Lindquist’s favorite prop is Jake Bauers to hit a home run at +525 against Chicago’s Bryce Wilson. Wilson is surrendering a 16.8-degree average launch angle, a .424 xwOBA and nearly a .600 expected slugging, all of which scream long-ball risk. Bauers owns a 50 % hard-hit rate and a .470 expected slugging in limited Brewers plate appearances and should bat in the top half of the order. With decent hitting weather and a neutral-to-positive park factor, Lindquist said “we don’t want a Bauer outage, we want a Bauer surge” and is firing one-unit on the +525 HR ticket.