BetMGM Betting highlighted Carlos Narvaez’ home-run prop at + odds and framed it as a worthwhile flyer. Their write-up noted that the rookie catcher has cleared the 0.5 HR line in 3 of his last 9 games, a run that would have returned +24.5 units and a 272% ROI for anyone blindly tailing the Over. Boston currently owns MLB’s best hard-hit rate (48%), and Narvaez has posted a 46% pull rate against right-handed pitching, a profile that pairs well with the Rogers Centre power alley in left. With Jose Berrios owning just a 17% first-pitch whiff rate (second percentile among qualified starters), BetMGM’s staff believes Narvaez should get hittable offerings early in counts, making the Over 0.5 HR an enticing lottery ticket.