Guy Boston recommended playing Chandler Simpson under 1.5 hits + runs + RBI at minus-105 or better. The handicap keys on Kevin Gausman’s pitch mix—four-seam, splitter and occasional slider—three offerings Simpson has struggled with at every minor-league stop. Gausman is limiting left-handers to a .190 batting average this season and sports a 31 % strikeout rate against them. Boston added that Gausman’s splitter generates a 37 % whiff rate, a nightmare for a contact-oriented rookie like Simpson. Because books opened the prop as high as –115, Boston sees value only if the number is –105 to –110; anything worse than –115 erodes the edge in his model.

Scott Reichel grabbed Chandler Simpson to steal a base at +140 against Jordan Hicks. Reichel noted Hicks’ long, deliberate delivery and 1.54 seconds average time to the plate, a profile that has already yielded steals to Jose Ramirez and Christian Walker in his last two outings. Simpson is a 99th-percentile sprint-speed burner who actually leads MLB in steals of third base over the past three seasons and openly models his game after Billy Hamilton. With Tampa ranking top-3 in attempted steals per game and projecting Simpson to bat leadoff, Reichel expects at least one green-light chance the first time he reaches. At +140, Reichel sees a true line closer to +105, calling the price "atrocious in our favor."

Mike Maher called Chandler Simpson "basically free speed" and said his roster percentage should be "north of 90%." Simpson has already swiped two bags in his first four games and batted leadoff twice for Tampa Bay, giving him a clear path to volume. Statcast grades him as "the fastest guy in the world," and Maher expects 40-plus steal pacing if he sticks atop the order. While there is zero power upside, Simpson’s contact skills should keep his average respectable—he projects for a .280-plus batting average thanks to elite sprint speed and high BABIP profile. Available in roughly two-thirds of Yahoo leagues and nearly 80% of ESPN formats, Simpson is a must-add for anyone chasing steals or trying to climb roto standings quickly.

Erick Halterman said Chandler Simpson should be added immediately anywhere you need steals or batting-average help. Simpson swiped 104 bases last season and 94 the year before, all while posting single-digit strike-out rates that separate him from past no-power speedsters like Esteury Ruiz, Mallex Smith, and Billy Hamilton (who all hovered in the 15–20 % K-range). Halterman expects Simpson to hit for a useful average by legging out infield singles, projects plenty of runs atop Tampa’s lineup, and even recommends grabbing him in trade-friendly leagues just to flip to the manager who really needs speed. The only risk he flagged is a potential demotion when Josh Lowe returns in May, but the upside comp he used was Juan Pierre—an outfielder who could go a whole year without homering yet still finish as an elite fantasy asset thanks to 60-plus steals.

Joe Pisapia called Chandler Simpson’s plus‑money stolen‑base prop ‘free money’ and said he will keep hammering it until sportsbooks adjust. Simpson has swiped a bag in six of his last nine starts and owns elite 80‑grade speed, yet his SB line is still being posted at plus odds. Pisapia noted that Tampa lets Simpson run any time he reaches—his 94% success rate since Double‑A earned him a perpetual green light. In micro‑parlay or single‑prop markets, Pisapia recommended locking in the steal at anything longer than ‑110 and pairing it with a hit or walk prop for a same‑game boost.