Aaron Judge

Zach Thompson highlighted Aaron Judge as a high-quality DFS outfield pick, expecting him to rebound against Merrill Kelly. Despite recent struggles (five strikeouts in his last eight at-bats in the Arizona series), Judge maintains a season batting line of .368, four home runs, and an elite .626 wOBA. He holds strong past success against Merrill Kelly (including a home run) and is primed for a turnaround.

While recognizing Aaron Judge faces a positive batter matchup against Merrill Kelly on April 3rd, It's The Final Round expressed hesitation to recommend Judge in his betting selections. He noted that Judge's odds are typically inflated by sportsbooks because of his high profile and past success. Consequently, despite expecting good performance, the inflated prices attached to Judge diminish his betting value, leading It's The Final Round to advise pursuing other options instead of prioritizing Judge in parlays or hit props.

Just a Bet Outside outlined reasons to avoid Aaron Judge today against Arizona's ace Corbin Burnes. Despite Judge's recent hot streak, he specifically highlighted Judge's struggles historically against Burnes, with an 0-for-7 record and 3 strikeouts. Burnes' pitching style typically induces weak contact and generates ground balls at an elite rate, especially valuable at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. Given Judge's poor history against Burnes, fading him appears wise.

Sean Paul emphasizes Aaron Judge as a strong option for betting props or DFS plays Sunday against Brewers pitcher Aaron Civale. Judge coming off an explosive performance on Saturday where he went 4-for-6 with 3 home runs and 8 RBIs. Paul reasoned Judge's dominance will continue, as opposing pitchers will increasingly pitch around him, creating more traffic and pressure on opposing pitchers and enhancing scoring potential. Given Civale's past struggles (nine runs allowed in 9.2 innings) when pitching at Yankee Stadium and vulnerability to the short porch in right field, Paul expects Judge to again generate significant offensive production.

Peter Dewey advised betting Aaron Judge over 0.5 walks on Opening Day, noting Judge's already impressive walk history by leading the AL in walks two of the past three seasons and the majors with 133 walks in 2024. With Juan Soto now with the Mets and Giancarlo Stanton on the injured list, the Yankees lack solid threats to protect Judge in the batting order. As a result, opposing teams may choose frequently to pitch around him, making this walk prop a strong bet early this season.