Guy Boston Sports targeted Lawrence Butler’s Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs. He noted Butler has poor results against sliders, sinkers, and four-seam fastballs— the three pitches George Kirby throws most. Although Butler’s speed occasionally generates extra bases, the substantial pitch-type mismatch makes multi-category production unlikely. With Kirby’s elite command forcing contact on Butler’s weaker swing paths, Guy Boston Sports is comfortable betting the Under despite Butler’s athleticism.

Guy Boston Sports also suggested fading Oakland’s offense with a team-total Under. He believes their recent surge is unsustainable away from the Coliseum and especially in pitcher-friendly Seattle. George Kirby’s fastball/slider mix plus a top-tier Mariners bullpen should stifle the A’s, and he expects the lineup to "come back down to earth." If books hang a low 3.5 or similar number, he is comfortable taking the Under as an alternate way to capitalize on the same matchup dynamics driving his Seattle pick.

Guy Boston Sports recommended laying a run with Seattle (-1 or ‑1.5) against Oakland. He cited three edges: George Kirby gives the Mariners a clear starting-pitching advantage over Jeffrey Springs, Seattle’s bullpen is deeper and more reliable, and T-Mobile Park suppresses offense. While the Athletics’ bats have been hot, he expects them to cool on the road, noting the matchup still tilts toward Seattle in talent and recent bullpen form. Because the moneyline is likely too juiced, he prefers the run-line to extract value.

Guy Boston Sports said bettors should look at both the Cubs team-total Over and the moneyline as long as Chicago is priced inside –150 whenever they face a right-handed starter who leans on the slider. The Cubs have been inconsistent overall, but he pointed out they are "actually succeeding" almost exclusively against right-handed sliders, giving them a clear matchup edge. Because the opposing bullpen is unlikely to bail out that starter, he is willing to lay the chalk up to –150 and also play the team total Over rather than chase a bigger number.

Guy Boston Sports plans to attack a Cubs team-total over against Angels right-hander Victor Maderos, provided Chicago opens at –150 or shorter. Maderos leans on a sinker/slider mix, and the tout pointed out that the Cubs’ right-handed core—Nico Hoerner, Seiya Suzuki and Pete Crow-Armstrong—has crushed sliders all month. Chicago’s offense was held in check the night before, so he expects positive regression in a friendly matchup. Final confidence will depend on how both pens are used in the ongoing game, but pitch-mix data and recent Cubs success versus sliders make their TT over his early lean.

Guy Boston Sports intends to back the Dodgers and their team total over versus left-hander Nestor ("Nesco") Cortez. The Dodgers rank fourth in average, ninth in slugging, sixth in OPS, and sixth in OBP against southpaws over the past 30 days, while Cortez owns one of MLB’s worst walk rates. With Tyler Glasnow on the mound, the tout expects L.A. to control run prevention and cash a crooked-number inning or two when Cortez inevitably hangs a fastball or cutter. He will re-check bullpen usage from the current game, but barring major relief overwork the Dodgers’ bats are his preferred play.

Guy Boston Sports likes Cincinnati’s team total over against Arizona spot-starter Nabil Crismatt. Crismatt has only one 2025 start (5 IP, 1 ER in Coors) and just two career starts overall, so the tout questions his ability to turn a lineup over. BallparkPal shows a +10 % run-environment bump at Great American Ball Park, another green light for runs. Although the Reds are notoriously streaky—he dubbed them the “Cincinnati roller-coasters”—their last ten games feature eight outings of five or more runs. He expects Andrew Abbott to provide serviceable pitching on the Cincinnati side while the offense capitalizes, highlighting Miguel Andujar and Noelvi Marte as prop considerations.

Guy Boston Sports leaned to the Mets at –125 and suggested a Braves team-total under. He trusts Clay Holmes, who carries a 2.2 ERA over his last five starts, to rebound from a shaky three-and-two-thirds, five-run outing against Atlanta just 10 days ago. Holmes’ sinker/slider mix normally gives the Braves trouble. On the flip side, Cal Quantrill’s fastball and cutter are pitches the Mets handle well, and he expects New York’s lineup—despite recent lulls—to be superior in a vacuum. As long as the price stays south of –130, he is comfortable paying the freight to back the Mets’ side.

Guy Boston Sports called this a classic split ticket: play the first-three-innings under thanks to a Freddie Peralta–Logan Webb showdown, then hammer the Brewers team total over for the full game. Peralta’s four-seam heater (“Fastball Freddie”) and Webb’s sinker/slider combo make clean early frames likely, yet the tout prefers Milwaukee’s bats once bullpens enter. He trusts the Brewers lineup, which has been red-hot and just walked off behind William Contreras, far more than a Giants offense he "doesn’t believe in." Even acknowledging San Francisco’s success versus fastballs, he still sees Milwaukee opening things up late while the total sits at only 7.5.

Guy Boston Sports likes Isiah Kiner-Falefa UNDER 1.5 total bases as a standalone play or paired with an alternate game total. Kiner-Falefa owns just a .529 OPS versus left-handed pitching this year and draws Rockies southpaw Kyle Freeland, whose cutter/curve combo Kiner-Falefa grades a poor 2.6 on the show’s internal pitch-mix scale. With Pittsburgh projected for only 3.9 runs, the tout expects limited plate appearances and minimal hard contact, making the plus-juice under appealing.

Guy Boston Sports said Kansas City is worth a money-line bet so long as the price stays at -130 or better. He expects Royals starter Cole Ragans to keep Detroit* to two or three earned over six innings, and Ballpark Pal shows a +9 % run-index boost at Comerica, giving upside to Kansas City’s team-total over. On the other side, Chris Paddack’s career 4.76 ERA against the Royals and a rough last outing point to continued trouble. The tout added that Detroit* right-hander Ty Walker has been good but is showing signs of looming regression, another reason to back KC while the market still hangs a short number.

Guy Boston Sports prefers Kansas City on the moneyline and would sprinkle their team total over at Comerica. Michael Wacha has rattled off five straight six-inning, two-run outings and relies on a fastball-changeup-cutter mix that Detroit is not hitting (the Tigers’ damage comes almost exclusively off sinkers and sliders, pitches Wacha uses only 20 % of the time). Chris Paddack, meanwhile, is coming off an eight-earned meltdown and carries ugly history versus this KC lineup. Statcast gives Comerica a +9 % run-scoring environment Saturday, further boosting the Royals’ offense. With Detroit riding an 8-2 run, the market is giving plus money on the steadier starter; the tout is happy to grab it.

Guy Boston Sports spotlighted Kyle Schwarber as the best one-off bet on the slate. Schwarber owns plus numbers versus four-seamers and curves—the two offerings Parker throws 75 % of the time. Parker’s splits against left-handed hitters are dreadful: 1.72 WHIP, 5.35 FIP, .282 average allowed and nearly as many walks as strikeouts. Schwarber’s 15.8 % barrel rate at Citizens Bank combined with Parker’s 43 % hard-hit profile sets up a multi-RBI game. The tout prefers Schwarber over 1.5 total bases or H/R/RBI over 1.5, adding that the Nats may hand him two cracks at that bullpen if Parker departs early.

Guy Boston Sports called Saturday a "Phillies spot" and is attacking their team total instead of laying −230. Mitchell Parker starts for Washington and “gives up four runs with his breakfast,” per the tout. Against left-handed bats Parker allows a brutal 1.72 WHIP, 5.35 FIP, .282 average, 14 % strikeout and 12 % walk rates. Philadelphia’s right-hand-heavy order crushes fastballs (Parker’s 58 % usage) and the Nationals’ bullpen used all three high-leverage arms Friday, leaving MLB’s worst relief corps stretched thin. Add a revenge narrative after Friday’s 5-4 Phillies loss and Citizens Bank’s top-five power factor, and the tout prefers Phillies team total over 5.5 to the expensive moneyline.

Guy Boston Sports targeted George Springer’s hits-plus-runs-plus-RBI line at 1.5, calling it a strong over against Miami spot-starter Jansen Junk. Junk throws sliders 46 % of the time; Toronto owns the league’s best run value versus sliders over the past 30 days, and Springer’s personal pitch-mix rating is "green" against both Junk’s slider and four-seam fastball. Junk typically lasts only 4–5 innings and allows about three earned runs, leaving Springer another couple of plate appearances against a bottom-ten Marlins bullpen. With a favorable roof-closed hitting environment and the Jays’ 5.1 implied total, the tout expects Springer to cash the combo in three trips or fewer.

Drew Martin went back to the well with Colorado as a big underdog, arguing that –170 is far too rich for Pittsburgh without Paul Skenes. Kyle Freeland just spun 7.1 shutout innings and owns an ERA almost two full runs lower on the road than overall, a typical but still meaningful Coors split. The Pirates’ offense ranks near the bottom of MLB and 25-year-old Quinn Priester Burrows (1-4) rarely survives beyond five frames, exposing a Pirates pen Martin called shaky over the last month. He sees little offensive advantage for Pittsburgh and no pitching edge worth that price, so he’s taking the Rockies plus money.

Drew Martin said to lay the –130 with Boston because every edge points their direction. He highlighted Garrett Crochet’s 13-5 record, sub-2.50 ERA and nearly 200 strikeouts, projecting the big left-hander to eclipse 200 K’s in this start. Martin’s bullpen ratings have Boston eighth-best in MLB while New York flirts with bottom-10, and he reminded listeners that Will Warren carries a 4.25 ERA, rarely works past five innings, and was tagged for four walks and four earned by these same Sox in their last meeting. With the standings tight and the pitching plus bullpen gap this wide, Martin labeled Boston his best bet of the slate.

Clay Holmes brings a 3.64 ERA (3.41 on the road) and a 105-53 K/BB ratio into Truist Park, while Cal Quantrill is sitting on a 5.50 ERA and has yielded 20 hits and 15 runs in his last 12 innings. New York’s slumping price of +125 looks generous to Cash Out Sports Picks, who pegs the Mets as the sharper side given the pitching gap and Atlanta’s recent 4-10 skid.

Freddy Peralta has been lights-out in American Family Field: 73.2 innings, 1.95 ERA, .203 BAA and just one run in his last 17 frames. Logan Webb’s road ERA climbs to 4.41, and the Giants have lost six of seven while averaging 3.2 runs. Milwaukee scores 5.13 per game overall and needs every win in the standings race. Cash Out Sports Picks lays the chalk on the Brewers moneyline.

With Minnesota listing a TBD starter and failing to post consecutive wins since August 8th, Cash Out Sports Picks sees value on Chicago. Tanner Martin sports a 3.94 ERA, 1.27 WHIP overall and a 3.27 ERA across 52.1 home innings (.249 BAA). The Twins’ offense owns a .238/.310/.395 slash and their staff carries a 4.27 ERA. At a likely +110 price, the tout leans White Sox moneyline.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed Texas on the moneyline because Cleveland’s lineup has cooled to 3.1 runs per game over its last eight while the Rangers treat every contest like a playoff eliminator. Globe Life Field boosts right-hand power, and the Guardians’ bullpen has logged the sixth-most innings this month. With the home club still top-10 in hard-hit rate and laying just ‑135, the tout calls the Rangers the superior side.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised taking the Orioles moneyline, citing two key pitching angles. Christian Javier is only two starts removed from the injured list and has surrendered a 42% hard-hit rate since returning, while rookie swingman Spencer Aragetti has been tagged for 15 earned runs in just 12.1 road innings. Dean Kremer counters with a 3.02 ERA and .218 opponents’ average at Camden Yards and has historically held Houston hitters to a .235 clip. With Baltimore’s lineup batting .255 at home and ranking 12th in home runs, the tout sees value on the Birds around ‑115.

Kenny G labeled Oakland the value side at +154 despite Jeffrey Springs’ recent rough patch (4.24 ERA overall but rocked in his last two starts). He likes the matchup because the A’s offense is sizzling—scoring 8, 4, 6, 5, 7 and 10 runs in their last six while ranking 10th in runs, 5th in batting average and 4th in slugging. Seattle, meanwhile, has lost five straight to fall 2.5 games behind Houston and turns to the volatile George Kirby (4.22 ERA, demolished by the Mets last outing). Although Oakland’s bullpen owns a 4.92 ERA, Kenny trusts their bats against a Mariners lineup that has produced only 2, 4, 7, 3, 1, 11, 3, 3 and 1 runs in its past nine. With the A’s 32-28-6 to the over on the road and Seattle 37-25 at home, Kenny is passing on the total but sees clear plus-money value on Oakland’s moneyline.

Kenny G grabbed the Dodgers –140, highlighting the mismatch between Tyler Glasnow (3.12 ERA, 8 K in five innings vs SD last meeting) and Padres spot starter Nestor Cortez (5.87 ERA over three outings since joining San Diego). While the Padres bullpen leads MLB, Kenny worries about its workload behind a short-leash starter. Offensively, Los Angeles ranks first in runs scored and slugging, whereas San Diego sits 21st and 25th respectively and has managed only two runs so far in game one of the series. Despite Petco Park’s run-suppressing tendencies and the Padres’ stellar 41-21 home record, Kenny trusts the Dodgers’ lineup depth and Glasnow’s strikeout stuff to carry the day.

Kenny G fired on Cincinnati –130, underscoring Andrew Abbott’s 8-3 record and sparkling 2.28 ERA. The left-hander just blanked Milwaukee over seven innings with seven strikeouts and, crucially, no walks—continuing a two-start stretch with zero free passes. Kenny expects Abbott to neutralize an Arizona lineup that has slipped to league-average since the trade deadline. On the other side, Nabil Crismatt is making only his second start of the season, and the Diamondbacks’ bullpen owns one of MLB’s worst ERAs (4.90). Cincinnati’s relief corps has steadied lately, and Kenny believes a loss in game one would only sharpen the Reds’ focus, elevating this play to near ‘lock of the day’ status.

Kenny G leaned to the Mets –125, arguing Clay Holmes is set for a bounce-back after holding Seattle to one run over five frames in his last outing. He acknowledged Holmes was rocked by Atlanta on Aug 12 (5 ER in 3.2 IP) but noted the Braves’ lineup is currently 17th in runs and 18th in batting average while dealing with injuries. Opposing starter Cal Quantrill owns a 4-10 record and 5.50 ERA and was blasted by Boston in his last start. Kenny also flagged Atlanta’s 32-31 home record and mediocre bullpen metrics since July (4.52 ERA). With the Mets offense coming off a 12-run breakout and still clinging to the final Wild Card spot, he sees New York as the sharper side even if it remains only a ‘lean.’

Kenny G backed Milwaukee at –135, citing the Brewers’ league-best 42-20 home mark and a Giants squad that is just 31-34 away from Oracle Park. He doubts Logan Webb can repeat his last gem against a Milwaukee lineup that owns a 111 wRC+ versus right-handers since the All-Star break. Meanwhile the Giants’ bullpen has worn down after leading MLB in innings pitched this month. With American Family Field’s spacious outfield suppressing San Francisco’s power and Corbin Burnes waiting in relief if needed, Kenny expects enough Milwaukee offense to cash the moneyline.

Kenny G recommended betting Milwaukee at -135. Freddy Peralta sits at 15-1 with a 2.78 ERA and has allowed one earned run total in his last three starts, during which the Brewers are 3-0. Milwaukee also boasts MLB’s best home record (42-20), a bullpen trimmed to 3.74 ERA, and an offense that remains third in runs and OBP despite averaging 4.0 over its last six. Logan Webb (3.19 ERA) is solid, but San Francisco’s lineup is dreadful—25th in runs, 28th average, 27th slug—scoring 4-4-1-1-4-7-1 across its recent stretch. With the total at 7.5 and both clubs trending under in their parks, Kenny expects a tight, low-scoring affair in which Milwaukee scratches out enough against Webb and the Giants’ bullpen to secure the victory.

Kenny G advised laying the -130 with Texas at home. He expects Jack Leiter (7-7, 4.06 ERA) to rebound from a rough Kansas City outing based on the rookie’s prior run of quality starts and the benefit of pitching in Arlington. Logan Allen’s 3.87 ERA has come versus middling opponents, and he has no 2025 history against the Rangers. Cleveland’s bats are ice-cold—26th in runs, 29th in OBP, with game logs of 3-2-5-3-4-1—and its bullpen, while respectable (3.60 ERA), has been wobbling. Texas owns a 37-26 home mark and an elite relief corps, and the game total (8.5) plus each club’s strong under trends suggest a low-scoring environment that favors the superior pen and home side. All told, Kenny views what should be a coin-flip matchup as mis-priced and prefers Texas at -130.

Kenny G said he would take the Orioles at -125 against Houston. He pointed to Dean Kremer’s current heater—15 innings of one-run ball in his last two starts, including seven scoreless versus these Astros—and a season ERA of 3.97. Houston’s lineup may have just hung 10 and 7 runs, but it still sits 21st in MLB in runs and owns a battered bullpen that has absorbed multiple injuries. Baltimore’s own pen sports an ugly 4.66 ERA, yet Kenny trusts an Orioles offense that has scored 7, 2, 4, 6 and 12 in its last five and roughed up Cristian Javier the previous meeting. With both clubs essentially .500 in their respective home/road splits and totals, he expects Baltimore to avoid a third straight loss and cash the modest moneyline.

Kenny G said he is "very seriously considering" taking Kansas City at +105 in Detroit and labeled the Royals a potential dog-of-the-day. His case rests on Michael Wacha’s current heater: Kansas City is 5-0 in Wacha’s last five starts, and the right-hander has yet to allow more than two earned runs in that stretch. Wacha also dominated Detroit on May 31, twirling seven one-hit innings with six strikeouts in a 1-0 win, and posted another solid outing against them back in April. Kenny trusts a Royals bullpen that owns a 3.63 ERA and has been "solid all year," while expressing far less faith in the Tigers relief corps that spent most of the season in a "long valley of being just terrible." On the other side, Chris Paddock brings a 4-11 record and 5.10 ERA and was “absolutely shelled” by Minnesota in his last start, giving Kenny confidence Kansas City’s offense—showing recent life despite ranking 29th in runs and 23rd in OBP—can scratch out enough support. He acknowledged Detroit’s strengths (42-24 at home, 8th in runs, 9th in slugging) but still prefers the plus-money price with a better starter and bullpen edge. The recommendation is to grab Royals +105 on the moneyline.

Kenny G flat-out refuses to lay –225 on Philadelphia, calling the number ‘insane’ given Aaron Nola’s collapse and a bullpen that ‘loses another game every night.’ Nola owns a 6.92 ERA and has been blasted in three consecutive outings, including 2.1 innings, seven hits and six earned versus these Nationals last week. The Phillies’ relievers coughed up Friday’s 5-4 defeat and rank among the league’s worst since the break. Kenny notes the club’s six-game division cushion may have led to complacency at the plate despite top-10 run and slugging ranks. Meanwhile Washington’s offense has quietly posted 5, 9, 5 and 9 runs in four of its last six and faces a philly staff with no form. With Mitchell Parker also struggling, Kenny leans to the over 9.5 but the actionable angle is simple: ‘there’s no way I’m laying –225 on the Phillies against anyone right now.’ Bettors should either take the big dog or pass.

Kenny G likes Toronto at –130 in Miami, framing it as a perfect get-right spot for Jose Berrios. Berrios was torched for 10 hits and six earned by Texas last time out but had been solid the five starts prior; the Marlins have never faced him, giving an edge to the veteran’s deep arsenal. Miami counters with Jansen Junk, who has surrendered at least three earned in five straight turns and was ‘shelled by the Yankees’ during that run. Once Junk exits, a Marlins bullpen sporting a 4.10 ERA (bottom-10 in MLB since the break) takes over. The Blue Jays lineup, even while banged up, still ranks first in batting average and OBP and seventh in runs, while Miami sits 18th in runs and 17th in slugging, producing 2–5 runs in six of the last seven games. Kenny concedes Berrios’ volatility could keep this play from his pinned comment, but if you trust the right-hander to regress toward his season-long 4.00 ERA, he calls Toronto a strong value side.

Kenny G said the best way to attack Saturday’s slate is to lay the short –135 money-line with Boston. His conviction centers on ace Garrett Crochet, who sits at 13-5 with a 2.43 ERA and just held Miami to one run over seven innings. Crochet already logged an 8-plus-inning, 1-run gem against New York on August 13 after a serviceable outing on August 7, so Kenny believes the left-hander ‘has the Yankees figured out.’ Boston’s bullpen (3.42 ERA, 3rd in MLB) has backed him all season, whereas New York counters with Will Warren (4.25 ERA) whose lone 2025 start against Boston lasted only 5.1 innings with four earned, four walks and a homer. The Yankees’ bats have cratered—0 and 3 runs in the first two games of this series after previously ranking second in runs—while the Red Sox still profile as a top-five offense despite a quiet Friday. Add in New York’s shaky bullpen trend and Kenny calls Boston ‘a very reasonable price’ and his first bet on the card.

B Wade locked in Bryce Terang over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at plus money, calling it a gift. Terang has cleared the line in 15 of his last 18 games and is 4-for-9 (.444) lifetime off Logan Webb. He cashed the prop on Friday and has now hit it in four straight versus San Francisco. Pairing Terang’s heater with Wade’s Webb-over-hits play adds correlation and increases the parlay’s probability of success.

B Wade expects Logan Webb to surrender over 5.5 hits. Webb has eclipsed that number in 65 % of his starts this season and in 15 of his last 20, including each of his past four road appearances. He already allowed six knocks to Milwaukee three months ago and consistently pitches deep enough to accumulate volume because he strands runners well. With the Brewers’ lineup red-hot, Wade sees no reason to buck the trend and is comfortable betting on at least six safeties against the Giants’ ace.