LM Tipster played Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases, noting he owns a .704 SLG and averages 2.1 bases per game against right-handers. Tony Gonsolin is surrendering a career-worst .480 xSLG and relies heavily on a splitter Judge has slugged .750 against this season. With warm L.A. weather boosting carry, LM expects at least a double or a pair of singles from the Yankee captain.

Mills Young went back to Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases after cashing the same play in Judge’s previous game. The tout expects another long ball and advised adding a home-run sprinkle in addition to the base total, banking on the slugger’s hot form to continue.

It's The Final Round targeted Aaron Judge props against Angels right-hander Jack Kochanowicz, who throws his sinker 51 % of the time and has been torched on it (.500 opponent average). Judge owns elite numbers against sinkers this season and destroys every secondary pitch Kochanowicz offers. Judge has a hit in 13 of his last 15 games, has cleared 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs in 12 of 15, and topped 1.5 total bases in 11 of 15. His 38.4 % sweet-spot launch-angle rate ranks 46th in MLB. The tout expects books to post a fair 1.5-total-bases line and suggested taking overs on total bases, hits+runs+RBIs, or even runs scored (over in 10 of 15) given the pitch-type mismatch and Judge’s current form.

Kingpin said Aaron Judge is a strong play for over 1.5 total bases in Colorado. The tout highlighted three angles: (1) Antonio Senzatela’s grisly 1-8 record and 6.34 ERA, noting the right-hander is allowing a .301 average and the sixth-highest hard-hit rate among qualified starters; (2) the altitude at Coors Field, which inflates both fly-ball distance and overall scoring—New York projects for the slate’s highest implied total; and (3) the rest of the Yankees’ order forcing Senzatela to pitch to Judge, as New York ranks top-3 in walk rate and ISO. With Will Warren owning a 4.05 ERA but solid 24% strikeout rate, Kingpin expects the Yankees to play from ahead, giving Judge 4–5 plate appearances to clear the 1.5-base prop.

Donnie Rightside highlighted Aaron Judge’s home-run prop at +138 as his favorite way to attack the Yankees-Rockies series opener at Coors Field. Colorado sits at a historically bad 8-42 record and throws right-hander Tanner Gordon—whom Rightside mockingly dubbed “Captain America”—into the altitude. Judge will be taking his first swings in Denver with 80-degree temperatures and only a light wind blowing in, conditions that still grade as a top-three run-scoring environment on the slate. The righty-righty matchup doesn’t faze Rightside because Judge owns a .412 ISO and 64 percent hard-hit rate against same-side pitching this season, while Gordon’s minor-league track record shows a sub-20 percent strikeout rate and double-digit walk rate. Rightside cautioned that the full-game run line is inflated, but Judge’s HR price gives bettors a cleaner path to profit in the rarefied air of Coors.

Jensen recommended UNDER 1.5 Total Bases for Aaron Judge at +120. Despite Judge leading MLB with a .403 AVG and .491 OBP, the analyst expects reduced production against Nathan Eovaldi, who has limited hitters to a .183 average and yielded only three long balls across 56 innings. The early-afternoon start at Yankee Stadium historically dampens exit velocity, and the cloudy forecast further favors pitchers. Judge faces a pitcher sitting on a 0.43 ERA over his last 21 frames and carrying a 0.77 WHIP season-to-date, so Jensen anticipates fewer solid contact opportunities than the market implies, making the plus-money under a viable fade.

Chris Ruffolo said that even at a short +170, Aaron Judge belongs in HR parlays or straight tickets because his numbers versus southpaws are cartoonish. Judge is slashing .464 with six homers in just 28 at-bats against left-handed pitching this year—roughly one bomb every 4.6 ABs—and carries a .401 average with a 1.242 OPS overall. With Patrick Corbin on the hill and, in Ruffolo’s words, "really due to regress," the Yankees superstar gets as favorable a matchup as it gets for another long ball Tuesday.

It's The Final Round said Aaron Judge is a prime play for a hits-based wager Sunday against David Peterson. The tout highlighted Peterson’s poor command of both his four-seam (29% usage, .303 AVG, 2 HR in 33 AB) and sinker (.310 AVG, 1 HR in 21 AB), noting Judge already parked the sinker for a homer the only time he saw it this season. Even though the sample versus lefties is smaller, Judge owns a 40.9% sweet-spot launch-angle rate that ranks 26th of 255 qualifiers, while Peterson allows a 30.5% sweet-spot rate. Judge has collected at least one hit in 38 of 45 games and is ‘due’ after going 0-for-2 against Peterson earlier this year. The analyst plans to include Judge in a hits parlay or single-prop ticket.

B Wade juiced Aaron Judge’s Hits+Runs+RBIs line up to over 3.5 to swing the slip payout to 5.8x. Judge is obliterating left-handed pitching this season, slashing .480 with six homers in just 25 at-bats—roughly a bomb every four trips. Saturday was one of only seven hitless games for him all year, and he has avoided back-to-back zeros entirely in 2025. In his last three starts against left-handed starters he posted 6, 7, and 7 HRR totals with a homer in each. Wade expects another immediate bounce-back and labeled the over a ceiling-chasing play.

Mills Young urged bettors to take Aaron Judge to record a hit—he’s 100% on this prop in his recent sample—and sprinkle a homer. Judge’s 54% hard-hit rate and 24-degree average launch angle suggest a dinger is imminent after a ‘long’ three-game drought by his standards. Young sees an easy floor with a ceiling play attached.

Dylan Rockford admitted it feels like a cop-out, but he is ready to fire on Aaron Judge’s home-run prop any time it shows plus money, including tonight against Luis Castillo. Judge has nine homers in his last 16 games and leads MLB in barrels per plate appearance during May. Castillo’s underlying numbers suggest vulnerability: a 10.7% HR/FB rate is his highest since 2021, he has already surrendered four long balls this season, and his four-seam fastball is down nearly one full tick from last year. Citizens Bank Park has yielded a 16% boost to right-handed home-run power since 2022, giving Judge a park factor bump on top of his torrid form. Rockford prefers a single-HR ticket at +190 or better but noted bettors looking for a bigger score can ladder to 2+ at 7:1 given Judge’s multi-homer upside. He also tagged Judge as a premium DFS spend-up in GPPs.

It's The Final Round advised betting Aaron Judge overs again, even in a perceived tough matchup with Luis Castillo. He broke down Castillo’s pitch mix—four-seam (38 %), sinker (34 %), slider (21 %), change (7 %)—and showed Judge crushes every single offering: .444 on four-seam (27 AB, 3 HR), .545 on sinkers (33 AB, 18 H, 2 HR), .273 on sliders (22 AB, 1 HR) and .385 on changeups (13 AB). Judge already owns a 2-for-5 line with a homer lifetime versus Castillo (.400). Form is elite: hits in 35 of 41 games this year, and his 40 % launch-angle sweet-spot rate is 39th-best in MLB. Castillo’s sweet-spot contact allowed sits at 30 % (107th/360), acceptable but not enough to scare the tout off. Given the pitch-type edges, BvP success, and season-long tear, he expects Judge to record multiple bases and likes him in both betting markets and DFS tournaments.

It's The Final Round advised sticking with Aaron Judge props. Judge owns a 2-for-5 line (.400) with a homer versus Bryan Wu and has collected at least one hit in 34 of 40 games this season. With elite form and past success against the rookie righty, the tout expects Judge to keep rolling in the hit and home-run markets.

Guy Boston doubled-down on his Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases play at ‑125, adding fresh matchup data to support the call. He pointed out that Judge is still slugging even when the platoon advantage flips: a 395 batting average and .494 BABIP against right-handed pitching this season, numbers Boston called "phenomenal" despite being slightly lower than Judge’s lefty splits. The big edge comes from Emerson Hancock’s profile. Hancock allows markedly worse results to right-handed bats—higher ERA, batting average against, slugging, and extra-base-hit rate—and leans on a sinker 43.6% of the time. Judge owns a .532 wOBA overall and a jaw-dropping .669 wOBA specifically versus sinkers, giving him a massive pitch-type advantage. Layer that on top of his current tear (over the TB line in 12 of the last 14, 3.6 bases per game) and Boston believes the ‑125 price is a steal for bettors looking to ride the streak in Seattle.

Guy Boston likes Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases at ‑125 (widely available). Judge has eclipsed the mark in 8 of his last 10 contests (3.7 TB average), 16 of his last 20 (3.3), and 28 of 40 overall this season (70% hit rate, 3.0). Outlier notes he’s done it in 12 of the past 14 (3.6). In last year’s seven meetings with Seattle he went over four times, averaging 2.43 bases. Although his numbers dip slightly versus right-handers, they remain elite, and he faces rookie RHP Emerson Hancock, whom projection models peg for below-average strikeouts and hard-hit suppression. Given Judge’s current tear and favorable price, Boston expects another multi-base outing.

It's The Final Round mentioned Aaron Judge’s 2-for-6 (.333) history off JP Sears and his streak of hits in 15 of the last 17 games, recommending Judge in hit props or DFS lineups for Saturday’s Yankees-Athletics meeting.

It's The Final Round highlighted Aaron Judge as the top hitting prop on the board against Osvaldo Bido. Bido’s four-seam (40% usage) is giving up a .280 BA, and Judge is slugging .400 on that pitch (10-for-25, 2 HR). The sinker (17% usage) is more disastrous—.389 BA allowed—and Judge destroys sinkers at a .567 clip (17-for-30, 2 HR). Bido’s cutter (15% usage) sits at .429 allowed; Judge owns a .538 BA (7-for-13, 2 HR) versus cutters. Overall, Judge has at least one hit in 21 of his last 23 and carries a 38.7% launch-angle sweet-spot rate (58th/MLB), while Bido allows a 31.7% sweet-spot (142nd/362). With no prior head-to-head history, the tout trusts the pitch-mix mismatch and Judge’s scorching form for over 1.5 total bases, HR ladders, and captain-slot DFS builds.

Soni called Judge the slate’s safest power play, even at a short +160 price. The Yankees star is on a tear, slashing .400/.491/.750 with 12 home runs and 34 RBIs to start 2025. He’s barreling balls 14.5% of the time with a 95.6 mph average exit velocity, fueling a 1.241 OPS. Oakland starter Osvaldo Bido (4.71 ERA) has yielded seven homers in seven outings, including a four-bomb meltdown against Texas. Soni expects Judge to capitalize on Bido’s homer issues and extend his MVP-caliber streak.

Guy Boston backed Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases at –115 on FanDuel. Judge has cashed in 9 of his last 10 (3.5 TB average), 15 of his last 20 (75 %), and 25 of 36 on the year (69 %, 2.92 TB). Against San Diego he’s 3-for-5 lifetime (3 TB per game), and versus Dylan Cease specifically he’s 4-for-10 with a .400 AVG, .900 SLG, and three extra-base knocks. Judge’s stats dip slightly vs righties (.396 AVG) but remain elite, while Cease’s ERA, batting average allowed, slugging, and extra-base-hit rate all balloon when facing right-handed bats. Boston concluded that the combination of Judge’s current heater and Cease’s righty struggles sets up another multi-base night.

Bryan Zarpentine said to smash Aaron Judge over 1.5 total bases at near-even money. Judge has topped that mark in 11 of his past 13 and Monday was the only miss in his last 10 games. The slugger owns a .400 average (4-for-10) with two doubles and a homer in his career off Wednesday starter Dylan Cease, who is struggling. Zarpentine pointed out Judge's recent multi-hit, extra-base binge as proof the heater is still on after Tuesday's long ball, making two bases the floor rather than the ceiling.

Lindquist said he’s shocked books keep hanging plus money on Aaron Judge to record a single hit. Judge owns a .351 expected batting average and a 70.2 % expected slugging, meaning even when he doesn’t leave the yard he’s barreling line-drive singles. With Padres pitchers still challenging him, Lindquist projected a 63 % chance Judge produces at least one base hit, making anything better than ‑170 fair; the current +105 is a clear buy.

Bryan Zarpentine said the +100 line on Aaron Judge to clear 1.5 total bases is simply too generous given Judge's current tear. The Yankee slugger is batting .423 during a 13-game hitting streak and has topped 1.5 total bases in eight consecutive contests, failing to do so only twice during that entire streak. He rattled off five straight multi-hit games prior to Sunday. While Judge is only 5-for-18 (.278) lifetime against Monday’s starter Nick Pivetta, Zarpentine believes the recent form outweighs that modest history, especially with Pivetta moving to the Padres rotation and still adjusting to NL lineups. The wager hinges on Judge needing just a pair of singles or one extra-base knock to cash, a threshold he has smashed in 11 of his last 13 games.

It's The Final Round highlighted Aaron Judge’s track record against Nick Pavetta: 5-for-14 (.357) with two homers. Judge has tallied at least one hit in 20 of his past 21 games and faces a pitcher who has historically struggled with right-handed power. The tout suggested betting Judge’s total bases or home-run prop and locking him into DFS builds.

Just A Bet Outside opened the Aces of Bases segment by calling Aaron Judge’s last two weeks ‘historic’, noting the Yankee superstar has piled up 44 total bases in his past 15 days – seven more than any other hitter. Judge’s 41% barrel rate and league-leading 94 mph average exit velocity over that span make him a must-play in DFS and a nightly over 1.5 total-bases bet until sportsbooks adjust. The tout stressed that with warmer weather and a series in hitter-friendly Fenway on deck, there’s no reason to fade the hot streak now.

Bettor Mark advised taking Aaron Judge over 1.5 hits at +175 on FanDuel, grading it as a half-unit official play. Judge has topped this number in seven of his last ten games (70%) and is "tearing the cover off the baseball" right now. Mark noted that prop lines are based on 162-game season averages, so they lag when a star gets scorching hot, creating value. Saturday he faces soft-tossing right-hander Zach Littell, whose balanced off-speed mix has still yielded an elevated batting average to right-handed hitters. With the game in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium and Judge locked in, Mark expects at least two knocks despite the risk of a walk or two. He mentioned the 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBI prop (-130) as a viable alternative but prefers the bigger payout on straight hits.

Shubham Soni backed Aaron Judge to clear the fence at +155. Soni highlighted Judge’s absurd start to 2025 – a .430 average, 10 homers and a 1.298 OPS – and noted that the wind is forecast to be blowing out in New York. He expects the Yankee slugger to feast on Rays right-hander Zack Littell (1-5, 5.03 ERA), pointing out Tampa Bay’s season-long woes against right-handed power bats. With Judge barreling the ball at a league-best clip and Littell surrendering a .486 slugging percentage to righties, Soni labeled this a green-light spot for a round-tripper.

Bryan Zarpentine urged bettors to grab +210 on Aaron Judge clearing 1.5 hits Friday. His case: Judge is batting an absurd .427 and just went 7-for-11 in Baltimore. The slugger owns multi-hit efforts in four of the last five and six of the last eight games. While the sample versus Ryan Pepiot is small (2-for-6), Zarpentine argued that current form trumps any matchup data, making another two-hit night a strong value at better than 2-to-1.

Bryan Zarpentine urged bettors to hammer Aaron Judge’s Over 1.5 Hits prop at +210. Judge is on an absolute heater, going 7-for-11 in the mid-week series at Baltimore and producing multi-hit efforts in four of his last five games and six of his last eight. He is slashing a ridiculous .427 overall, so Zarpentine downplayed the matchup angle but still noted that Judge is 2-for-6 lifetime off Friday starter Ryan Pepiot. Given the combination of current form and long odds, Zarpentine called this a must-bet for anyone building a Friday MLB card.

It's The Final Round said Aaron Judge is his top prop play today because the matchup lines up everywhere you look. Pepiot throws his four-seam 41 % of the time and Judge is torching that pitch this season (8-for-21, .381 AVG, 1 HR). Pepiot is equally bad with the heater, allowing a .391 AVG (9-for-23) and a homer. Pepiot’s slider has been crushed for a .333 AVG and three bombs, while Judge’s only weakness there is sample size (2-for-11). Judge owns an 11-game hit streak and sits in the launch-angle “sweet spot” (8°-32°) 40.4 % of the time—145th-best in MLB. Pepiot allows batters to live in that band 36 % of the time, 133rd-worst of 371 pitchers. The tout concluded those overlapping metrics plus modest career success (2-for-6 versus Pepiot) make Judge the safest total-bases / hit prop on the slate.

Joe Pisapia’s best bet of the day is the Aaron Judge home-run prop at +210 and a parlay with the Yankees money line (+340) in Camden Yards. Judge owns a .317 average, 46 homers, 98 RBI and 106 runs in just 109 career games against Baltimore, and he faces rookie left-hander Cade Povich plus a bullpen Pisapia called "a joke." He suggested sprinkling on ancillary markets—RBI and total bases—but emphasized the homer prop as the core play given Judge’s career 12.1 % HR/PA rate versus the Orioles. Bettors looking for extra exposure can ladder alternate total bases, but Pisapia’s primary advice is to ride the plus-money long-ball number while it is still above 2-to-1.

Scott Reichel advised betting Aaron Judge to record at least one single at +105. Judge has logged a single in six of his last seven overall and in 11 of 15 road games this season. Reichel noted that Orioles rookie left-hander Cade Povich has been allowing plenty of hard contact, and the true price on a Judge single is closer to –125 at other recreational books, making the +105 a clear value grab.

Kingpin circled an Aaron Judge 1+ RBI ticket. The logic is straightforward: Sugano is making a hurried debut and the Yankee slugger is a threat to leave the yard whenever he sees hittable fastballs. Even if Baltimore pitches around him, New York’s on-base machines ahead of Judge create multiple RBI opportunities.

Just A Bet Outside staked his first full-unit wager of the season on Aaron Judge recording at least one hit (paired with Elly De La Cruz in a two-leg hit parlay). Judge is slashing .406/.488/.677 through 28 games and owns an eight-game hit streak. More importantly for the matchup, he has produced at least one hit in 24 of those 28 contests (86%) and multiple hits in 43%. Against right-handed pitching he has been even better, batting .390 with 20 hits in 22 games started by righties. He now draws Orioles right-hander Sugano, whose 8% strike-out rate is the lowest among qualified starters and whose 8.9 H/9 shows he is highly contact-prone. Once Sugano exits, Judge will see a Baltimore bullpen that ranks bottom-10 in WHIP. With so much contact expected and Judge’s elite form, the tout called a single hit “the floor” and used it as the anchor leg of his parlay.

Kingpin highlighted Aaron Judge as an "anytime HR" target. Judge has cleared the fences seven times in just 26 contests (a 43-homer pace) and owns a gaudy 55% hard-hit rate. He now faces Kevin Gausman, who has been far more homer-prone on the road (1.4 HR/9 since 2024) and profiles poorly in Yankee Stadium, where the short porch to right magnifies every fly ball. The wind is projected to be blowing out to left at 9 mph, and Judge already has a .706 SLG at home this season. With New York’s entire lineup locked in, Gausman will be forced into the zone, giving Judge multiple high-leverage swings. At +200 or better, Kingpin believes the slugger is the premier power prop on the Saturday slate.

It's The Final Round called Aaron Judge a must-play prop against Jose Berrios. Judge owns a massive .382 AVG (13-for-34) with five homers lifetime versus Berrios and is slugging .632 against Berrios’ most-used pitch (48 % usage). He is 3-for-7 (.429) on the change and 5-for-6 (.833) on the four-seam this season. Berrios, meanwhile, is allowing .286 or worse on every pitch type and a .500 BAA on his four-seamer in 2024. Judge has hits in 21 of 25 recent games, so Final Round is firing on hit + HR ladders and makes Judge the centerpiece of Friday parlays.

B Wade endorsed Aaron Judge to exceed 1.5 total bases, citing Judge's excellent early-season form. Judge has hit this prop in 12 of his 18 games (67%), including notably five straight games and seven of his last eight. Despite talk of a slump, B Wade noted Judge's solid .409 batting average this year, along with a .370 average against right-handed pitching, three homers, and 11 RBIs vs righties. Given Judge's power, B Wade emphasized he could hit the number with a single swing very easily. He liked this prop considerably due to the consistent production Judge has delivered.

Data Skrive spotlighted Aaron Judge as an exceptional target for batting props based on his elite recent performance. Judge leads the Yankees offensively with a .409 batting average, seven home runs, and 21 RBI. He is currently riding a five-game hitting streak, hitting .588 with two doubles, one home run, four walks, and one RBI in that stretch. His sustained hot form and impressive power numbers create clear value in fantasy lineups and betting scenarios.

It's The Final Round noted Aaron Judge's consistent performance at the plate despite pitchers avoiding giving him home run opportunities. Judge has recorded hits in 13 of 16 games and continues to produce consistently through singles and doubles even while being pitched carefully. Given his current hot form, Judge represents a safe and reliable play for hitting props.

Kingpin strongly advises betting on Aaron Judge to hit a home run facing Royals’ lefty Kris Bubic at Yankee Stadium. Bubic, returning from Tommy John, struggles with command and velocity, creating the ideal scenario for a power slugger like Judge. Yankee Stadium's well-known short porch in right plays perfectly for Judge’s power potential and elevates his home run odds significantly.

B Wade advises betting under 2.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs for Aaron Judge against Michael Wacha. Judge has notably struggled against Wacha, going just 1-for-15 lifetime with a startling 50% strikeout rate. Additionally, Judge has cooled off significantly from his hot start, exceeding this total only twice in his last seven games. Given Judge's poor historical performance against Wacha and recent offensive struggles, B Wade confidently recommends fading him today.

Data Skrive highlighted Aaron Judge as an excellent bet on total bases betting props, given his outstanding recent form and statistical rankings. Judge leads the Yankees with a .367 batting average, tops the majors with six home runs and 20 RBI, and he's been especially hot over his last five games, hitting .438 with a double, five walks, and two RBI during a three-game hitting streak. Given this level of consistent production, Judge offers strong value against his total bases prop set at 1.5 (-125) for the matchup against the Royals.

Aaron Judge's matchup against Michael Wacha should give bettors pause according to Just A Bet Outside. Judge has historically struggled noticeably in this matchup, going only 1-for-18 with an alarming 11 strikeouts. This extreme challenge for Judge suggests steering clear of positive player props and DFS lineups until he proves otherwise against Wacha.

Daniel Kohn spotlighted Aaron Judge's impressive early-season production as a reason to back the Yankees. Judge has been extremely productive, batting .357 with four doubles, six home runs, and a league-leading 20 RBI through the early portion of April. His consistent presence has generated offense nearly every game, highlighted by eight out of his recent ten games featuring at least one hit, including four multi-hit performances. Judge's strong form and ability to drive in runs makes the Yankees' lineup and betting angles involving their scoring potential very attractive in the matchup against Kansas City.

It's The Final Round provided strong backing for Aaron Judge against Logan Webb, highlighting a favorable hitting matchup today. Judge historically hits Webb's primary sinker pitch (.326 average last year, .714 average this year) extremely well, and Webb throws this pitch 53% of the time. Recent and historical statistics back Judge's matchup—two hits, both home runs, in seven career at-bats versus Webb. Judge remains hot recently, with at least one hit in 10 of his last 13 games, and notably maintains an outstanding launch-angle sweet spot percentage (40%), further cementing him as a promising pick in today's game.

Data Skrive identified Aaron Judge's home run prop bet (+230) versus the Giants as particularly favorable given his dynamic slugging output so far. Despite shorter odds, Judge has hit 6 home runs in 14 games (28.6% frequency), validating these odds considering his confirmed history and current elite form. Bettors are encouraged by these odds even with lower returns because of Judge's high floor and strong early-season production.

It's The Final Round singled out Aaron Judge facing Jordan Hicks, who relies heavily on throwing sinkers (57% usage). Judge is hitting .714 against sinkers this year with five hits in seven at-bats and has historically excelled versus Hicks, batting .500 including two home runs in six career at-bats. Judge consistently finds the optimal launch angle sweet spot 41.2% of the time, among league leaders, which pairs nicely against Hicks, who allows that optimal launch angle 33.3% of the time. Given this strong matchup history and favorable hitting metrics, Judge appears poised for a strong performance.

Joe Pisapia confidently highlighted Aaron Judge as a strong home run pick throughout the weekend series at home, recommending taking his prop at +230 odds for Friday. Pisapia emphasized Judge's ideal hitting environment and favorable splits at home as factors that make the prop particularly appealing and a sensible wager today.

Chris Ruffolo recommends betting Aaron Judge to hit a home run at +210 odds, identifying a favorable matchup against Giants pitcher Robbie Ray. Judge went 6-for-10 with three homers against the Giants last season, and specifically, he's 3-for-8 lifetime versus Robbie Ray with all three hits being home runs. This season, Ray has already surrendered three home runs in two starts. Ruffolo also highlights that Judge has excelled against left-handed pitching this year, hitting four of his six homers against lefties.

JD Bets recommends taking Aaron Judge for a home run today. Judge has impressive historic performances against pitcher Robbie Ray, batting .375 (3 for 8), with all three hits being home runs. JD mentioned his trend of success, noting the favorable home run odds at +230, and pointed out it's been five days since Judge's last homer, predicting today as an ideal situation for him to go deep again.

Bryan Zarpentine recommends wagering on Aaron Judge to record at least one RBI against the Giants. Judge has 20 RBI through the first 12 games of the season and has produced an RBI in seven of those 12 games. Additionally, Judge has strong career success against Giants' pitcher Robbie Ray, going 3-for-8 with three home runs and four walks, making him a strong bet for RBI production in this matchup.

Eric Polzin highlighted Aaron Judge as an attractive target on PrizePicks specifically for his hitting fantasy over due to site-specific scoring nuances. Polzin explained that PrizePicks awards five points for steals, significantly higher than Underdog's scoring system. While Underdog gives more points for walks (three points) than PrizePicks (two points), this scoring discrepancy means hitters who regularly attempt steals and don't rely heavily on walks will have naturally higher scoring expectations on PrizePicks. Judge's fantasy line of 8.5 on PrizePicks appears notably low compared to his projections and sportsbook averages, making it a strong play. Polzin advised bettors to exploit this scoring difference, adding that steals and occasional walks are easier to project than extra-base hits like doubles, triples, or home runs.