Shubham Soni advised backing Dansby Swanson at +475 to homer in Great American Ball Park. Soni noted Swanson’s 11 homers and a .258 average on the year, but emphasized the Cubs shortstop’s underlying power: a .522 expected slugging, 12.3% barrel rate, 45.9% hard-hit rate and 33.6% sweet-spot rate. He faces Reds lefty Nick Lodolo, who has shown vulnerability against right-handed bats, and the hitter-friendly dimensions in Cincinnati further boost the upside. Soni believes Swanson’s xBA of .276 signals looming positive regression and labels him a strong long-shot play.

Scott Reichel said to attack Dansby Swanson over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI at +120. Swanson has cleared the mark in seven of his last eight overall and in five of his last eight games against the Giants. Reichel likes the spot at Wrigley because Robbie Ray’s road numbers are ugly—13 innings, 5.41 FIP, double-digit walk rate, and a lopsided ground-ball/fly-ball profile that invites damage. With Chicago’s lineup running nine deep and Swanson batting in the heart of the order, Reichel expects at least four plate appearances and noted that plus money is rare for a player on an eight-game tear. The Cubs bullpen is fresh and the home park boost means no ninth-inning at-bat lost if Chicago leads, further upping Swanson’s chances to cash multiple counting stats.

Stephen pointed out that Dansby Swanson destroys Corbin Burnes, going 11‑for‑18 with three extra‑base hits and two homers lifetime. Burnes has not looked like himself, surrendering 2‑4‑3 earned runs in his first three outings while issuing nine walks. With the wind forecast to blow out at Wrigley, Stephen expects Burnes’ command issues to catch up to him and labeled Swanson a prime DFS tournament play and plus‑money total bases target.

Jay Briggs identified Dansby Swanson as a prime player prop bet, recommending his total bases over 0.5. Briggs noted Swanson's strong performance at the plate yesterday and believes he will continue his success today. While acknowledging the bet has a bit of juice attached to it, Briggs is confident the total bases bet provides strong value given Swanson's ongoing form.

Dansby Swanson was called out by Beermakersfan as a prime DFS play today due to his excellent power profile facing a lefty, specifically Patrick Corbin. Swanson has opened the season strongly with three home runs and seven RBIs. He crushed left-handed pitching last season for a .385 wOBA and a stellar 52% hard contact. Corbin remains a pitcher DFS players eagerly target, continuously struggling badly against right-handed hitters with a .377 wOBA allowed, an ISO above .250, and 53% hard contact rate given up last year. This presents an ideal home-run upside scenario for Dansby Swanson tonight.

Kingpin strongly likes Dansby Swanson to exceed 1.5 total bases against Rangers left-hander Patrick Corbin. Swanson has been locked in, homering in the opener of the series. He matches well against Corbin's pitching style, which has struggled in recent seasons. With favorable weather conditions at Wrigley Field and Swanson’s strong swings against lefties, expect him to consistently generate solid contact, producing at least an extra-base hit or multiple base hits to cash this attractive prop bet.