Using THE BAT X model, Derek Carty projects only a 32% strikeout rate for Hunter Dobbins and recommends UNDER 4.5 Ks at -115. A 12.7‑mph breeze out to left boosts run expectancy, and the rookie has generated just a 20% whiff rate in Triple‑A. The projection assigns a 68% success probability, translating to a $31.37 expected value per $100 stake.

Zola anticipates Boston recalling Hunter Dobbins for Friday and recommends deploying him in AL‑only and 15‑team mixed formats. Dobbins struck out five over five scoreless innings in an earlier spot start and now faces a White Sox lineup producing the second‑fewest runs in baseball while striking out 24% of the time. Even with Dobbins scuffling at Triple‑A Worcester (6.11 ERA), Zola believes the matchup and Fenway’s cool April weather make him a sneaky streaming play with modest strikeout upside.