Charlie Morton

Cash Out Sports Picks suggested betting the Orioles on the money line against Boston, underscoring Charlie Morton's historical dominance vs Red Sox hitters, holding them to a .225 average with 18 Ks in 71 at-bats. Boston's offense has struggled, scoring three or fewer runs in four of its last five games and ranking 19th in OPS compared to the Orioles' 6th place. Despite Boston snapping their four-game losing streak, Baltimore's consistent offense and Morton's track record should enable Baltimore to secure the victory in the rubber match at home.

Guy Boston advised taking Charlie Morton to allow more than 4.5 hits against the Red Sox. Morton cashed this line consistently last year, reaching it 67% of the time (20 out of 30 games) with an average of 5.13 hits allowed per game. He allowed seven hits in his season debut this year against Toronto. Additionally, Boston was elite last year against right-handed pitchers, third in batting average and first in BABIP. Despite their sluggish current start, the Red Sox lineup showed signs of heating up with 10 hits the previous day. Zach Eflin gave up eight hits to Boston yesterday, suggesting a favorable spot for them against Morton, who allowed a .251 batting average overall last year. Guy Boston sees Morton's vulnerability and Boston's improving offense making this a solid wager despite mediocre payout odds (-145).

Derek Carty identifies Charlie Morton (over 5.5 Ks, -120) as an appealing strikeout prop bet due to Boston's susceptibility to high-K performances. Morton is projected with a 60% likelihood to eclipse 5.5 strikeouts, yielding a $12.88 expected value. The presence of strikeout-heavy hitters Triston Casas, Trevor Story, and Connor Wong in Boston's lineup significantly boosts Morton's strikeout potential.

Michael Savio recommends betting against Charlie Morton, emphasizing evidence of his recent deterioration in performance. Morton, now 41 years old, saw his WHIP progressively worsen over the last four seasons and struggled significantly during his Baltimore debut, allowing four earned runs and seven hits in just 3 1/3 innings pitched. Facing a Red Sox offense with Rafael Devers regaining form, this spells trouble for Morton and the Orioles in today's divisional matchup.

Greg Peterson is optimistic about Charlie Morton's consistent strikeout dominance, noting Morton's impressive streak of having over nine strikeouts per nine innings each season since 2016. Considering both squads' bullpen strengths and recent offensive struggles, Greg sees value in backing the Orioles slightly at -102 against his fair line of -125, noting Morton's reliability as a key reason.

Scott Reichel favors the Red Sox as he sees Charlie Morton clearly past his prime and a suboptimal choice for Baltimore, labeling him a 'band-aid' for the Orioles' rotation. Morton struggled in his first start this season, unable to finish four innings against the Blue Jays, and Reichel emphasizes Morton's declining velocity and effectiveness. He expects Tanner Houck, despite an underwhelming first outing against Texas, to outpitch Morton in this matchup, prompting him to bet on Boston at a cheap price.

Brian Howard highlights concerns about Charlie Morton against a strong Toronto Blue Jays lineup. He points out Morton is clearly past his best years and has a notable drop-off compared to teammate Zac Eflin. Howard specifically points out there's a distinct possibility Morton gets 'absolutely shelled,' suggesting Morton under 3.5 strikeouts at favorable odds (+135) is an interesting betting angle.