Jordan noted that Outlier absolutely loves Ezequiel Tovar versus Eduardo Rodriguez. Tovar is 3-for-9 off the lefty (two singles, double), owns a .308 average versus southpaws, and has a .321 mark over the past week with 9 hits. The model assigns a 90 % chance to log a hit, 72 % to reach 2+ total bases, 85 % for 2+ H/R/RBI, and even a 31 % shot at a homer. Jordan recommends riding the total-base ladder or the hits+runs+RBI combo, given Coors Field context.