Scott Reichel recommends taking Bailey Falter under 1.5 walks at -105 versus the Reds. Falter has issued only one walk in 10 innings pitched this season, despite allowing hits and runs. Scott emphasizes that the Reds have shown poor discipline at the plate, averaging just 2.31 walks per game, tied for the fewest in MLB. He highlights previous matchups, noting even solid walk-drawing offenses like the Yankees struggled to draw walks against Falter. Expecting the Reds batters to swing aggressively early, Reichel sees great value in betting Falter's walk prop under the 1.5 line.

Scott Reichel recommended betting the Cincinnati Reds first-five innings minus half a run against Pittsburgh, specifically targeting Pirates starter Bailey Falter's poor form. Falter carries an 8.1 ERA and was mentioned as being particularly bad recently against the Yankees. Reichel showed confidence in Brady Singer, Cincinnati's starter, viewing him as clearly superior. Citing Falter's struggles and Singer's good start as the primary matchup edge, Reichel strongly advocated backing Cincinnati to get ahead early and comfortably win the first-half wager.

Kenny G advises caution with Pittsburgh starter Bailey Falter, who struggled mightily thus far, currently holding an 8.10 ERA. Falter gave up seven earned runs in four innings against the Yankees, including two homers, and also looked shaky against the Marlins. Kenny G points out that Falter is a major concern for Pittsburgh's rotation and bullpen, adding that Pittsburgh ranks bottom in the league in batting average and second-to-last in slugging percentage. Given this backdrop, he slightly leans towards betting the Reds at -155.

Eric Lindquist flagged Pirates pitcher Bailey Falter as someone to potentially target against due to troubling contact metrics early this season. Falter has allowed a very high hard-hit percentage of 56%. Although Falter's actual barrel percentage is relatively modest at 5.9%, Lindquist remains wary given the extensive hard contact he's allowing and Cincinnati's potential to capitalize, despite their own inconsistent offensive performance early on and Matt McLain's absence from the lineup.

Greg Peterson recommends betting against Pirates starter Bailey Falter, highlighting his low strikeout rate of 6.4 per nine innings since joining Pittsburgh in 2023. Falter's vulnerability to contact has translated into a 4.86 ERA and 1.4 home runs allowed per nine innings. His struggles give confidence to backing the Reds run line (-1.5 +140) and the over on 8 runs, especially with Reds starter Brady Singer's steady start (three earned runs in 12 innings) providing a more stable pitching scenario.

Dylan Rockford is down on Bailey Falter heading into his matchup against the Yankees. Despite Falter coming off a good outing against the Marlins, Rockford doesn't see a repeat performance here due to New York's strong success against lefties, hitting .314 on the season. Falter is set up poorly facing the Yankees offense, which recently woke up with nine runs scored in one game and continues to look sharp offensively. Rockford suggests exploiting this mismatch by playing the Yankees either on the run line at plus 114 or the money line at minus 142. He also likes the over (8.5) given the pitching matchup and sees strong potential for runs.

Scott Reichel cautions against betting on Pirates starter Bailey Falter due to his pronounced home-road splits. Falter struggled significantly last year with a 5.0 ERA on the road versus a 4.0 ERA at home. Although Miami's stadium slightly favors pitchers, Scott is particularly wary of Falter due to his inconsistency and poor road record, suggesting there's value taking the Marlins as home underdogs against a visibly vulnerable Falter.