Guy Boston Sports advised continuing to ride Milwaukee’s red-hot offense and looking toward both a Brewers team-total over and the full-game over in Cincinnati. Jacob Misiorowski is expected to return from the IL for an ‘abbreviated’ two-to-three-inning start, forcing Milwaukee to lean on its middle relievers in Great American Ball Park, the league’s most homer-friendly venue. Milwaukee has been ‘absolutely on fire’ at the plate, while the Reds have scored 6 and 8 runs in their last two contests and historically stay hot for several games once they break out. Although Nick Martinez sports a 1.80 ERA over his last five outings, he has surrendered seven earned runs in 10⅓ career innings versus the Brewers. With both offenses trending up and uncertain pitching depth on each side, he likes Milwaukee’s team total first and will bet the game over if the number opens in the 8–8.5 range (would pass at 9.5 or higher).

Lonte Smith echoed the Brewers call, stressing just how dominant Milwaukee has been: a 31-16 aggregate margin over the Dodgers across two series and a perfect 10-0 run since the break. While Misiorowski’s road ERA is fractionally higher, the sample is minuscule, and Seattle may suffer a let-down after an emotional series win over Houston. With Gilbert wobbling and the Brewers’ lineup locked in, Smith happily pockets plus money on a club he doubts anyone else can out-slug right now.

Malcom Bamford pounced on Milwaukee +105, refusing to step in front of either the club’s 10-game winning streak or prospect fireballer Jacob Misiorowski. The Brewers just completed a four-game sweep of the Dodgers and have out-scored L.A. 31-16 across two recent series, showing the offense is for real. Logan Gilbert looks hittable right now, allowing four earned runs in three of his last five. Bamford labeled Misiorowski a ‘ticket-cashing machine’ whose starts routinely come at dog prices and sees no reason to deviate until the market adjusts.

Just A Bet Outside said Jacob Misiorowski’s strikeout prop is worth attacking when he faces the Mets in Wednesday’s double-header. New York owns the 12th-highest K-rate against right-handed pitching over the last three weeks (22.5%). The 23-year-old rookie has already piled up 19 strikeouts in just 16 major-league innings, recording 5, 6 and 8 Ks in his first three outings. This will be only his second road start, but he punched out six Twins across six frames in his first. Misiorowski has flashed a huge 40% K-rate against left-handed hitters compared to 29% versus righties, and Milwaukee needs innings because of the double-header. Stephen thinks the Brewers will let him go deep enough to clear any strikeout line that opens at 5.5 or lower, making the over and DFS tournament exposure enticing.

Razzle endorsed Jacob Misiorowski as an aggressive value pairing with Skenes. The Brewers’ phenom owns a 5.5 strikeout prop that is juiced to the over, and Razzle noted that Pittsburgh’s lineup has the fourth-highest K-rate against right-handers over the past month. While Misiorowski is still raw, his triple-digit fastball and wipe-out slider give him slate-breaking upside on a condensed early slate where raw strikeouts matter more than win equity.

B Wade recommended Jacob Misiorowski (referred to as Jacob “Mizzy” Orowski) under 3.5 hits allowed. The rookie opened his career with 10 straight no-hit innings, taking a no-no into the sixth or seventh in each of his first two MLB starts. Through 11 big-league innings he’s yielded just one hit—a solo homer. The matchup with Pittsburgh sweetens the play because the Pirates rank in the bottom quartile of MLB in total hits. After watching Misiorowski’s second outing Wade is convinced the stuff is real and expects him to keep the Bucs to three or fewer knocks.

Lindquist is going right back to the Jacob Misiorowski strikeout ladder after cashing it in the prospect’s debut. The 100-mph right-hander generated a 20 % swinging-strike rate in that outing and now faces a Twins lineup that owns the league’s second-highest K-rate (27.8 %) versus righties. Target Field weather looks neutral, and Milwaukee’s bullpen is thin after a long Thursday, so Craig Counsell may squeeze an extra inning from Misiorowski. Lindquist will take the posted over (expected 5.5) and incrementally add 8+ and 10+ tickets, projecting a realistic path to double-digit punch-outs if command holds.

Despite DK hiking the tag, Razzle keeps Jacob Misiorowski in his GPP mix. The flamethrower flashed 99-mph heat and 34% CSW in his debut before rolling an ankle. Walks (double-digit in AAA) remain a spike-risk, yet Minnesota’s offense ranks 24th in OBP and struggles with high velocity. If he can stretch past five innings, Razzle believes Misiorowski owns slate-breaking 10-strikeout upside that few others carry sub-10k.

Kenny G labeled Milwaukee his “dog of the day” at +140 largely because of rookie flamethrower Jacob Mizorowski. The 23-year-old sat upper-90s while throwing five scoreless innings against St. Louis before tweaking an ankle and gets the green light here. Kenny expects Mizorowski’s strikeout stuff to neutralize a Minnesota lineup that sits 20th in runs and 21st in batting average despite last game’s 12-run outburst. Joe Ryan has handled the Brewers before (6 IP, 0 ER on May 16), yet Milwaukee’s sticks have perked up with run totals of 8-3-3-5-3-6 their last six. While acknowledging the Brewers’ 4.33 bullpen ERA, Kenny notes the Twins’ relief corps has slipped to 3.73 and won’t enjoy a big edge. Both clubs trend under (MIL 20-15-2 on road; MIN 17-14-1 at home), so the low total keeps variance down and makes the juicy plus-money side even more appealing. Kenny is comfortable sprinkling the moneyline rather than chasing the total.