Guy Boston sees betting value on Byron Buxton under 1.5 total bases. He highlighted strong market indicators, noting the line is significantly juiced (from -160 up to -175 in many spots, showing perceived sharp or bookmaker caution). He analyzed specific matchup concerns with Buxton facing a right-handed pitcher in Michael Wacha, emphasizing that Buxton struggles more against righties and change-ups, which Wacha primarily uses alongside his fastball. Though acknowledging the fastball potential issue, Boston concluded if Wacha's change-up is effective, Buxton should stay under this bases threshold, making this prop worthwhile given clear market value and situational pitching advantage.

Eric Lindquist recommended betting on Byron Buxton to hit a home run versus Sean Burke, highlighting Burke's troubling metrics from his first start. Specifically, Burke has allowed a .683 expected slugging across 18 batted ball events, indicating he's generating very little swing and miss and is vulnerable to power hitters. Lindquist pointed out that Buxton is projecting nicely at odds better than +340, implying a good betting opportunity given Burke's current form.