieved from the pressure of earning a TOUR card and can play freely. His high ceiling and lack of constraints present a great opportunity for bettors.

Will Gray expressed confidence in Alex Smalley achieving a top 20 finish despite inconsistencies closing on Sundays. Smalley's stats are impressive, with continual improvements evident from his play. Gray noted that a top 20 finish at +200 mirrors Smalley's potential as he continues to progress.

Will Gray suggested betting on Shane Lowry due to his recent runner-up finish to Rory McIlroy at Pebble Beach. Gray feels Lowry might draw motivation from McIlroy's performance at TPC Sawgrass. With Lowry's strong ball-striking abilities, Gray predicts he can handle the Copperhead Course well, offering value at +2500.

Will Gray emphasized Sam Burns' strong history at the Copperhead Course, particularly in navigating the challenging 'Snake Pit' section. Burns has struggled since his T8 finish at The Sentry, but Gray believes his course knowledge and previous success at the Valspar Championship make him a strong bet at +2200.

Will Gray advises betting Sepp Straka's first round score under 70.5 (-110), noting that respected fantasy analyst Rob Bolton rated Straka highly enough to feature him ahead of Scottie Scheffler in his PGA Tour power rankings. This recommendation underscores Straka's favorable setup for a strong opening round.

Will Gray identifies Aaron Rai (+7500) as a valuable pick at THE PLAYERS Championship, emphasizing Rai's accurate ball-striking and impressive current form coming off T4 and T11 finishes. Rai also has a solid track record at TPC Sawgrass in limited appearances, making him an appealing longshot bet.

Will Gray is backing Collin Morikawa (+1400) to win at THE PLAYERS Championship, despite recent disappointment at Bay Hill where Morikawa narrowly missed victory. Gray highlights Morikawa's outstanding tee-to-green game as a decisive factor, implying confidence that Morikawa's superb ball-striking will position him to succeed at TPC Sawgrass even after a tough finish the previous week.