Derek Farnsworth recommended fading Braves starter Bryce Elder in DFS due to concerning underlying numbers and unfavorable matchup. Elder carries an alarming 8.68 xERA with struggles generating strikeout upside (just 20% K rate). Facing Tampa's potent lineup, with hitters like Brandon Lowe showing large xwOBA splits (.487 vs RHP), Elder's downside is significantly amplified. The expected run total of 4.47 for the Rays further underscores the difficult task ahead, advising fantasy players to find safer alternatives.

Eric Lindquist expressed strong interest in betting the Dodgers run line against the Braves, specifically targeting Bryce Elder. Elder allowed troubling numbers last season, with metrics such as a .285 expected batting average, 45.3% hard-hit rate, and an 8.7% barrel rate. Lindquist emphasized previous success betting against Elder (8-2 record), strongly favoring Blake Snell and highlighting that the Dodgers had rest advantages with a fresh bullpen after Monday's off day. He saw exceptional value getting nearly even money (-105) on a run line bet against Elder's vulnerability and an uneasy Braves squad.