Eric Lindquist leaned toward Gavin Lux 2-plus hits at plus money in Great American Ball Park against Chicago. With TJ Friedl sidelined, Lux has been leading off, which Lindquist stressed is crucial because the extra plate appearance boosts the probability of multiple knocks. Bryce Wilson enters with a .317 expected batting average allowed, giving Reds hitters a favorable contact profile. Lux’s own expected average is .254 but he’s actually batting closer to .280, sporting an 8.4-degree launch angle and strong walk rate that keeps him at the top of the order. In a hitter-friendly park, Lindquist called the plus-money 2-hit market “very, very enticing.”

Guy Boston played Gavin Lux OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at –140 on BetMGM. Lux has cashed this number in 9 of his last 10 contests, averaging 3.4 H/R/RBI, and in 10 of his last 11 per Outlier (3.7 average). Season-long he is 15-for-27 (56 %) on the over. The hot streak includes last night’s three-hit, one-run, one-RBI effort against St. Louis. He faces Miles Mikolas, who is carrying a 5.70 ERA and allowing a .281 average overall; those figures worsen versus left-handed hitters. Lux owns a .400 average and 179.7 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year and has tallied multiple H/R/RBI in four of seven prior meetings with the Cardinals. A small five-PA sample against Mikolas already includes success, and Cincinnati’s Great American Ball Park boosts offense. With elite splits and a soft opposing arm, Boston sees Lux staying hot.

Scott Reichel played Gavin Lux OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at ‑105. Lux has produced 2-plus HRR in nine of his last ten games and is raking against right-handed pitching this season (.360 AVG, .449 OBP). He’ll face Cardinals righty Andre Pallante, a contact-oriented arm who has allowed seven hits in consecutive starts and owns limited swing-and-miss stuff. Reichel noted Lux’s steady spot in the middle of a red-hot Reds lineup (best team batting average over the last two weeks) and expects plenty of plate appearances with men on base. With Pallante struggling to miss bats and Great American Ball Park boosting offense, Reichel projected Lux to collect multiple counting stats again.

Richard Louis highlights Gavin Lux as a strong, value-oriented fantasy or betting play based on his consistent batting contributions. Lux leads the Reds with a .276 batting average, to go with 16 hits and 7 RBI. Emphasizing his recent productivity, Louis draws attention to Lux's 4-for-4 performance against the Mariners Tuesday, during which he drove in two runs and scored another. Lux already has three multi-hit games, and Louis notes his reliable high-contact approach at the plate makes him especially appealing against Seattle's pitcher Bryan Woo in Thursday's game.