Kyle Purviance said bettors should look to fade Atlanta whenever Bryce Elder is on the mound. He pointed to Monday’s game in Colorado as yet another example—despite the Rockies being baseball’s worst club, they jumped out to a quick 3-0 lead against Elder before falling apart late. Purviance’s broader point was that Elder rarely misses bats and routinely puts his team in early holes, creating live-bet or full-game opportunities to take the opposing side or the opposing team total. While the Braves’ offense can bail him out, Kyle emphasized that the right-hander’s volatility makes Atlanta overpriced whenever he draws the start.

Drew Martin urged bettors to fade Bryce Elder and take the Twins at +120. Elder’s fastball has lost the second‑most velocity of any qualified MLB starter, a sign Martin believes hints at an underlying injury. The Texas product has already surrendered eight earned runs, 12 hits and four homers in just 10 innings. Atlanta also returns home for the first game after a 2‑4 road trip— a spot Martin historically dislikes. On the other side, Chris Paddack’s ERA is an ugly 10.00, but Martin stressed that nine of those earned runs came in one blow‑up debut; his last two appearances have been solid. Given Elder’s alarming metrics and Atlanta’s flat offense, Martin felt the plus money on Minnesota was too good to pass up.

Derek Farnsworth recommended fading Braves starter Bryce Elder in DFS due to concerning underlying numbers and unfavorable matchup. Elder carries an alarming 8.68 xERA with struggles generating strikeout upside (just 20% K rate). Facing Tampa's potent lineup, with hitters like Brandon Lowe showing large xwOBA splits (.487 vs RHP), Elder's downside is significantly amplified. The expected run total of 4.47 for the Rays further underscores the difficult task ahead, advising fantasy players to find safer alternatives.

Eric Lindquist expressed strong interest in betting the Dodgers run line against the Braves, specifically targeting Bryce Elder. Elder allowed troubling numbers last season, with metrics such as a .285 expected batting average, 45.3% hard-hit rate, and an 8.7% barrel rate. Lindquist emphasized previous success betting against Elder (8-2 record), strongly favoring Blake Snell and highlighting that the Dodgers had rest advantages with a fresh bullpen after Monday's off day. He saw exceptional value getting nearly even money (-105) on a run line bet against Elder's vulnerability and an uneasy Braves squad.