Kenny G said the full-game under 9 runs is his preferred way to attack Mets–Nationals. Peterson owns a 3.30 ERA on the season and already spun a complete-game shut-out of Washington in mid-June. The southpaw now faces a Nationals lineup that sits 20th in runs and has produced just 9, 2, 2, 3, 8 and 5 runs its last six games. Washington’s bullpen owns the worst ERA in MLB, but the Mets’ sticks are equally volatile (14th in runs, 19th in average), scoring 9-3-7 versus Seattle but struggling most of the year. Citi Field totals aside, both clubs trend under on the road/at home (NYM 31-25-3 to the under away; WSH 32-28-2 to the under at home). Kenny concluded the matchup of an in-form Peterson against a light Nationals order plus two shaky offenses makes the under far more attractive than laying –205 on New York.

Kenny G said the best angle in Giants-Mets is a No-Run-First-Inning wager. His reasoning: David Peterson owns a 2.83 ERA and just held San Francisco to one earned over six frames five days ago; that game stayed scoreless through the first three innings. Opposing starter Kyle Harrison (noted but unnamed in clip) likewise opened that matchup clean and has allowed only one first-inning run in his last six starts. Citi Field has been an under park all season — the Mets are 26-24-3 to the under at home — and tonight’s total is just 7.5, signaling bookmakers also expect a slow start. With the Giants only 26-29 on the road and the Mets’ MLB-best 37-16 home mark, Kenny expects both managers to approach the opener cautiously, making a 0-0 first inning the sharpest bet on the board.

Lonte Smith recommended betting the Mets at the current –105 price despite wanting a plus sign. He cited David Peterson’s three straight quality starts since a rough mid-June stretch—just two earned runs allowed in that span—and a season ERA trimmed to 2.90. Conversely, Robbie Ray has issued 10 walks in his last three outings and surrendered nine homers over his past seven starts, culminating in what Smith called ‘possibly his worst start of the year’ in Toronto. With New York swinging the bats well and Ray trending toward a homer-prone regression, Smith believes the Mets should be slight favorites and sees clear value backing Peterson in current form.

Ron Romanelli sided with the Mets on the money line, preferring David Peterson’s floor to Jesus Luzardo’s ceiling. Luzardo has surrendered nine earned runs and eight walks across his last 11 innings, and Philadelphia has dropped four of his past five starts, three by multiple runs. Peterson’s strikeout rate is down, but he continues to dodge barrels (0.82 HR/9) and strand runners at a respectable clip. Ron argued both offenses have sagged versus left-handed pitching over the past month—each owns an OPS under .700—so the more dependable starter becomes the difference. He also noted New York’s bullpen has a 2.88 ERA since June 1, giving him additional confidence to back the Mets as short dogs.

For Sunday Night Baseball, Martin prefers the Mets behind lefty David Peterson. Peterson is 5-2 with a 2.60 ERA despite facing tough lineups all season. Meanwhile, Phillies southpaw Jose Luzardo (4-4, 4-plus ERA) has imploded in June, surrendering 25 earned runs in just 16 innings, including blow-up outings of 12 and eight earned runs. Martin adds that New York owns the bullpen advantage and comparable offensive numbers over the full year. If weekend form cooperates, he will take the Metropolitan moneyline in Philadelphia.

Steven flagged David Peterson as a prime fade candidate in Atlanta. The left-hander threw a career-high 106 pitches in a complete-game shutout of Washington his last time out—a classic let-down setup. Peterson now draws a Braves lineup with established success against him: Austin Riley is 9-for-23, Marcell Ozuna has six Ks but plenty of hard contact, and Ozzie Albies plus Michael Harris have logged quality at-bats. Steven said this is "the moment" for anyone who likes to fade pitchers coming off a career outing, recommending either Braves moneyline, their team-total over, or individual hitter props versus Peterson owing to likely fatigue, regression and Atlanta’s right-handed power.

Mark advised taking the Mets at –1.5 runs (–150) rather than laying a prohibitive money line. David Peterson has been "absolutely phenomenal," and New York’s 34-22 record suggests the offense will eventually click. Kyle Freeland is 0-something on the year, and Colorado’s bats historically disappear away from Coors, leaving them vulnerable to a goose-egg. Mark projects a 5-1 or 6-1 type Mets victory and warns that an Over 7.5 exposes bettors to a possible Rockies shutout, making the run line the cleaner path.

Kenny G backed the Mets at –115, citing a rare double edge in both starter and bullpen. David Peterson sports a 2.86 ERA and is fresh off six strong frames versus the Yankees; his 27.8% strikeout rate and sub-1.00 WHIP dwarf Tony Gonsolin’s 4.05 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. The Mets’ relief corps has been nails (2.91 bullpen ERA, 3rd in MLB), whereas L.A.’s unit sits at a disappointing 4.00. Although the Dodgers still grade 2nd in runs and 1st in average, they’ve scored 3-4-5-4 across the last four and are only 10-11 on the road. Citi Field has been a fortress (Mets 17-5 home), and Kenny believes Peterson plus the pen can neutralize a left-heavy Dodger lineup that has cooled. With Juan Soto struggling and Pete Alonso slumping, Kenny admits New York’s lineup isn’t firing on all cylinders but trusts their 8th-ranked OBP to generate enough against Gonsolin, projecting a 5-3 type win.

Lonte Smith went the other way, backing the Mets at –115 because he can’t trust Tony Gonsolin’s bleeding finger on his throwing hand. Smith pointed out Gonsolin’s five walks in his last start and worries the issue will linger in humid Citi Field conditions. Peterson, meanwhile, has been nails at home – two or fewer earned in four of his last five starts in Queens – and the Dodgers are only 12-11 on the road. Yes, the southpaw has a walk bugaboo (10 free passes over his last 16 innings), but Los Angeles ranks just 20th in chase rate versus lefties, giving Peterson a margin for error. Smith tagged the Mets’ bullpen (2.97 ERA in May) as another edge and expects a 4-2 New York victory.

Drew Martin advised taking the Mets –110 in the Saturday nightcap because David Peterson has quietly been lights-out while Tony Gonsolin is still shaking off rust. Peterson’s sub-3.00 ERA was on full display last Sunday when he blanked the Yankees for six innings of one-run, three-hit ball on national TV. The Mets are 17-5 at Citi Field and thrive against opponents over .500. Gonsolin, returning from last year’s injury, walked five and struck out only three in his last start, a red flag going into a tough road environment. Martin noted that getting the Dodgers as a dog is rare but still laid the small price with New York, trusting Peterson and the Mets’ strong home profile.

Razzle likes David Peterson as a contrarian left-handed option. The Mets are –166 favorites and Peterson’s 5.5 K-prop ranks fourth on the slate. Pittsburgh’s lineup is especially vulnerable to southpaws; there’s a chance O’Neill Cruz even sits, further weakening the order. Peterson gets an extra day of rest after a 104-pitch outing and has surrendered two earned runs or fewer in four of his last six starts. Razzle will have him in GPP pools hoping the field overlooks the spot.

Todd Zola moved David Peterson to the top of his Friday streaming list after the Mets bumped him back a day. Peterson has opened 2025 with three straight quality starts and a 2.37 ERA while working at least 5.2 innings in each turn. He now draws a home matchup with a Cardinals lineup that owns the 4th‑best season‑long wOBA but is ice‑cold this week without injured regulars Masyn Winn and Ivan Herrera. Citi Field’s pitcher‑friendly dimensions and a neutral weather forecast further tilt the scales. Zola noted that Peterson is available in 84% of ESPN leagues and projects a win probability above 50% thanks to New York’s rested bullpen.

Bettor Mark strongly endorses the New York Mets at -134 on the money line against Oakland, primarily backing starting pitcher David Peterson, who he called his 'horse' so far this early in the MLB season, highlighting Peterson's consistency and impressive performances. He believes this line offers excellent value, suggesting he'd comfortably bet it up to around -150. Due to Oakland's ability to put up runs at home (in Sacramento), Mark also sees alternate Mets' team totals as attractive—avoiding the full run line while still capitalizing on New York's offense. He noted this matchup is conducive to a higher-scoring environment overall.

Guy Boston recommended cautiously fading Toronto's bats today, specifically citing their historical struggles against left-handed pitching. Facing off against left-hander David Peterson—who looked sharp in his first start against Miami with 9 strikeouts across six innings and only two solo home runs allowed—Guy viewed Toronto as vulnerable. Although he acknowledged Toronto having more power than Miami, he highlighted their persistent issues hitting lefties which made Peterson a particularly tough matchup. As such, he saw merit in under propositions involving Toronto hitters, especially early in the matchup while facing Peterson.

JD Bets highlighted David Peterson as quietly effective last season, putting up an impressive 10-3 record with a 2.90 ERA despite flying under the national radar. He specifically noted Miami's poor historical performance against left-handed pitching, further supporting Peterson in this matchup. JD pointed to Peterson's low earned runs average of 1.8 per game last season as highly reliable, implying Peterson should have a solid outing and mentioning he would likely place the Mets' money line as part of his betting card because of Peterson's consistency.

Scott Reichel expects a strong rebound game from the Mets, laying the -1.5 run line against the Marlins. He emphasizes the Mets just faced a difficult series against Houston where they came up short narrowly, leaving them motivated or 'pissed off.' Reichel downplays Miami's early success, asserting their wins came against a weak Pirates team, thus inflating their current standing. Scott specifically prefers Mets starter David Peterson over Marlins starter Cal Quantrill, who struggled notably last year in Colorado. Betting especially against Miami's unreliable bullpen, Scott feels confident the Mets win decisively here.

Eric Lindquist pointed toward a favorable pitching matchup for the Mets, specifically lauding lefty David Peterson for his solid skill set. Conversely, he emphasized fading Cal Quantrill, recalling repeatedly targeting him in past Cleveland starts. Lindquist indicated a distinct talent gap here, hinting Peterson has league-average or better potential, whereas Quantrill represents vulnerability. While not directly locking in a bet, Lindquist's analysis strongly suggests considering Mets-focused bets, particularly as pitching matchups become critical early in the season.

Bettor Mark recommended betting the Mets -1.5 runs on the run line against the Marlins, noting Miami has been lucky and playing above their true ability early this season. He praised David Peterson as one of the Mets' best pitchers from 2024, predicting a strong performance shutting down Miami's hot start. With the Mets off to an extremely poor hitting start (.136 team average), he expects a meaningful offensive breakout behind Peterson, confidently taking Mets -1.5 at minus 105 odds as one of his best bets of the day.