DraftCheat likes Edward Cabrera as a contrarian pitching option. Despite Cabrera facing a strong Arizona Diamondbacks lineup, his excellent pure pitching talent and favorable pitchers' park in Miami provide upside. Ownership for Cabrera should be modest (15-20%), presenting leverage against the field which likely features heavy ownership on both Eduardo Rodriguez and the Diamondbacks' bats.

Dylan Rockford identified value on the Marlins at +135 on the moneyline, or even +1.5 at -128 run line for their matchup against Arizona. Dylan expressed strong skepticism toward backing Eduardo Rodriguez at the steep favorite price, citing Rodriguez's poor form thus far, walking batters at a high rate, and allowing multiple runs consistently. Alternatively, Dylan noted Miami's improved hitting against left-handed pitching (.281 batting average) and Cabrera's decent first start where his effort was undermined by bullpen struggles rather than his own performance. Dylan sees this as a good spot to back a home dog.

Cash Out Sports Picks cautioned against trusting Edward Cabrera against Arizona, citing his ongoing command issues. Cabrera is making just his second start of 2025 after showing familiar walk problems in his first appearance (three walks given). Last season, he walked 50 batters in just 96.1 innings pitched. Arizona's lineup is powerful this season, ranking second in MLB with a .450 slugging percentage and notably dangerous with runners in scoring position (.757 OPS). Given Arizona's recent momentum (winning four of last five games versus Miami), these control issues likely lead to scoring opportunities and runs against Cabrera.

Sean Zerillo advised taking the Marlins' moneyline if Edward Cabrera is confirmed as the starter against the Nationals. Zerillo prefers Cabrera (100 Stuff+ rating) despite acknowledging his serious control concerns and frequent struggles with walks. However, Cabrera recently displayed improved command, producing two dominant rehab starts with nine strikeouts and zero walks. Zerillo noted that Mitch Parker, the Nationals' pitcher, has significantly worse Stuff+ (79) although better control. Given these conditions, Zerillo believes betting Miami at even money or better is valuable, projecting fair odds near -120. Both bullpens involved are below average, but Zerillo slightly edges Miami as the better overall team in this matchup.