Guy Boston recommended betting Andrew McCutchen UNDER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs for Wednesday’s meeting with Sonny Gray. Boston pointed out that McCutchen owns poor 2025 splits against right-handed pitching and specifically struggles with sliders, a pitch Gray leans on more than 30% of the time. In career matchups versus Gray, current Pirates have produced a .233 xBA and .288 xwOBA, while McCutchen’s individual run-value versus sliders is well into the negative. The tout noted that Pittsburgh’s veteran has just a .621 OPS against righties this season and whiffed on 38% of the sliders he saw in May. Because the play only requires Gray to neutralize McCutchen for two trips through the order—and Gray’s K-rate against this roster is 30.2%—Boston prefers the prop to risking full strikeout or pitcher outs lines.

Guy Boston targeted Andrew McCutchen UNDER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at plus money in a game carrying just a 7-run total. Lefty Matthew Liberatore has held right-handed hitters to a .214 xBA and 30 % strikeout rate this season while leaning on a sweeping slider that accounts for 39 % whiffs. McCutchen owns a .196 average and 31 % K-rate versus sliders in 2025 and carries only three barrels in his last 59 batted balls. With Paul Skenes expected to neutralize St. Louis on the other side, Boston projects limited traffic and therefore few run-producing chances for any Pirate, especially a platoon-susceptible McCutchen who may get yanked for defense late. He likes anything at +100 or better on the under.