Guy Boston confidently backed Milwaukee Brewers and pitcher Freddy Peralta today despite playing at Coors Field. He recognized the obvious risks associated with Denver's hitter-friendly conditions but emphasized Peralta's impressive early-season form and excellent historical metrics versus the Rockies. While acknowledging concerns around Kyle Freeland's deceptive matchup with Milwaukee bats, he nevertheless trusts Peralta enough to justify backing Milwaukee on first five innings bets. He also intriguingly considered an under in this game, predicting one side could dominate and suppress totals despite Coors' environment.

Jamie Calandro views Freddy Peralta as a strong DFS pitching play on DraftKings specifically, despite pitching at Coors Field. Calandro cited Peralta's appealing price point allowing roster construction flexibility. The Rockies struggled significantly against right-handers last season with the third-highest strikeout rate, and the colder temperature at Coors should mitigate some environmental factors. Peralta has been impressive early with a 34.8% strikeout rate this season, indicating he can deliver value despite the park factor.

Jim Sannes suggests betting the under on Freddy Peralta's 6.5 strikeout total, despite impressive early-season performances. Peralta opened 2025 strong with 16 strikeouts in 13 innings to date, including an attention-grabbing outing at Yankee Stadium. However, tonight he faces the notorious challenge of Coors Field, where elevated altitude reduces pitch movement and typically suppresses strikeout rates. Even factoring in Peralta’s sizzling start, Sannes projects him for just 6.06 strikeouts in tonight's contest, projecting pitchers in that range historically going under this strikeout total 64.6% of the time—creating value on betting the under.

FTN Staff recommended betting Freddy Peralta over 6.5 strikeouts for April 8, 2025, citing strong projections from FTN's proprietary MLB model. The model predicts 8.18 Ks for Peralta, indicating a substantial 19.74% edge relative to the betting line of 6.5 Ks available at DraftKings (-130). The analysis strongly implies Peralta is positioned well to surpass the number, making this an appealing betting opportunity.

Brian Howard explained he's strongly considering Freddy Peralta's strikeout props against the Rockies. He specifically noted Colorado's lineup tends to strikeout often, an angle he plans to exploit throughout the season. Peralta already has eight strikeouts in each of his first two starts this year, further increasing Howard’s confidence. He stated if Peralta's strikeout prop is listed at five and a half he’s fully committed, and would still consider the play at six and a half if the odds offer substantial plus money.

Data Skrive indicated Freddy Peralta as a strong strikeout prop bet candidate in his upcoming start against the Rockies. The Rockies rank dead last in MLB, striking out only 7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, which implies they also struggle at limiting opposing pitchers' strikeout totals due to weak offensive production. Peralta, who has a strong career strikeout rate of 10.8 KO/9 innings, will have a favorable matchup against an offense that strikes out 10.9 times per game, ranking 25th among MLB offenses this season. Given these disparities and Colorado's offensive struggles, Data Skrive recommends taking the over on Peralta's strikeout prop.

Guy Boston recommended betting Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs in his matchup against the Royals. Peralta allowed two earned runs in his only start this year against the Yankees, and going back to last season he cashed this over in 61% (20 of 33) of his starts. His average earned runs per game last season was 2.24, significantly higher at home (72% hit rate, 13 of 18 home starts, averaging 2.5 ER at home). Peralta's struggles at home coupled with the Royals' decent hitting start this season—ranking 13th in batting average and scoring two or more runs in four of five games—support this negative outlook. Royals' hitters also have solid batting averages (.261 Perez, .267 Pasquantino, .336 Witt) against right-handed pitching, adding additional evidence for Peralta allowing multiple runs today.

Adam Rosenberg suggested taking the Under (5.5) strikeouts for Freddy Peralta at +125 odds against the Yankees. Rosenberg pointed out the Yankees ranked inside the top 10 fewest strikeouts last season and have continued that trend by consistently putting balls in play throughout spring training. He also highlighted concerns with Peralta stemming from spring training—Brewers pitchers threw the most pitches per inning, including Peralta, who recently allowed 8 runs in a start. Additionally, Peralta went under this strikeout number (6) in seven of his final 10 starts last season. With his outs line heavily juiced to the under, Rosenberg expects Peralta to max out around 5 innings, making the under a strong bet given his limited innings and opposing lineup.

Bettor Mark warned bettors that Freddy Peralta is vulnerable to home runs, particularly in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium with its shorter porch dimension. Although Peralta has the ability to record frequent strikeouts, Mark cautioned that he is historically prone to give up long balls, especially early in the season. As such, Mark expressed a strong lean toward betting the over in Brewers-Yankees on Opening Day, anticipating potential early-season mistakes and home run potential from Yankee hitters, ultimately refraining from making it an official pick but encouraged consideration of the over as a smart angle.

Brian Howard highlighted Freddy Peralta's successful history against key Yankees hitters, giving him strong strikeout potential and a favorable opening-day matchup. He noted the exceptional strength of the Brewers bullpen, rated by Kyle Purviance as the third-best bullpen in MLB, suggesting the Brewers will be especially dangerous if they get an early lead with Peralta on the mound. Howard proposed betting on the Brewers double result (leading after first five innings and winning the game), labeling it a potentially lucrative play due to Peralta's dominance against the Yankees lineup and the Brewers' bullpen strength.