Eric Lindquist tabbed Andrew Benintendi as his favorite total-bases—and potential home-run—target on Wednesday. The veteran outfielder quietly owns a .510 expected slugging percentage and a .361 xwOBA over his last ten games, numbers that dwarf his season slash (.245/.315/.427) and point to serious positive regression. His hard-hit rate has climbed to 40%, the best mark he’s posted since 2021. Enter Houston spot starter Ryan Gusto, who has already surrendered six homers to left-handed bats while somehow keeping righties in the yard. Lindquist highlighted the expansive power alley in center and right at Guaranteed Rate Field as perfect real estate for Benintendi’s pull-side lift and wants plus money on 2+ total bases, with a sprinkle on the long-ball prop. He cautioned against blanket “hot streak” betting but said this particular underlying profile versus Gusto’s lefty issues is exactly the kind of micro-edge that has fueled his June heater.

Lindquist likes Andrew Benintendi over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at plus money despite the left-on-left matchup with Cole Ragans. He respects Ragans’ knuckle-curve (.154 AVG, .154 SLG) and changeup but noted the southpaw leans on his four-seamer nearly 50 % of the time, and that pitch is hittable (.241 AVG, .436 xSLG). Benintendi is a “professional hitter” who has seen Ragans plenty from his AL days, and Kansas City’s bullpen features only two mediocre lefties (Daniel Lynch and Angel Zerpa), so late-inning platoon relief should be right-handed. Lindquist cautioned that the prop must be voided if Benintendi is benched to start—FanDuel rules count a pinch-hit appearance—but if he is in the lineup the plus-money number is “really, really nice.”

Lindquist flagged Andrew Benintendi as a sneaky long-ball target, recommending any price longer than +430 for a home-run prop. Benintendi owns a 20-plus degree average launch angle this year, and opposing starter Chad Patrick allows an almost identical 23.2-degree launch angle to hitters. That combination of loft and mediocre hard-contact suppression creates ideal conditions for a fly ball to leave the yard, especially on a mild night on the South Side.

For leg three, Guy Boston played Andrew Benintendi over 0.5 hits at ‑200. Benintendi has a hit in seven of ten games this season (70 %) and is averaging 0.9 hits over that span. He went 3‑for‑3 hitting this mark at Fenway last year, posting 1.67 hits per game against his former club, and Boston believes the return to his old stomping grounds adds motivation. In 2025 Benintendi owns a .310 average, .318 BABIP, and 152.8 WRC+ versus right‑handed pitching, exactly the handedness he’ll see from rookie righty ‘Dobbins,’ whose limited MLB data provides no sign of dominance. With favorable splits and narrative juice, Boston expects Benny Biceps to notch at least one base hit.

Eric Lindquist pointed out Andrew Benintendi as a promising target for a two-plus total bases prop against Guardians pitcher Ben Lively. Lindquist cited Lively's pronounced fly-ball tendencies against left-handed batters, which plays into Benintendi's strengths as a lefty hitter. Progressive Field was noted by Lindquist as a stadium that particularly favors left-handed power, enhancing the matchup's attractiveness even with some colder and windier weather conditions.