It’s The Final Round recommended Freddie Freeman to record a hit against Corbin Burnes. Freeman is even better than Ohtani against the cutter, batting .556 (5-for-9, 1 HR) on that pitch in 2024. He handles Burnes’ change (.300, 3-for-10) much better than league average and has at least one hit in 21 of his last 24 games. Although his career line vs Burnes is only 3-for-14 (.214, 1 HR), the host believes positive regression is coming. Freeman’s 42.7 % sweet-spot rate ranks 11th among all qualified hitters, a poor matchup for Burnes’ below-average sweet-spot suppression. The tout called it a "great opportunity" for a single-leg prop or inclusion in a hitter parlay.

It's The Final Round advised loading up on Freddie Freeman props and DFS shares versus Diamondbacks right-hander Brandon Pfaadt. Pfaadt allows a .244 average on his four-seam (41 AB, 2 HR), .226 on the change (1 HR), .348 on the curve (23 AB, 3 HR) and .304 on the sinker, and Freeman punishes every one of those offerings: .372 vs four-seam (16-for-43, 3 HR), .375 vs change (3-for-8), and an absurd .667 with a homer vs sinkers (4-for-6). Lifetime he is 5-for-15 (.333) with a homer off Pfaadt and is red-hot with hits in 19 of his last 22 contests. The launch-angle data is the clincher: Freeman’s 42.3 % sweet-spot rate ranks 15th of 254 qualified hitters, while Pfaadt gives up that angle 43.2 % of the time, 342nd of 356 pitchers. The tout called it the worst pitcher profile he has featured and expects Freeman to cash Over 1.5 total bases and serve as a premium DFS cornerstone.

Just A Bet Outside said Freddie Freeman is one of the best hitter bets on Monday because of his history against Brandon Pfaadt. Freeman is 5-for-13 lifetime off the rookie with plenty of loud contact, and the host noted that multiple Dodgers have similar success (Mookie Betts 5-for-12, Will Smith 3-for-8). Although Pfaadt held L.A. in check in their last meeting, the tout pointed out that it was a rare outlier; Pfaadt still owns a 1.8 HR/9 and consistently struggles with left-handed power. With Freeman already sitting on 37 total bases over the past 15 days—tied for second-most in MLB—the matchup, hitter form, and Chase Field’s friendly power alleys make Freeman a prime total-bases or hits + runs + RBI play in DFS or betting markets.

Lindquist labeled Freddie Freeman a "chalk" but still valuable 2-plus-hits target in Friday’s Freeway Series opener. Freeman owns a .313 expected batting average and 46 % hard-hit rate, and he’ll face inexperienced right-hander Jack Kochanowicz, whose first two MLB appearances produced a 12.9 % strike-out rate, 10 % walk rate, and .370 xwOBA allowed. Dodger Stadium is projected to play neutral-to-warm with light winds out to right center—ideal for Freeman’s gap-to-gap approach. Lindquist projects roughly a 47 % probability Freeman records multiple hits, giving value down to +110 but happily grabbing the +130 that opened at FanDuel.

Eric Lindquist advised betting Freddie Freeman over 1.5 total bases at –115 despite the usual Dodgers tax. Freeman is on a tear with eight doubles and seven homers versus right-handed pitching—15 extra-base hits in fewer than 100 plate appearances—which Lindquist said "breaks models." Expected Oakland bulk man Joe Boyle/Vidal Nuñez-Bido (books listed Bido) owns metrics similar to Joey Hoglund, so he expects plenty of hittable four-seamers and sinkers. Given Freeman’s 50 % hard-hit rate and the Athletics’ bottom-five bullpen, Lindquist is willing to pay the small juice, noting “you never walk away from the table when you’re on a heater.”

Data Skrive listed Freddie Freeman at +360 to hit a home run on May 15. Freeman has already gone deep 9 times in 32 games this season, a 28.1% HR-per-game clip. The +360 price implies only a 21.7% break-even probability, giving bettors roughly a 6.4 percentage-point cushion based solely on his year-to-date power rate. Facing an Athletics staff that has allowed plenty of long balls all year, the numbers suggest Freeman’s odds are mis-priced and worth a wager.

Soni highlighted Freeman’s +290 odds to homer against Oakland right-hander Osvaldo Bido. Freeman is batting .362 with nine HR, a 1.145 OPS, and a .714 SLG—one of MLB’s best marks. Against an Athletics staff that routinely bleeds hard contact, Soni considers the price a steal on one of baseball’s most bankable power profiles.

The host expects Freddie Freeman to keep his 13-game hitting streak alive against Corbin Burnes. Freeman owns a 2-for-6 (.333) career mark versus Burnes and, paired with his current form, is a strong candidate for single-hit props or inclusion in multi-leg parlays Saturday.

Chris Welsh flagged Freddie Freeman’s home-run prop (around +450 on FanDuel) or 2+ total bases as one of his favorite tickets tonight against Brandon Pfaadt. Welsh called Pfaadt’s long-ball track record “the entire reason the NRFI is only –105,” noting that the right-hander has coughed up 1.7 HR/9 on the season and a .525 SLG to lefties, allowing at least one homer in three of his last four starts. Freeman, meanwhile, carries a 46 % hard-hit rate, .301 ISO versus right-hand pitching, and the league’s third-best contact rate on pitches in the zone. Welsh thinks Pfaadt will survive the opening frame but eventually “leave one out there” for Freeman to pull into the right-field pavilion, making the HR prop and total-bases overs both viable in DFS and betting markets.

Just A Bet Outside pointed out that Freddie Freeman remains a plug-and-play against southpaws, noting he is 6-for-12 (.500) with a homer versus Eduardo Rodriguez. Freeman also sits at a .458 average over the past seven days and owns a career .311/.403/.546 split against left-handed pitching. With E-Rod giving up a 41 % hard-hit rate to lefties this season, the host recommends taking Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases, sprinkling an RBI prop, and anchoring Dodgers stacks around him in DFS contests.

Guy Boston endorsed Freddie Freeman over 1.5 total bases at –120 on FanDuel. Freeman is scorching right now, clearing this line in seven of his last ten games and in four straight, piling up 4.4 total bases per contest over that recent five-game span. Season-long numbers back it up—he has hit the over in 15 of 26 outings (58 %) with a 2.58 TB average. The matchup amplifies things: Freeman has cashed in seven of his last 13 meetings with Arizona (2.62 TB/G) and five of the last seven. Versus tonight’s starter Brandon Pfaadt he owns a .364 average and .818 slugging across 11 plate appearances, producing nine total bases and three extra-base hits. Boston also spotlighted Freeman’s absurd splits against right-handed pitching in 2025—a .388 average, .403 ISO, 50 % extra-base-hit rate—compared to Pfaadt’s 3.79 ERA and .272 average allowed overall, with both ERA and slugging worsening when he faces left-handed bats. Boston concluded that the convergence of red-hot form, elite righty splits, and favorable head-to-head data makes the –120 price a “fantastic” buy for the over.

Lawrence Rupp recommended Freddie Freeman at +380 to homer in Arizona, noting the Dodgers star is on a tear: .480/.519/.920 slash with three homers and a triple through six May games. Freeman ranks top-10 in launch-angle sweet-spot percentage (44%) and squared-up percentage (46.5%), proof he is consistently squaring the baseball. Brandon Pfaadt has surrendered six home runs in his last six starts and owns a 6.20 ERA in four career outings versus the Dodgers. Freeman has already taken Pfaadt deep once, and he mashes at Chase Field with a .373/.433/.702 career line and 41 extra-base hits in just 55 games there. Rupp believes the matchup sets up perfectly for another long ball.

It's The Final Round said Freddie Freeman is an elite hitting prop target against Brandon Fott tonight. Freeman owns a .375 average (12-for-32, 3 HR) off four-seam fastballs, the pitch Fott throws 33% of the time. He also mashes Fott’s change-up (.500 in a limited four-AB sample) while the rookie right-hander has coughed up a .240 mark and a homer on that offering in 25 opponent ABs. Freeman brings a 12-game hitting streak and a .308 career mark (4-for-13, 1 HR) specifically versus Fott. The launch-angle sweet-spot metric really seals it: Freeman sits 10th out of 258 qualified hitters at 44%, while Fott surrenders that ideal window 42.3% of the time, ranking a miserable 326th out of 364 pitchers. Add in Fott’s ugly .381 allowed average and three bombs on his curveball and the tout expects multiple total bases or at least one hit with upside for a homer.

Just A Bet Outside paired Freddie Freeman with Trea Turner in his plus-hit parlay, arguing Freeman alone is worth the wager. Freeman owns a 12-game hit streak, a .480 average over the last seven days, and five total bases in three straight contests. The slugger is 4-for-11 lifetime off Brandon Pfaadt and, according to the tout, is now “pretty much matchup-proof.” Pfaadt coughed up a .294 average to lefties last season and is at .264 so far in 2024, suggesting little improvement. With Freeman clubbing a .344 average on the year and the game in hitter-friendly Chavez Ravine, the host expects the first baseman to notch at least one safety easily, recommending the over 0.5 hits or including him in parlays.

Soni advised taking Freddie Freeman’s home-run prop at +425 versus Miami. Freeman brings a 10-game hitting streak with 3 homers during that span and sports a .337 average, 7 homers, 23 RBIs and 16 runs on the season. The matchup is again Cal Quantrill, whose 8.10 ERA and 5 long balls allowed in 26.2 innings signal serious vulnerability. Dodger Stadium’s friendly dimensions for left-handed power and Freeman’s elite hard-contact profile make the +425 number a bargain in Soni’s eyes.

It's The Final Round advised betting Freddie Freeman overs versus Cal Quantrill even though Quantrill’s top pitch is a split-finger (35% usage, .083 AVG against). The other 65% of Quantrill’s mix is exploitable: cutters (.471 AVG allowed), four-seamers (.429) and a rarely used curve. Freeman dominates those offerings, batting .500 with a homer off cutters and .393 with two homers off four-seamers this year. Lifetime he’s 7-for-11 (.636) against Quantrill and carries a nine-game hitting streak into the contest. Freeman ranks 7th in MLB in launch-angle sweet spot (44.8%), the exact area Quantrill is worst at defending (43.2% allowed, 331st of 363). The tout likes Freeman for hits, total bases and home-run markets.

Guy Boston recommended Freddie Freeman over 1.5 total bases at +105. Freeman has topped this mark in 5 of his last 10 (2.4 TB average) and 12 of 23 games overall (52%). Against Miami he is 5-for-9 dating back to last season and 2-for-3 in 2025, logging five total bases on April 30. Lifetime vs Sandy Alcantara: 33 PA, .310 AVG, 11 total bases. Freeman is murdering right-handers in 2025 (.400 AVG, .436 ISO, 54.5% XBH rate). Alcantara, meanwhile, owns a 9.69 ERA, .479 SLG, and 41.7% XBH rate allowed to left-handed bats. Boston noted that a single extra-base hit or a two-hit night cashes and believes the matchup and platoon splits justify the plus-money price.

Just A Bet Outside said Dodgers bats ‘just rock’ Sandy Alcantara and singled out Freddie Freeman as a prime target for props and DFS. Freeman owns a .310 average (9-for-29) off Alcantara and is part of a core that includes Mookie Betts, Max Muncy and Teoscar Hernandez who all have multi-hit success against the Miami ace. With Alcantara carrying a 4.17 ERA on the road this season and Dodger Stadium playing hitter-friendly in warmer May weather, the tout expects Freeman to clear his 1.5 total-bases prop and makes him a building-block cash-game play on Monday slates.

Guy Boston doubled-down on Freddie Freeman’s hit prop, advising another bet on over 0.5 hits despite the heavy juice. He noted Freeman is riding a six-game hitting streak in which he has produced multiple hits in four of those contests. The Dodger first baseman has cashed this number in five of his last seven meetings with Atlanta (71% hit rate, 1.0 hits per game), all coming last season. Boston emphasized the handedness edge: Freeman’s batting average, BABIP, hard-hit rate, and wRC+ all spike versus right-handed pitching. Projected Braves opener Grant Holmes throws his fastball 42% of the time, a pitch Freeman still handles with a .399 wOBA, only slightly below his overall .441. More importantly, Holmes’ second-most used offering is a slider (28%), and Freeman owns an outrageous .686 wOBA against sliders—“elite of the elite” per Boston. With that pitch-mix mismatch plus Freeman’s current form, Boston expects at least one knock and suggested using the prop as the fifth leg of his +763 DraftKings parlay.

Guy Boston closed the parlay with Freddie Freeman over 0.5 hits at –295. Freeman has a six-game hitting streak and has cleared this number in 8 of his last 10 outings (1.2 hits per game) and 14 of 20 on the year (70%). Against his former club he went 5-for-7 on the prop last season (71%). Boston added that Freeman’s batting average, BABIP, hard-hit rate, and wRC+ all spike dramatically versus right-handed pitching, which he’ll see tonight. With multiple multi-hit games during the streak and a friendly handedness split, Boston labeled the Dodgers star a reliable anchor leg despite the heavy juice.

Freddie Freeman is 8-for-15 (.533) lifetime off Cal Quantrill and has hits in nine of his last 12. The tout recommends riding Freeman’s hit or total-bases props given Quantrill’s poor command and Freeman’s elite track record.

Zachary Roberts recommended Freddie Freeman at +380 to go yard, leaning on the same Cal Quantrill fade that boosts Teoscar Hernandez. Freeman owns four homers through his first 19 games and carries a strong overall batting line despite a modest recent power drought (no HR in over a week). Roberts argued that Quantrill’s 7.83 ERA and below-average strikeout rate create an ideal environment for Freeman’s elite bat-to-ball skills to translate into lofted contact. While Freeman is known more for doubles than tape-measure shots, Roberts sees the combination of hitter form, friendly opponent, and Dodger Stadium conditions as enough to justify an aggressive homer prop play.

Guy Boston recommended Freddie Freeman over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at ‑135 (BetMGM), saying the underlying numbers dwarf his 0-for-10 career line against Edward Cabrera. Freeman has cleared this prop in seven of his past ten, averaging 2.7 H/R/RBI in that stretch, and holds a 59 % season hit rate (10 of 17, 2.35 per game). He has been especially lethal at Dodger Stadium, hitting the over in six straight home games with 3.3 H/R/RBI on average. The matchup metrics lean Freeman’s way: he mashes right-handed pitching at a .341 clip with a 187 WRC+, while Cabrera’s stats balloon against left-handed bats (6.03 ERA, .276 AVG, 1.8 HR/9, .370 wOBA). Outlier’s model grades every major split—average, ISO, wOBA—in bright green for Freeman. Boston acknowledged the zero hits in ten plate appearances versus Cabrera but framed it as an ‘extreme small sample’ outweighed by current form, park factor, and Cabrera’s worsening command. He labeled it a strong half-unit to full-unit play anchored by Freeman’s elite floor at home.

Morgan highlighted Freddie Freeman as a premium cash-game anchor at $3,700. Since 2023 Freeman sports a .947 OPS versus right-handed pitching, and Edward Cabrera brings volatile skills—big strikeouts but even bigger walks—resulting in a 6.14 ERA this season. The analyst dismissed Freeman’s slow road numbers as small-sample noise and stressed that Cabrera’s combination of free passes and loud contact sets up multiple RBI chances for the Dodger first baseman on Monday.

It's The Final Round likes Freddie Freeman’s chances versus Mitch Keller, noting an 8-for-15 lifetime record (.533, 1 HR) against the Pirates right-hander. Keller’s four-seam (39 % usage) has yielded a .324 average, while his slider (.357) and changeup (.333) are equally vulnerable. Freeman owns a .250 mark vs four-seamers this season but a .333 clip vs both the slider and change, plus a .500 (1-for-2) vs Keller’s occasional sweeper. The only hesitation: Freeman has just five hits across his last eight games (nine if he goes hitless in the early Saturday game), so the tout said he will scale exposure if the mini-slump continues. Still, if Freeman registers a knock earlier in the day, over 1.5 total bases is firmly in play.

Freddie Freeman earned Beer’s "Beast of the Night" honors. After a brief slump Freeman now has three straight multi‑hit games (14+ DK points per), and he’s obliterating righties in 2024 (.600 wOBA, .500 ISO). Jacob deGrom, shockingly, owns a 456 wOBA and 452 ISO allowed to left‑handed bats with a 48% hard‑hit and 40% fly‑ball mix, giving up two homers in each of his last two starts. Beer warns deGrom’s profile is a nightmare match‑up against a lineup featuring Shohei Ohtani and Freeman, but he singles out Freeman’s elite plate skills and power as slate‑breaking.

Osborne played Freddie Freeman over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at –115 even with Jacob deGrom on the hill. DeGrom is not yet in peak form, carrying a 4.30 ERA and 1.30 WHIP through three starts. Freeman owns a serviceable .733 OPS in a sizable sample against the right‑hander, but the real sell is his 2024 splits: .429 AVG and a gaudy 1.452 OPS versus righties. He has piled up 10 combined H/R/RBI across his last three games and benefits from elite table‑setters—Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts—batting directly in front of him. Given Globe Life Field’s hitter‑friendly conditions and deGrom’s current vulnerability, Osborne expects Freeman to keep filling the box score.

Kingpin is confident betting Freddie Freeman over 1.5 total bases against the Rockies’ German Marquez. Freeman’s elite batting average and consistency in delivering gap hits place him in ideal position to meet or exceed the total bases prop. Given Marquez’s inconsistencies and Dodgers' hot lineup, Freeman should easily collect at least one extra-base hit or multiple singles.

Just A Bet Outside pinpointed Freddie Freeman as a hitter with unfavorable matchup history against Antonio Senzatela. Freeman is only 2-for-15 (.133 average) with 2 strikeouts historically against Senzatela, despite Senzatela being generally viewed as not an elite pitcher. Given Freeman's subpar results in this particular matchup, caution is advised for fantasy or betting purposes today.

Tokyo Brandon expects Freddie Freeman to significantly improve after returning to the lineup with a quiet first game back. He emphasized how unusual it was for the Dodgers to win despite almost zero production from core sluggers Freeman, Shohei Ohtani, and Mookie Betts. Brandon noted such lack of production is unlikely to continue, expecting Freeman specifically to break out against Cubs pitcher Ben Brown. Given Brandon's perception of Freeman as a key hitter in a power-rich Dodgers lineup, this bounce-back is crucial in the forecasted high-scoring affair.

Kyle Purviance pointed to recent injury concerns for Dodgers star Freddie Freeman, who reportedly tweaked his surgically repaired ankle slipping while entering the shower, potentially sidelining him for the matchup against Atlanta. Freeman's absence significantly diminishes the Dodgers’ lineup potency against Chris Sale, making the Braves appealing as a plus-money underdog (+120). Although cautious following Sale's shaky first outing, Purviance found plus-money value enticing for betting on one of baseball's best teams with their top left-handed starter, especially considering the Dodgers may lack Freeman’s potent bat.

Tokyo Brandon identifies betting value in Freddie Freeman exceeding 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs at -120 odds. Highlighting Freeman’s impressive start to the season, including consecutive games with a hit and home runs, Brandon emphasizes Freeman's dependability and Dodgers' potent lineup. With matchup conditions heavily favoring Dodgers batters against the inexperienced opposing pitcher Grant Holmes and the Braves' weak bullpen, Brandon confidently expects Freeman to deliver another productive outing, characterizing this prop as excellent value in consideration of Freeman's current momentum and strong surrounding lineup.