Purviance plans to bet Hayden Wesneski’s strikeout UNDER the moment numbers appear. The Padres lead baseball in strikeout avoidance—fewer than 6.3 Ks per game—and have burned him twice this month when he tried laddering overs against their lineup. Wesneski averages just 7.4 K/9, relies on a sinker/cutter mix that induces weak contact rather than whiffs, and owns a sub‑22 % whiff rate on his slider, his only true put‑away pitch. Purviance expects books to open 4.5 with juice to the under; he will fire if he sees plus money on 3.5 or better odds on an alt‑under 2+. He called it the only rational angle in a matchup where he “can’t decide if the Astros are good or bad.”

Joe O'Rico advised stashing Hayden Wesneski (37 % rostered) rather than treating him as a mere streamer. Through three starts the right‑hander sports a 4.00 ERA but an expected ERA around 3.50, fueled by a 31 % strikeout rate and sub‑5 % walk rate (21 K, 3 BB). SIERA and xFIP (both 2.95) signal real skills growth, even though a 12 % barrel rate and 44 % hard‑hit rate keep ERA estimators mixed. O'Rico believes the tangible strikeout/command gains, plus Houston’s win potential, make Wesneski worth holding for a few more turns to see if he becomes a rotation fixture.

Joe Pisapia recommended Hayden Wesneski as a worthwhile depth add, due to teammate Spencer Arrighetti's broken thumb opening up longer-term rotation opportunities. Wesneski has posted solid early results, boosting his strikeout rate and reducing walk rate, with an expected ERA considerably lower than his current 3.75 ERA. Pisapia sees Wesneski as potentially more than a streamer given his improved underlying metrics, notably allowing minimal barreled contact.