Guy Boston Sports played DJ LeMahieu under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -155 on DraftKings, calling it strong enough to stand alone yet serving as the closer in his five-leg parlay. LeMahieu has failed to eclipse this line in eight of his last ten games, averaging just 1.1 combined events in that span. The ice-cold start continues season-long: he has stayed under in 10 of 12 appearances with New York this year (83%). Historical data backs the fade—last season he cashed the under in 68% of games and two of his last three matchups with the Dodgers. Outlier’s feed adds an 8-of-9 under streak (89%) across his most recent road contests. The matchup with Tony Gonsolin further tilts things toward the under. LeMahieu is 0-for-2 lifetime against the right-hander and sports a .184 average with a 44.3 wRC+ overall in 2025; versus righties, the average dips to .158 (wRC+ 71.4 on a tiny sample). Gonsolin limits right-handed hitters to a .255 average while his wOBA and ERA figures fall when facing same-handed bats, giving the tout confidence that LeMahieu’s sluggish barrel stays quiet in Los Angeles.

JD Bets locked in DJ LeMahieu over 0.5 hits despite the steep price. LeMahieu owns a .381 average (8-for-21) in the matchup and ranks first on JD’s hit list for the day. The Yankees’ veteran is barreling the ball at a 41% clip over his last week, and JD expects multiple plate appearances against rookie right-hander Will Warren plus a bottom-10 Rangers bullpen. He compared the wager to Tuesday’s Spencer Steer play—too much juice but an extremely high hit probability—and advised parlay shoppers to treat it as a safe anchor leg.

Chris Ruffolo advised taking DJ LeMahieu to homer at a juicy +950. The case is almost entirely BvP: LeMahieu is 22-for-58 (.379) lifetime off left-hander Patrick Corbin with nine extra-base knocks, SIX of them homers, and only four strikeouts in those 58 plate appearances. Ruffolo added that he believes Corbin is "due for regression in a big way," further sweetening the spot. With LeMahieu freshly activated and filling in for Oswaldo Cabrera, Ruffolo sees plenty of value even as a long-shot ticket.

Just A Bet Outside flagged DJ LeMahieu as a DFS/prop play against Patrick Corbin. LeMahieu has owned Corbin over 50 career at-bats—22-for-50 (.440) with six homers. Corbin’s surface numbers look better in 2024, but his 4.80 xERA says the regression monster is lurking, and Washington’s bullpen sits bottom-seven this month (5.20 ERA). With Yankee Stadium’s short porch and multiple late-inning cracks at that pen, Steven likes LeMahieu to eclipse 1.5 total bases and thinks a long-shot homer sprinkle is warranted.