Kyle Purviance recommends betting Carlos Correa's first plate appearance to result in a strikeout facing Michael Wacha. Correa historically struggles against Wacha, with only one hit in 13 career at-bats and five strikeouts. Given the attractive odds typically around +290, he sees solid value backing Correa’s first AB as a strikeout based on these historical matchup struggles.

Guy Boston suggested backing Carlos Correa under 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs at -105 odds. Correa has stayed under this line in seven of his last 10 games (70%) averaging only 1.1 hits, runs, and RBI per game during this span. In the 2025 season specifically, he's been under this prop in 8 of 11 games (73%) averaging exactly one per game. Guy Boston noted Correa's career success against right-handed pitching (batting .310 last year) but emphasized his recent struggles, having recorded hits in only four of 11 games this year. Against today's pitcher Seth Lugo specifically, Correa recorded just a single hit and RBI in nine total plate appearances (.125 batting average). While acknowledging Correa's solid historical numbers against pitch-types Lugo heavily utilizes, Guy Boston expects Correa's cold hitting start and historical struggles versus Lugo to keep him under the 1.5 hits, runs, RBI total today.

Guy Boston identified Carlos Correa under 1.5 hits, runs, RBI as a potentially enticing prop bet today based on his early-season slump against left-handed pitching. While cautious because historically Correa has hit lefties effectively, Boston highlighted Correa's uncharacteristic struggles this season and believes Cole Ragans' strong pitching form further supports considering this fade. He clarified caution about career versus recent splits but felt strongly enough about current form to mention this prop prominently.

Just a Bet Outside highlighted that Carlos Correa has a strong hitting matchup against Martin Perez, going 9-for-29 (.310) with three home runs in previous at-bats. Correa's past success against Perez suggests he could perform well again today, making him a notable option for DFS lineups or betting on hitting props.