Kenny G jumped on New York at –118, arguing the number does not reflect the massive gap between these clubs right now. The Yankees lead MLB in batting average, slugging and OBP (.350) and just clubbed four first-inning homers en route to a 15-3 win. Even with the 38-year-old Carlos Carrasco’s 5.26 ERA, Kenny trusts him more than rookie Kade Povich (1-2, 5.04) who now has to face Aaron Judge and company after beating up on Washington. New York’s bullpen sits 7th with a 3.06 ERA, whereas Baltimore’s relief corps ranks 26th at 4.84. Offensively the Orioles are 25th in average, 20th in runs and have managed only 3,4,0,2,3 runs their last five. Kenny expects Povich to struggle, the Oriole ‘pen to leak oil, and the Bronx bats to keep rolling, saying the game should be priced well north of –140.

Kenny G is hesitant about backing the favored Yankees due to significant concerns surrounding Carlos Carrasco, who has notably struggled early this season. Carrasco comes into the matchup with an inflated ERA of 7.71, highlighting his most recent troubling performance against Detroit, where he surrendered four runs in just 4.1 innings in a 5-0 Yankees loss. Kenny describes Carrasco's presence on the mound as a red flag for Yankee backers, suggesting potential plays towards a "yes run first inning" bet or favoring betting the Royals as underdogs with Seth Lugo showing promising form.

Scott Reichel recommended backing the Royals as underdogs against the Yankees because Carlos Carrasco has struggled badly, holding a 7.71 ERA this season. Despite Kansas City's offensive limitations, Reichel points out that Carrasco cannot be trusted as a favorite. He also raises concerns about the Yankees bullpen, specifically mentioning Devin Williams' recent struggles. Reichel feels Seth Lugo, who has performed solidly since joining the Royals, provides enough stability for Kansas City to pull out a win. Given the Yankees' poor recent form (losing five of their last seven games) and unreliable pen, he sees clear value in betting Royals money line at plus money (+120).

Just A Bet Outside is down on veteran pitcher Carlos Carrasco, emphasizing his struggles this season, including a troubling 7.71 ERA. The tout described Carrasco as an aging player primarily filling roster needs due to injury situations. With command and effectiveness diminished notably from prior years, Carrasco represents a pitcher to fade in fantasy baseball lineups and matchups today.

Cash Out Sports Picks advises against betting on the Yankees due to Carlos Carrasco's poor pitching performance. Carrasco has struggled mightily, consistently pitching poorly and allowing easy hits, indicating his weaknesses against MLB pitching talent. Kansas City's offense, though underperforming so far, might very well heat up against the vulnerable Carrasco, making the Yankees an unwise bet in this situation.

Cash Out Sports Picks strongly recommends betting the Kansas City Royals money line against the Yankees, pointing primarily to Carlos Carrasco's ongoing struggles. Carrasco has been extremely hittable, surrendering at least three runs in each of his three starts this season (10 runs in just 11.2 innings). Kansas City's offense, despite underperforming so far this season, faces an ideal matchup to finally get rolling. The Royals have shown particular potential against right-handed pitching, and Carrasco's inconsistency and vulnerability should pave the way for KC's bats to produce significantly. Additionally, the Yankees' pitching staff as a whole has been shaky, allowing five or more runs in four of their last six games. KC offers great betting value in this spot, especially with the Yankees' pitchers struggling and Carrasco at the forefront.

Bettor Mark advised the over 9 runs in Kansas City Royals versus New York Yankees, primarily due to his low confidence in Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco. He highlighted Carrasco's tendency to yield three or four earned runs minimum per start and noted the Royals appeared somewhat better offensively in recent outings against the Guardians. The improved weather and hitting conditions at Yankee Stadium further bolstered his belief in high scoring production in this game.

Daniel Kohn highlighted Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco as a strong candidate to perform well in his upcoming matchup against the Kansas City Royals. Although Carrasco has struggled somewhat this season (1-1, 7.71 ERA), he is coming off a respectable outing against Arizona where he allowed three earned runs over 5.1 innings with five strikeouts. More importantly, Carrasco's history against Kansas City stands out positively, as he boasts a career record of 10-5 with a solid 3.52 ERA across 16 starts versus the Royals lineup. Given his established track record of success against this specific opponent, bettors and DFS players should find Carrasco appealing in this spot.

Greg Peterson is fading Carlos Carrasco who has significantly struggled since departing Cleveland, accumulating an alarming 5.39 ERA since 2021. Carrasco is prone to home run troubles, averaging 1.5 HR per nine innings alongside frequent control issues. Royals pitcher Seth Lugo effectively limited homers last season (0.7 per 9 innings), though previously struggled in that department. Peterson anticipates Carrasco’s declining form will create a favorable spot for Kansas City, recommending betting the Royals at +116 as well as Over 8.5 runs in a matchup likely featuring runs.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised to take the over on total runs in Yankees versus Tigers. Yankees starter Carlos Carrasco has notably struggled with a 7.36 ERA in two wild starts, averaging an incredible 22.5 total runs between teams. Coupled with New York's league-leading offense averaging 8.44 runs per game, and the Tigers sitting at 9th overall (five runs per game), conditions point strongly towards a high-scoring game. Although Detroit isn't typically explosive, the Yankees' pitching woes, especially from Carrasco, make the over a favorable bet.

Just A Bet Outside advised betting Carlos Carrasco under 4.5 strikeouts against the Tigers. The analyst highlighted Carrasco's declining swing-and-miss ability, reflected by last season's road K-rate drop from 22.3% to 17.7%. Additionally, Carrasco went under 4.5 Ks in 64% of his road starts last year. Despite the Tigers showing an inflated strikeout rate early this season with high strikeout totals against top pitchers Logan Gilbert and Yamamoto, 4 of their other 5 matchups against right-handed pitchers have ended with three or fewer strikeouts. Given Carrasco's age and lack of ability to generate whiffs (12 total whiffs in 7.1 innings this year), the analyst strongly recommended fading Carrasco's strikeout total.

Tokyo Brandon recommended betting against Yankees pitcher Carlos Carrasco in the first five innings when they face the Diamondbacks. Brandon emphasized that Carrasco, now 39 and having battled cancer, has significantly declined recently, with WHIP declining from a prime of around 1.00 to as high as 1.70 in recent seasons. Carrasco's season opener was particularly troubling: in just two innings against a struggling Milwaukee lineup, he allowed three earned runs and gave up a home run. Additionally, Carrasco last faced Arizona in 2024 and was hit hard, surrendering four earned runs in four innings. Considering Arizona ranks third in MLB offense per Brandon's metrics, he expects Carrasco to be vulnerable again early in the matchup.

Greg Peterson advises fading Carlos Carrasco due to uncertainty in his pitching length and recent struggles. Carrasco has struggled significantly since 2021, posting a 5.36 ERA, 4.66 FIP, and allowing 1.5 home runs per 9 innings. His rocky 2025 relief outing versus Milwaukee (3 runs in 2 IP) creates uncertainty about how deep he'll pitch. Despite the Yankees' strong bullpen (2nd-best AL ERA: 3.62 in 2023), Peterson believes Arizona has betting value at -104, versus a fair implied price of -123.

Peter Dewey recommended betting the under on Carlos Carrasco's strikeout total (set at 3.5) due to a combination of matchup difficulty and short leash. Carrasco struggled in his season debut for the Yankees, pitching just two innings while allowing three runs and five hits against Milwaukee. Dewey noted the strong plate discipline of the Arizona Diamondbacks lineup, averaging only 6.83 strikeouts per game, third-lowest in MLB. With Carrasco unlikely to pitch deep into the game and facing a lineup that rarely strikes out, Dewey expects him to stay under the set strikeout total.

Kyle Purviance advises betting the under on Carlos Carrasco's strikeout prop against the Diamondbacks. Carrasco recorded only two strikeouts in two innings against the Brewers before getting pulled early in his last appearance. Arizona has been among the toughest teams to strike out early this season, ranking second-fewest in team strikeouts. Given Arizona's ability to consistently put the ball in play and Carrasco's current struggles, Purviance strongly advocates the strikeout under as a play if the line opens around 3.5.

Bettor Mark advises betting the Diamondbacks at +115 in their matchup against the Yankees, explicitly citing a fade of starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco. Mark respects Carrasco's past career but explicitly distrusts the veteran based on recent performance despite a decent spring training. He sees significant value, calling the Yankees a "sucker bet" at their favored price, and emphasizes his confidence in Arizona's offense after they won 4-3 the previous day, though he believes they left additional runs on the table. He recommends exploiting this inflated line in favor of Arizona.