Bill Harrelson said to take Connor Norby for less than 1.5 combined hits-runs-RBIs on Monday. Harrelson pointed out that Norby has stayed under this number in eight of his past ten games and ten of his last twenty overall, including both prior meetings with the Pirates, where he produced zero counting stats. On the young 2025 season Norby is cashing the under at a 53 percent clip and 60 percent over his last five games. Harrelson likes that the major books agree: DraftKings is dealing the under at ‑130, Hard Rock at ‑125 and Sleeper at ‑132. Norby faces right-hander Burrows, whose 3.50 ERA versus right-handed bats is markedly better than his full-season 5.27 mark. While Norby’s own splits against righties are slightly better than his .253 baseline, Harrelson trusts the weight of recent performance and the respected books’ shaded juice, making the under a plus-EV prop bet.

Joe Orrico recommended taking a flyer on newly‑promoted Connor Norby in standard mixed formats. Norby’s Triple‑A profile showcased across‑the‑board production: double‑digit barrel rate, a blend of 20‑plus homer power and 15‑steal speed, and back‑to‑back seasons with a .280+ average. Orrico acknowledged loanDepot Park suppresses homers but argued the current Marlins lineup is much more dynamic—Matt Mervis and Xavier Edwards are already producing—so Norby should have run‑scoring opportunities hitting near the top. He prefers Luis Rengifo in a vacuum, yet sees Norby as the higher‑ceiling gamble if you need middle‑infield pop. Add now before his first weekend homer makes the waiver wire scramble expensive.