Kenny G grabbed the White Sox at +120, citing a tale of two trajectories. Texas has dropped six straight, owns an anemic offense ranked 27th in runs and carries a 4.20 bullpen ERA. Spot starter Patrick Corbin (3-3, 3.59 ERA) has yielded exactly three earned in back-to-back outings and has not yet faced Chicago. On the flip side, Davis Martin has quietly posted a 3.49 ERA and is coming off 7.1 strong innings (2 ER) versus Seattle. Chicago’s lineup has come alive, winning three of four and hanging 10 runs on Texas Saturday. While the Sox bullpen remains a concern (4.55 ERA), Kenny believes current form and the plus money outweigh that risk—especially against a Rangers side pressing for answers and just 8-18 on the road.

JD Bets targeted Davis Martin’s hits-allowed prop, saying he likes the over (needs 6+ hits) against a red-hot Royals lineup. Martin is giving up an average of 6.33 hits per start in 2025, while Kansas City is piling up 9.9 hits per game and has won five straight. The Royals have climbed from dead last in most categories two weeks ago to ‘pretty good on the bats,’ thanks to a .296 team average and 1.1 hits per inning over the current run. JD stressed he is not chasing runs—just looking for a stream of singles and bloops—because Chicago ranks only 19th in strikeout rate (8.3 K/9) and offers little swing-and-miss to bail Martin out. With Kansas City’s lineup seeing the ball well and Martin projecting to work 5–6 innings, JD expects the Royals to tag him for at least half a dozen hits.

Mal Bamford sees value in betting on the White Sox first five innings versus Oakland, largely based on Davis Martin's strong form at home this season. Martin threw six scoreless innings against the Angels and six innings of just one-run ball versus Boston in his two home outings. Despite JP Sears' steady performance for Oakland (3.32 ERA this year), Mal noted Sears’ poor history against the White Sox, holding a troubling 7.29 ERA in past matchups. Given Chicago's decent 2-2-1 first five inning record against left-handed starters, Mal is confident backing Davis Martin and the White Sox early in the game while acknowledging they may ultimately lose when bullpens enter play.

Scott Reichel recommends betting Davis Martin under 4.5 strikeouts (-120) against Boston. Reichel highlights Martin's lackluster start to the season where he recorded just two strikeouts in each of his first two starts, failing to exceed four strikeouts in any of his last six outings. He emphasizes the improved contact ability of the Red Sox lineup lately after struggling with strikeouts early on in the season. Additionally, Reichel points out Martin's limited swing-and-miss ability with notably low chase rates and swinging strike percentages, believing that even if Martin pitches deep into this game, he is unlikely to exceed four strikeouts.

Just A Bet Outside emphasized fading Davis Martin, betting against him recording a win due to weak team support and bullpen behind him. Martin hasn't earned a single win in any of his 12 career starts dating back to last season, which highlights how challenging it has been for him to meet the strict conditions required (minimum five innings, leaving game with lead, bullpen preserving lead). The White Sox were particularly criticized by Just A Bet Outside for their poor offense and bullpen quality, which severely limit the likelihood of Martin exiting a game in position for a win. The combination of Martin's weak career record and Chicago’s consistently disappointing supporting cast makes this a solid bet to fade.

Bettor Mark expects Davis Martin to struggle in his matchup against the Tigers' lineup. Despite Martin's decent previous outing (6 innings, 4 hits allowed against the Angels), Bettor Mark strongly predicted he would get hit hard by Detroit. While he declined to officially bet the game due to poor betting value, Mark expressed low confidence in Martin replicating a quality performance, viewing Detroit's bats as surprisingly competitive and undervalued offensively so far this season.

Greg Peterson sees value backing the White Sox moneyline (+123). Davis Martin pitched far better than his 0-5 record showed in previous action, posting a solid 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings with only 0.9 homers allowed per nine, and is returning from injury after missing last season. The Angels' Jack Kochanowicz struggles mightily generating strikeouts (only 3.4 K/9 last year), and he showed little improvement during Spring Training. With the Angels finishing third-worst in runs per game last season, Peterson calculates enough reasons to back Chicago at the plus-money price (handicapped line White Sox +104).