Lindquist leaned to the full-game under 8.5 because Comerica’s deep outfield combines with Baltimore’s intention to quick-hook rookie Brandon Young (6.94 xERA, 0% whiff rate on anything but his change-up) and turn the game over to a rested bullpen. Detroit starter Casey Mize owns a tidy .250 xwOBA and has kept barrels below 5% through four outings, giving Lindquist confidence that the Tigers can limit Baltimore’s power. With a 26-year-old debutant who relies on a single pitch and a park that kills right-handed pull power, he expects low run expectancy early and for both pens to maintain it, making the under a viable option if the number holds at 8.5.

Joe Pisapia flagged Brandon Young as a sneaky streaming option after manager Brandon Hyde publicly called him a candidate to start again this weekend. Young struck out seven across 5.2 innings in his MLB debut, leaning on a 94‑mph sinker and a sweeping slider that generated six whiffs on 12 swings. The right‑hander posted a 29% strikeout rate and 52% ground‑ball rate at Triple‑A Norfolk, profiles that generally play in Camden Yards since the left‑field wall move. With waiver wires thin for two‑start arms, Pisapia recommended adding Young in 12‑team leagues that count quality starts and streaming him in DFS if his salary lands below $6K on DraftKings.