As a bonus play, Harrelson suggested taking Francisco Lindor under 1.5 total bases. Lindor has failed to reach two bases in 8 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20 (65%). He is under in 53% of his games this season and has come up short in 7 of his last 8 at Citi Field. The switch-hitter’s splits dip to a .241 average versus left-handers, and he owns a stunning 0-for-8 career line against Friday’s starter Kyle Freeland. Books are shading to the under, reinforcing Harrelson’s stance that Lindor is unlikely to do major damage in this matchup.

LM Tipster is on Francisco Lindor to homer. Lindor has four bombs in 32 career plate appearances off soft-tossing lefties like Kyle Freeland. Citi Field’s weather calls for 11 mph out toward left, and Freeland’s 2.1 HR/9 on the road makes the +400 price attractive.

Francisco Lindor ($4,000) made Bennett’s short list thanks to a track record against Carlos Rodon: 10-for-35 (.286) with two homers and four walks. The rest of the Mets are just 9-for-34 combined, so Lindor offers both floor and leverage as the clear piece of the order most likely to do damage against the Yankees’ lefty.

Eric Polzin advised taking the UNDER on Francisco Lindor’s fantasy score despite Lindor riding a recent heater. Polzin pointed out that Lindor’s career numbers against Pirates right-hander Mitch Keller are poor: only 2 hits in 10 plate appearances ( .200 ) with 3 strikeouts. Although Lindor has drawn 5 walks in that span, Polzin argued the lack of hard contact plus the elevated K-rate make Lindor unlikely to pay off his current fantasy prop. He called the public enthusiasm to chase Lindor’s hot streak 'a trap' and said Keller’s pitch mix has consistently given Lindor problems. Polzin would only pass, never play the over.

Guy Boston played Francisco Lindor over 0.5 hits at ‑235. Lindor has logged a hit in 8 of his last 10 and 29 of 38 overall (76 %). He is red-hot at Citi Field, reaching in 17 of his last 19 home games (1.7 hits per). Against the Cubs he has cashed this prop in five of eight recent meetings and is coming off a three-hit night. Brad Keller, likely opponent, is getting torched by left-handed batters this season (.407 average, .550 BABIP, 10.13 ERA in a 30-batter sample). Lindor will bat left-handed, giving him a sizeable platoon edge and making a single hit the most probable outcome.

It's The Final Round advised passing on Francisco Lindor even though he carries a 3-for-7 (.429) lifetime line against presumed starter "Fidi." The tout stressed that Lindor has burned bettors the last two times he was featured and is not delivering despite a 23-for-60 run over the past 28 days. With the stagnating production and recent strikeout issues, the analyst prefers fading Lindor’s hit and total-bases props until he shows consistent form again.

Joe Pisapia is swinging for the fences with Francisco Lindor to homer at +520 any day this weekend in St. Louis. Lindor owns a .595 SLG and four career homers off Sonny Gray and boasts a .333 average versus Kyle Gibson and former KBO ace Eric Feddie, both slated to pitch. The Cardinals’ staff has allowed the sixth-highest HR/FB rate (15.2%) since May, and Busch Stadium plays neutral for left-handed power. Pisapia called the Mets shortstop “my favorite lottery ticket on the board” given Lindor’s elevated 43% pull rate and barrel uptick over the last two weeks.

Polzin suggested pairing Francisco Lindor with Soto and/or targeting Lindor’s OVER 0.5 total bases or hitting fantasy score. Lindor has 26 plate appearances against Sonny Gray, producing a .269 average but, more importantly, 3 homers, 4 RBI and 3 walks. Eight strikeouts make the matchup a little volatile, yet the power production pushes his ceiling well above the modest prop lines. Polzin likes him as a complementary piece if you’re stacking Mets lefties against Gray’s declining stuff.

The host showed frustration with Francisco Lindor, noting that while Lindor is 2-for-6 (.333) with a homer off Sonny Gray and has hits in 23 of the last 28 games, he has repeatedly burned recent parlays. He advised viewers to tread lightly on Lindor props until the shortstop proves more reliable.

Nez Badge Bros locked in Francisco Lindor to hit a homer in Underdog pick’ems. The switch-hitter faces a left-handed starter, putting him on his stronger right side where he owns a .534 SLG since 2023. Kevin Roth’s weather report shows 15-mph winds gusting straight to left field—exactly where Lindor will pull the ball. Citi Field’s expected home-run factor jumps from 92 to 108 in these conditions, giving Lindor a tangible power boost. Nez labeled it his favorite long-ball prop on the slate and paired it with strikeout escalators for a high-payout ticket.

B Wade said to take Francisco Lindor over 1.5 total bases because the short-stop has been a different animal at Citi Field. Lindor has cleared this number in 5 straight home games and in 8 of 10 overall at home, an 80 percent hit rate. Over his last 20 contests he has cashed 55 percent of the time and has missed only three times in his last ten. The matchup adds value: he faces Zack Gallen, who is sitting on a 5.50 ERA and 1.40 WHIP to start the season—far from ace form. Getting plus money on the prop makes it a pure value play in Wade’s eyes.

It's The Final Round flagged Francisco Lindor as a value play against Zac Gallen. Lindor owns a .314 average (11-for-35, 2 HR) versus four-seamers, the pitch Gallen throws 35% of the time and allows a .333 BA and 2 HR on. Lindor is batting 1.000 (2-for-2) off knuckle curves and .429 (3-for-7, 2 HR) off cutters; Gallen’s knuckle curve is getting tagged for .316 and his seldom-used cutter an ugly .600 (3-for-5). Small head-to-head sample favors Lindor (2-for-3 lifetime, .667). The Mets shortstop has logged at least one hit in 22 of his last 26 games. Final Round likes Lindor to record a hit or exceed 1.5 total bases and even considers a sprinkle on a HR prop given the matchup.

Just A Bet Outside said Francisco Lindor is a stand-alone "1+ hit" target worth playing even outside the Duran parlay. Lindor has recorded at least one knock in 16 of his last 20 games and in 20 of 24 when hitting left-handed versus righties this season, posting a .311 average in that split. He now draws Zac Gallen, who owns a 4.32 ERA with only one quality start in six tries and is allowing a .303 average and .545 slugging to left-handed bats compared to .164/.295 to right-handers. Gallen has yielded roughly a hit per inning and has given up three or more earned runs in four of those six starts. Lindor himself is 3-for-10 off Gallen from prior seasons when the pitcher was in better form. JABO added that the Diamondbacks bullpen is stretched, so Lindor should have additional chances if he does not cash early. At plus-100 in the two-leg parlay, the tout argued Lindor’s leg alone rates closer to –180 based on his recent hit rate and Gallen’s ugly platoon splits, making it a strong betting angle for Thursday’s slate.

Francisco Lindor carries a .333 average in 21 career ABs versus Corbin Burnes and has recorded a hit in 21 of his last 25 games. The tout feels comfortable backing Lindor’s hits prop against Burnes’ struggling arsenal.

Jacob Fetner backed Francisco Lindor to go deep at +350 on Bet365 (+330 at FanDuel for the parlay). Lindor owns five multi-hit efforts in his last seven games, three of them three-hit nights, and has already left the yard five times this year, including a two-homer game versus Philadelphia last Monday. On Monday he faces Nationals right-hander Trevor Williams, who surrendered an MLB-high 34 long balls in 2023. In 14 prior at-bats against Williams, Lindor sports a .643 slugging percentage with one homer, a sample Fetner says shows the shortstop “sees him well.” The combination of Lindor’s current form and Williams’ gopher-ball tendencies makes the Mets star a strong HR prop target.

It's The Final Round said Francisco Lindor is a prime hitting prop play against Trevor Williams. Williams leans on his four-seam 32 % of the time, and Lindor has crushed that pitch this season (.308 AVG, 11-for-33 with 2 HR). Williams is surrendering a .483 average on that same fastball (14-for-29, 1 HR), so his No. 1 pitch lines up perfectly with Lindor’s strength. Lindor is also 3-for-6 with a homer lifetime off Williams and owns a torrid streak – a hit in 21 of his last 24 games and five multi-hit efforts in the past seven. Pitch-by-pitch data shows further edges on Williams’ sweeper (.556 allowed) and slider (.250 allowed). The tout expects Lindor to clear 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs or at least record a hit and likes using him in hit parlays or single-stat overs.

It's The Final Round suggested riding Francisco Lindor’s hit prop against Jake Irvin. Lindor has owned Irvin historically (5-for-10, HR, .500 AVG) and is scorching at the plate with knocks in 19 of his last 21 games. That combination hits the tout’s preferred .300+ BvP plus active streak filter, making Lindor a viable single-prop or parlay leg.

Francisco Lindor drew praise as another hit‑parlay anchor. He’s 4‑for‑12 (.333) lifetime versus the listed Sanchez and has produced a knock in 17 of 19 contests, punctuated by a homer last night. The analyst sees no reason to fade the streak.

Leg four is Francisco Lindor over 0.5 hits at an expensive ‑320 but backed by elite consistency. Lindor has hit safely in nine of his last ten games, averaging 1.4 hits during that window, and is 14‑for‑18 (78 %) on the season with 1.06 hits per contest. He’s fresh off a three‑hit performance in last night’s 4‑1 victory over St. Louis. Despite the heavy juice, Boston trusts the shortstop’s form and the comfortable matchup with a Cardinals staff surrendering steady contact to switch hitters. He views Lindor as the glue piece of the parlay, projecting at least a single to keep the streak rolling.

The tout highlighted Francisco Lindor as a premium prop piece, pointing to a “pretty nice” large‑sample matchup in which Lindor’s historical splits versus the opposing starter exceed .300 and the shortstop has at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 contests. Those two boxes—favorable historical average and red‑hot recent form—made Lindor a recommended addition to hit or total‑bases tickets.

B Wade favors Francisco Lindor over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs due to his recent strong form and historical dominance against JP Sears. Lindor has exceeded this prop in 6 of his last 8 games and has started heating up after a slow start. He is 3-for-6 lifetime with a home run and three RBIs against Sears. Having Juan Soto in the lineup is another factor Wade cites as beneficial to Lindor's production chances.

Jon Metler identified strong value on Francisco Lindor to hit a home run at +550 odds versus the Marlins' Max Meyer. Meyer surrendered an alarmingly high 14 home runs in 57 innings pitched last year, and Lindor, batting from the left side, benefits from wind conditions blowing towards his pull side. Metler cited projections favoring Lindor's true odds closer to +350, signifying significant betting value. Lindor also enters hot, having homered against Miami earlier this series and tallying four hits against them recently, boosting Metler's confidence in this prop.