In the Cardinals-Mets matchup, Kenny G recommends betting the underdog St. Louis Cardinals (+120), driven mainly by Andre Pallante's stellar early-season pitching performance. Pallante, boasting a 2.20 ERA and recently coming off a dominant seven-inning shutout against the Phillies, has not allowed more than two earned runs in any game this season. The Cardinals offense, currently fourth in MLB in runs scored and first overall in batting average and on-base percentage, further bolsters their appeal. Conversely, Mets starter Griffin Canning has struggled recently—allowing four earned runs in five innings against the weak Oakland lineup. Despite acknowledging the Mets' bullpen excellence (2.18 ERA), Kenny feels strongly that Pallante's form and the Cardinals' potent bats present strong value at these odds.

Kenny G strongly backs the Cardinals due to Andre Pallante's outstanding early-season form (2-0, 2.20 ERA), highlighted by his most recent dominant seven-inning shutout of the Phillies allowing only two hits. Pallante hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any start yet, with the Cardinals winning two of his three starts and losing only in extra innings at Fenway. Kenny believes Pallante provides exceptional betting value facing the inconsistent Mets, emphasizing Pallante's reliability and strong form as key factors for betting the Cardinals.

Mal Bamford strongly supports backing the Cardinals on the road against the Mets, affirming confidence in Andre Pallante. Mal noted Pallante's impressive transition from bullpen to starting role with recent strong performances, including seven scoreless innings against the Phillies and solid outings against Boston and Minnesota. Furthermore, Mal expressed concerns with New York starter Griffin Canning, who has looked vulnerable recently. With the Cardinals hitting the ball very well lately—highlighted by Juan Soto's emerging power stroke (home runs in back-to-back nights)—Pallante's surge as a reliable starter makes St. Louis valuable road underdogs.

Cash Out Sports Picks supports taking the Cardinals moneyline due to their strong recent pitching form, especially highlighting Andre Pallante, who has given up only four runs over 16.1 innings, including seven shutout innings against the Phillies. In contrast, Mets starter Griffin Canning has struggled significantly (15 hits and eight walks in 15 innings). Considering recent performances and the favorable odds, backing the Cardinals offers clear value.

Matt Perrault advised betting the under on Andre Pallante's strikeout total (4.5) against the New York Mets. He pointed out Pallante is not known as a high strikeout pitcher, posting only 3, 6, and 4 strikeouts so far this season. Crucially, Perrault emphasized that the Mets are the league's least strikeout-prone team at home with only 5.83 strikeouts per game. Due to this matchup, Perrault expects the Mets to put the ball in play consistently, potentially shortening Pallante's outing and making it difficult for him to reach five strikeouts.

Todd Zola recommends placing a wager on Andre Pallante under 4.5 strikeouts at -140 odds, based on concerning velocity trends. Pallante's fastball velocity—averaging 93.4 mph this season—has noticeably declined by 1.1 mph from last year's rate of 94.5 mph. This significant drop points to decreased effectiveness, bolstering a projected 65% chance that this under hits, yielding an expected value of $15.93. The matchup against the Mets' lineup further supports Pallante's decreased strikeout expectation, emphasizing the strong case for this wager.

Sean Zerillo pointed out Andre Pallante as a pitcher repeatedly underrated by the betting markets due to his poor strikeout-to-walk numbers, despite elite groundball outcomes. Pallante has a career 67% groundball rate, consistently inducing weak groundouts despite regularly allowing baserunners due to walks and low strikeout ability. Zerillo argues pitchers achieving results primarily through generating weak contact rather than commanding strikeouts are systematically undervalued, making Pallante a hidden value pitcher in betting scenarios, especially in matchups where the Cardinals bullpen produces uncertainty.

Dan Palyo strongly advised betting Andre Pallante under 4.5 strikeouts (-135 DraftKings). Pallante has consistently mediocre underlying metrics—a career 16.5% K-rate and no notable pitch changes signaling improvement. Boston's disciplined lineup with a 13.5% walk rate and strong recent production (128 wRC+) should limit Pallante's innings and strikeouts. Palyo views the 4.5 strikeout line as mispriced, strongly recommending the under.