Peter Appel recommends betting against Derek Hill recording a hit, run, or RBI on Opening Day against elite right-handed pitcher Paul Skenes. Hill, while solid against left-handed pitching (career 133 wRC+), has struggled severely against right-handers, posting an exceptionally poor 39 wRC+. Last year this split was even wider (176 wRC+ vs lefties vs just 36 vs righties). Hill faces arguably MLB's premier right-handed pitcher, Skenes, early in the game, who is projected to throw at least five innings. Afterward, the Pirates bullpen’s top three arms remain exclusively right-handed. Even if lefties appear later, Appel maintains it's still unlikely Hill produces given the extreme disadvantages, making this +140 bet a worthwhile half-unit play.