Kyle Purviance loves Cubs –1.5 at +150. Jameson Taillon’s 3.08 xFIP and 54 % ground-ball rate suggest his early-season rebound is real, whereas Jose Quintana, with only two decent starts, now faces a Chicago order that ranks third in OPS (.812) against southpaws. Purviance hammered Milwaukee’s offense—25.6 % K-rate and 28th in ISO vs righties—claiming they lack the punch to come back if Taillon gets an early cushion. Chicago’s bullpen is seventh in WPA, wind is forecast to blow out to left at Wrigley, and Kyle sees the +150 as badly mis-priced.