Jordan Cooper warned that Cade Horton projects as one of the most over-owned pitchers on the 11-game slate. SimLabs gives Horton only a 14% chance of landing in the optimal lineup (fourth-best on the board) yet expects him to draw roughly 29% DraftKings ownership. Cooper added that Horton’s projected 84-pitch limit is the lowest among the top tier of arms, capping his ceiling despite a 5.5 K prop (-145). Because value bats are plentiful, Cooper suggested fading or severely limiting Horton in tournaments and instead spending up for lower-owned studs or building leverage with Rockies bats against him.

Perrault’s second parlay leg rides the Cubs because of an extreme pitching split: German Marquez’s 11.12 road ERA. Marquez has coughed up 28 earned runs in 22.2 away innings and the Rockies are an abysmal 3-23 on the road overall. Meanwhile rookie Cade Horton is 3-0 in his Wrigley Field starts despite a 5.40 home ERA, and Chicago boasts a 16-10 home record. Sportsbooks have moved the run line to –2.5, underscoring how lopsided the matchup is on paper. Perrault recommended ignoring the run-line juice and simply tacking the Cubs moneyline onto the parlay to continue fading one of baseball’s worst travel teams.

Johnny Venezia said Cade Horton is a must-add in fantasy and a live 30-1 dart in the NL Rookie of the Year market. Horton’s big-league debut (4 IP, 3 ER, 5 K, 0 BB vs. the Mets) showed the same swing-and-miss arsenal he flashed in the minors: a four-pitch mix highlighted by a curveball that fueled huge whiff numbers at Oklahoma and throughout the Cubs system. Venezia noted that the current NL ROY board is ‘soft’—Augustin Ramirez is already cooling off while Roki Sasaki and Dylan Crews haven’t produced—so Horton’s price has drifted from 50-1 to 30-1 without any real resistance. With only a 23 % Yahoo roster rate, managers can still scoop him for free, get strikeouts immediately, and gain exposure to a potentially meteoric odds move if Horton strings together quality starts.