Guy Boston recommended taking Abraham Toro under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at +140 against Tarik Skubal. Boston joked that bettors are ‘owed’ after Toro ruined a previous under with a garbage-time homer, but the handicap is more than narrative: Toro is a part-time switch-hitter who owns a sub-.280 wOBA from the right side and strikes out 28 % of the time versus high-velocity lefties. Skubal’s fastball/change combo is carving up right-handed bats (35 % K, .189 xBA) and Detroit’s pen has three lefty relievers waiting if Toro sees a second plate appearance late. With Toro projected to hit eighth and rarely steal, Boston sees limited pathways for multiple counting stats and is comfortable firing a half-unit at plus money.

Guy Boston recommended betting Abraham Toro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at roughly –112. Toro is only in the lineup because Romy Gonzalez is injured and has logged minimal plate appearances this season. Boston called Toro "not good," noting an 85 wRC+ over his last 300 MLB PA and no stolen-base threat. Rookie Jackson Jobe leans on a plus fastball/slider combo that should neutralize Toro’s middling contact skills, and even in what Boston expects could turn into an over game, he doubts Toro will generate enough counting stats to clear the prop.