After cashing the same ticket Tuesday, Lindquist is running back Brice Matthews OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at plus money against Brandon Pfaadt. Pfaadt remains a punching bag: 92 mph average exit velo, 49.2 % hard-hit rate, 13.2 % barrels, .389 xwOBA, .560 xSLG and a .306 xBA allowed to all hitters. Matthews, Houston’s No. 1 prospect, is projected to hit behind Yainer Diaz and Victor Caratini, giving him RBI chances while his own athleticism creates run equity. Lindquist emphasized that lineup protection plus Pfaadt’s inability to neutralize either hand (identical ugly splits) make the plus-money H+R+RBI market too generous to pass.