Sean Zerillo strongly recommends betting Corbin Carroll to lead MLB in runs scored. His modeling indicates that Carroll wins this prop 10-11% of the time, equating to fair odds of around 9 to 1. Carroll endured a slow start last season due to injuries yet still finished fifth league-wide with 120 runs and actually led all hitters in runs during the second half. Zerillo highlights a notable change—Carroll started pulling more fly balls in the air, significantly boosting his power potential. Given Carroll’s elite speed and discipline (high walk-rate), he's primed for frequent scoring opportunities and easy doubles or triples. Zerillo bet it himself at 20 to 1 but still advises it's good value at anything better than 10 to 1.

Data Skrive suggested Corbin Carroll is well-positioned to exceed 0.5 hits and 1.5 total bases against Orioles pitcher Dean Kremer. Carroll has posted excellent overall numbers through 12 games, batting .304/.407/.696 with 14 hits, 4 home runs, and 32 total bases. With Kremer's inconsistent start to the year and Carroll displaying sustained power and consistency at the plate, Carroll appears to have strong value to achieve the modest prop totals set for this matchup.

Chris Bennett calls Corbin Carroll ($3,800) a 'set it and forget it' play, thanks to Baltimore starter Charlie Morton's poor start, in which Morton has allowed nine runs and 13 hits through just 8.1 innings so far this season. Facing suspect pitching, Carroll provides a secure DFS selection likely to capitalize on Morton's early-season troubles.

Chris Ruffolo recommends Corbin Carroll at solid odds of plus 425 to hit a home run against Zach Eflin. Carroll has been crushing the ball lately. Eflin, who Ruffolo believes is overvalued as an 'ace' due to rotational circumstances, has allowed at least one home run in six consecutive starts dating back to last season. Carroll's current hot streak combined with Eflin's issues with the long ball creates an ideal situation to target Carroll for a homer.

Eric Lindquist highlighted the value of betting Corbin Carroll's total bases props against Zach Eflin, noting major improvements by Carroll against left-handed pitching. Lindquist specified Carroll's 2024 improvement, evidenced by a .190 ISO against lefties, as a stark improvement from earlier struggles. Despite the potential for teams to use left-handed relievers against Arizona's left-handed batters, including Carroll, he argued this is less of an issue given Carroll's demonstrated capability to handle lefties effectively this season. Lindquist described Eflin as an overrated pitcher who lacks effective swing-and-miss pitches, suggesting Carroll and Diamondbacks hitters generally benefit from soft matchup opportunities here.